< / Chuckles off>

Jeff, some of your ELM predictions are for pretty severe declines which will very shortly be undeniable. In fact, if your plausible model is correct, within the next 5 years or so there will be a "Black Swan" event (The 2013 'UN Nations Energy Crisis Report' perhaps?) which will be the equivalant of The Titanics Captain broadcasting Mr Andrews realisation over the ships tannoy...

Assuming that most TOD readers consider themselves as the equivalent of the small clique crowded around the table as Mr Andrews unscrolls his architecture charts and declares the ship has "but a few hours" what are we to do?

Any breakaway from that small group would either not be believed -"The Titanic is unsinkable"- or perhaps save just a few... The majority still drowned after all...

Nick.

Noutram, we can at least try to save ourselves. Buy gold and silver, bicycles, some arable land, solar panels, literature on organic farming and poultry farming, and anything else you can think may be useful when the 18-wheelers stop rolling and the container ships thin out. Even small things, for example a straight razor, sharpening stone and strop so you can shave when the plastic razors become too expensive or rare.