79 comments on Driving a Taxi is getting to be tougher
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A lifeline to sanity, indeed. Although to the world, we are the ones who are insane. As my girlfriend says, "Will you stop with this peak oil thing!!?"
At the moment, it is a "mixed marriage," peaknik, non-peaknik. Difficult thing, that, as I am sure many here can attest. ; )
My wife has seen "A Crude Awakening", has heard me discuss it with numerous friends and family, and is discouraged because we currently fly to visit her family on the other coast once a year. She also thinks this lifestyle we lead is 'normal' (though we have a passive solar house with 2 kW PV [thermostat set to 66F], hybrid cars, bicycles, clothesline, large garden, 45 fruit/nut trees in an edible landscaping with lots of small fruits in addition, small sheep flock, etc). Since she looks forward to the cross-country trip, she would prefer to keep it out of her mind (as AMTRAK is not being expanded to mitigate drastically reduced air travel).
"(as AMTRAK is not being expanded to mitigate drastically reduced air travel)."
yet.
so you didn't notice Bush's little budget slashed Amtrak?
I would classify that as going the exact OPPOSITE direction of "expanded" - wouldn't you?
Bush attempting to cut Amtrak's funding is exactly why I am convinced we are headed down the tubes - exactly the wrong decisions made on the way down in order to protect the status quo and entrenched (money) interests...K-street gets a LOT more say in what becomes policy than I or any other well-informed voter...(and few voters are well-informed from what I see...)
what about Texas losing federal funding for that light rail project - is that a good example of not doing what is needed "yet"?
I guess I should give you credit for your relentless optimism in the face of all evidence to the contrary - but I think it is part of the problem
had dinner with a Texas-based physicist the other night - he's a cornucopian and believes cellulosic ethanol will save us from oil depletion - and this is a brilliant well-educated man....his belief in spite of reality is depressing to me...
Don't forget the efforts the government is making to make air travel a fast and pleasurable experience by having you take inventory of items before travel and pleasurable via the latex gloves hands of TSA on your body.
(Yea, its almost like they want you to NOT travel via air.)
I'm too lazy and forgetful to find the links, but maybe some others aren't: apparently the US is putting a lot of pressure on the EU to make air travel to here a lot more burdensome and intrusive, including supplying information on friends and family members who accompany flyers to the gates. It's much worse than just that, but I forget the details and only remember my disgust.
US tightens visa waiver measures
Personally, I have stopped travelling to the USA. The financial cost keeps on dropping but the other hurdles keep on rising. Frankly, I can't be bothered.
OTOH, the French have committed to electrifying every meter of their rail lines, are rapidly expanding their rent-a-bike programs, have started on the next phase of TGV building (Phase I took 30+ years) and have recently announced a new program to build 1,500 km of new tram lines in a decade (and just started on a new nuclear reactor in France, the second EPR (next generation nuke).
A real world example of "doing it right" and benefiting from it, may shake some sense into the next President (no hope for GWB).
Best Hopes,
Alan
BTW, what Texas city lost federal funding for light rail ? I may have missed that.
isn't electrified rail bad? I thought the power was going out? and france gets it's electricity from nuclear. how are they going to mine all that uranium during peak oil?
Alan - you are preaching to the choir on France doing it right - hell, even their anti-GM crop stance, protectionism against imported foods, widely dispersed regional agriculture looks like it will pay off very well down this road
I would LOVE to see a well-managed crash program of pv in the Mojave, wind in Dakota, pumped storage where appropriate and all to feed expanded and electrified rail, light rail etc. throughout the US
unfortunately I see Amtrak cuts despite growth in ridership
umm, I couldn't remember which Texas city myself - but you were irate about it what, two weeks ago? long threads about it.....I'm blanking
Sometimes I'm really thankful that I recently established French citizenship for my kids. Next I need to get my wife citizenship.
Granted, it's likely that by the time I realize it's time to bail out of the US and head to France, travel will be too difficult for us to do so...
The cancellation I was aghast at (staggered by the stupidity of) was an extension of the Washington DC Metro (subway) to Tyson's Corner and Dulles Airport.
18% federal funding of $900 million to save 20 to 25,000 b/day (more in an oil supply emergency).
A some point, public policies will change (see Rush to Ethanol) and I want them to change in a positive way.
Best Hopes,
Alan
the next president will be better. it doesn't matter because Amtrak ridership is up.
http://online.wsj.com/article/SB118781538275205642.html
biggest jump since the late 70s. wonder what caused that jump?
"the next president will be better"
why are you so confident of this? I very much doubt if McCain would be any improvement with endless war on Jihad (redundant as that is I know) his main campaign promise (hard to help pay for Amtrak when you are paying for all those "smart" bombs and depleted uranium bullets)
and I am not confident that either Obama or Clinton would be much better - certainly their support for ethanol etc. does not give me a lot of hope...status quo candidates will give us more of the same...and don't forget, Congress gets to decide where the $ goes, and they seems to really really like autos and the like...
"biggest jump since the late 70s"
and DESPITE that big jump, Bush is trying to cut Amtrak's budget - wouldn't want Americans to get out of their cars after all....
HIllary supports Amtrak.
http://trains4america.wordpress.com/2007/10/31/hillary-clinton-on-amtrak...
so does obama
http://mwhsr.blogspot.com/2007/04/barack-obama-co-sponsors-pro-amtrak.html
Actually, I fully expect AMTRAK to be sold off in pieces to individual states or consortia of states. Some of the intercity pieces will remain in place, the transcontinental lines will be gone. I fully expect this to happen just a year or two before the airlines start to go belly up big time. This is the USA, after all, what else would you expect!
With any luck, under the more competent management of the states, maybe enough intercity links will be put together to actually make it possible to make it across the continent on a series of hops. It might take many days, though.
I hear exactly what your saying and understand completely. The scope and scale of the Long Emergency of what is now upon us with oil having peaked in 05, is a topic of discussion I would love to have more of with my spouse, but she is sick and tired of the topic and I can rarely broach the subject without a strong reaction. She says, "Ok fine. There's peak oil, sure I understand it but I don't want to talk about something I can't do anything about. So let's talk about something more positive." She right, yet it's like falling towards Earth with no parachute while talking about the wonderful weather we are experiencing.
nearly 3 years into peak oil and things are TERRIBLE. not as bad as being 150 years into peak whale oil though.
whale oil was replaced by crude oil - can you show me a replacement that is ready to replace crude on a worldwide scale, that exists NOW, not as some "possibly very exciting. needs some developement. quite hopeful that someday" lab experiment like Busard fusion reactors or cellulosic ethanol?
you bring up whale oil a lot, and it is does very little to argue your case
"can you show me a replacement that is ready to replace crude"
In an episode of Futurama we discovered the world replaced crude with... Whale Oil from vast whale farms. (Exxon) Mobil Dick it was branded. Well I thought it was funny anyway.
electricity.
yes it does. it proves things aren't as bad as thought. it's the only time something like peak oil has hit and we found something else. we found kerosene and then replaced that with electricity. kerosene didn't have a lot of use until airplanes came a long. it appears that once again electricity will replace oil(kerosene).
It lit a lot of lamps until jets came along. In 1860 the population of the world was about equal to the current pop of China. That was about the time that coal oil replaced whale oil and later was replaced with kerosene.
This summer may be the first summer that folks start occasionally finding the house dark and the AC off due to elect shortages. A few country wide 100 degree days will test the grid. After that you and many others will have a more firm grasp of reality, and start thinking about heating your homes with $5 fuel oil next winter, followed in a few years by an insufficient winter NG grid or low stock build in storage.
Whale oil? Your best example is whale oil?! Better listen to DipChip.
Speaking of arctic open waters, I read an article today with information about arctic ice cover. In 1989 80% of the arctic ice cover was 10 years or older. Now, only 3% is 10 years or older. The atmosphere is thinest at the poles, and consequently the north pole is warming much faster than lower lattitudes. In the Summer, with ice cover, 95% of the sunlight is reflected back out of the atmosphere, but without ice cover 90% of the energy is absorbed into the water, and that added heat reduces ice cover even more, acting as a positive feedback.
I postulate four tipping points to global warming. The first is the loss of arctic ice, as evidenced by the unprecedented melt in the Summer of 07. The second will be the wholesale loss of methane from peat bogs such as Siberia in the latitude just below the arctic. Third will be the partial collapse of Greenland and West Antarctica, together raising sea levels about 10 feet. Fourth will be the warming of oceans enough to release methane caldrates, and that will be our final undoing. That is unless we find a way to stop the climatic momentum we have initiated over the past 130 years.
Here's how I justify being "chicken little" for my friends and family: if the sky really is going to fall, and it is starting already, it's better to have heard warning than be taken completely by surprise, even if one rejects the warning at first. Of course, there are some that don't want to hear stuff and you have to back off -- but later on that same person, having seen stuff, will come back and want to talk about it.
This is not just peak oil, but also the economy, geopolitics, 9-11, etc. On the last issue (before etc) I used to get incredulous guffaws. Now people either don't make a peep or chime in with stuff I didn't know.
The best to hope for is that the entire country start reading and arguing (in a friendly and respectful way) about everything, thinking. That's our only hope. But never, ever let disagreement disrupt a relationship. Events will wake up those who don't want pay attention now -- or maybe not in cases of deep denial. Friendship.
And of course we could be wrong -- maybe it's all a bad dream and I'll wake up and see that it's 1955 again and I can go back to building my ham radio stuff. Anybody have some 6AU6s?
No, but i do have a ton of 12ax7's. I listen to the first heathkit stereo amp they put on the market every day. Still cooks, and I mean that..
Yes, CLZ09. Your girlfriend is quite right. Stop this peak oil thing this instant! It's so annoying.