Sorry, I meant how did you get the +4.4% consumption number for Saudi Arabia? Is that the average of the last 2 years demand? Or three years? Or some other procedure? I don't doubt the results, I would just like to be able to explain how it was calculated if someone was to say, why shouldn't it be 2.2%.

Khebab used a Monte Carlo simulation method, based on recent consumption, to estimate a range of future consumption, which resulted in very low projections for Russia.