'Ain't going to happen."

anything can happen in a crisis.

Alan, in the pdf they state that they run the analysis that way because the timing and rate of introduction of plug-in vehicles was uncertain, so looking at what could be done with the current grid was the most realistic way of appraising the potential.

My take on that is that they don't actually expect there to be no upgrades of the grid needed, nor that all EV drivers would charge at the best time, but that just the same we have quite a bit of room to manoeuver within the constraints of the present grid, so that capacity increases might be surprisingly modest.

In particular, one of your favourites, wind, would seem to be well placed to provide the needed power, and this use would tend to decrease the problem of intermittency and storage.

The right cost structure should do a great deal to ensure most charging takes place at the right hours, although I personally suspect that by the time there are enough PVEH's around to make much difference many especially in the South and West may choose to install PV on their roofs and do most of their charging at home - this would certainly decrease the load on the grid.