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244 comments on DrumBeat: April 15, 2008
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244 comments on DrumBeat: April 15, 2008
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But according to some on this board Russians have never heard before of the concept of peak oil. For supposedly ARAMCO style denialists there sure are a lot of articles from (not just about) Russia that don't hide the reality. This decline will lead to reduction in exports faster than the ELM model. Strategic preservation of resource choices will start playing an increasingly dominant role.
I have had many Russian friends over the years before and after the end of the cold war (one of the advantages to living in a college town in the USA, you get a small window into lots of other countries cultures even if it's from the perspective of the top 1%.) Anyway most people in the West (peak oil believers of not) think we will someday run out of oil that is worth extracting whether that's in 50 years and were already on the downhill slide or 1000 years out, my experience is that 95-99% believe oil is non renewable and will someday go away. From my limited interaction with my Russian friends this number seems like 50% maybe even a little less for some reason many of them subscribe to the Abiotic theories. This maybe why it seems the Russians are so slow to grasp the idea of peak oil, hard to have a peak when the earth will just bubble up more and quickly not over geologic periods of 20,60, or even 100 million years.
I believe the abiotic theory was developed in the USSR during the Cold War. For some reason, the guy who developed it was politically connected, so it did get quite a lot of exposure - with "evidence" -within the scientific community there. May explain the reason for the large percentage difference.
I haven't seen much data on it.
Considering that this is the same culture that produced Lysenkoism, it may not be all that surprising
For some reason you seem to think that Lysenko's ideas are widely accepted in Russia today.
Your sample is not representative. Also, the MSM in Russia do not push the abiotic oil theory. In fact, this crank "theory" seems to get much more play in the west. In spite of the caricature picture being painted in the western MSM, Russia is not trapped in a 1950s Soviet timewarp.