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<European Energy Conference, Aberdeen 22nd February 2008 The Oil Drum: Europe Oilwatch Monthly - February 2008>

244 comments on Peak Oil and "The Limits to Growth": two parallel stories

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Euan Mearns on February 13, 2008 - 11:07am Permalink | Subthread | Parent | Comments top


Thanks to jmac for his plot. And a comment attached:

Since I did not have accsess to the actual data used for the book's scenarios I reverted to "Graphology", i.e. replotted the non-renewable resources and then measured the slope. Certainly not as accurate as it could have been with the actual data, but I would estimate that the peak is good to about +/- 2.5 years. As you can see, I got a pretty good asymmetrical curve and peak with a steep fall-off after the peak. I also did the same for their scenario 2, double resources, and got a very broad, flat maximum that spanned 2020 to about 2050. I immediately thought of CERA's undulating plateau in the 2030-2040 period.

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Ugo Bardi on February 13, 2008 - 1:58pm Permalink | Subthread | Parent | Comments top

Very nice. Thanks Jmac!

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244 comments on Peak Oil and "The Limits to Growth": two parallel stories

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