I live in one of these Western fringe suburbs, Campbelltown, and I am continually dismayed at the extreme levels of car use. It seems people around here either don't know or don't care about what is happening in the world around them. It's probably not fair of me to bag out my friends and neighbours, but I'm going to do it anyway.
I have lived in the area basically all my life and I love it. My suburb in particular is like a quiet little sanctuary in the middle of an ever expanding city. It is a completely walkable suburb, aside from a few steep hills here and there, with a supermarket 10 mins walk away, two very good schools within minutes, a great local pub just around the corner, fantastic sporting grounds and a semi regular bus service to Campbelltown proper and to the train station. Yet no matter what time of day or night or day of the week you hardly see anybody walking around. There are two mothers who live in my street who drive their big 4WD's every single day down to the school. For me to walk my son it is a 15 min round trip. A mother who lives next door to me, who's child goes to a private school elsewhere actually drives to the bus stop, which is about 2 mins walk away, to pick him up.
A very close friend of mine who lives elsewhere in Campbelltown has been listening to me rave on about Peak Oil and other related issues for the last couple of years now and is probably the most aware person I know, other than me of course. Having this knowledge still didn't deter him from buying an older type V8 Commodore which gets about 2km/L. This from a guy who works a casual job, has two kids and a wife to feed and is constantly worried about his finances. This is repeated time and time again all over the area. I just scratch my head in wonderment.
The trouble I see is that the working classes still have absolutely no clue about anything of a worldly nature. They only see Channel Seven's Sunrise, the Daily Telegraph and Foxtel as their points of reference. What chance does Average Joe have when he has absolutely no clue about anything of importance.
The local media are actually counter productive a lot of the time as well. The Macarthur Chronicle had a few stories about petrol pricing last week complaining about individual service stations and the editorial was longing for the days when the garage attendants came and washed your windscreen and filled your tank. All the criticism was directed at oil companies and their profiteering, not once even mentioning that there could be something else afoot.
I wrote an email to the editor about Peak Oil the day the paper was released and within an hour or so got a phone call back from them acknowledging the letter. The man said that it made them look at things a little differently. My letter will be published this week and I'm sure there will be a reaction from somebody in the community, positive or negative, and I plan to react to the reaction. Hopefully this will be the start of something positive for Campbelltown.
I went through a stage of writing to the papers. The Sydney Morning Herald has never published one of my letters. The Financial Review printed a letter I wrote in response to BP's statistical review in 2006. Interestingly the paper published an article the next day that didn't actually refer to my letter, but expressed gratitude that "cooler heads" (such as at BP) actually run the global oil industry (wrong on all counts!).
As was noted here a few weeks ago my submission to the 2020 BS session was accepted. Yet the subject didn't rate a mention. Now I am not sure what the 2020 was all about, if anything. Certainly without detailed consideration of PO it is meaningless. I think the Australian Labour Party learnt well at the knee of its UK older brother. Blair mastered spin and worked out that to be very successful politically all you have to do is know how to fool most of the people most of the time. KR is showing all the signs that he has had a coffee or two with Tony Baloney (Blair).
It all boils down to deliberate suppression of the story I think. I am 100% sure that Tintin (KR), Wayne and the gang know what is going on but do not want it to spoil the party.
I'm not 100% sure these blokes know what is going on. They're are all pretty pretty smart but they're used thinking in terms of Eco 101 as are the Canberra Bureaucrats. I remember well a submission by Dr. Fisher of ABARE to the liquid fuel investigation last year who predicted Oil would be $40 barrel in the future because that is "how much is costs to make Oil via CTL."
These people are used to thinking in the margin not the 50% change of technology needed to deal with Peak Oil or Global Warming.
I'm pretty sure Martin Ferguson understands the issues. He is not particularly interested in Global Warming probably because he sees dealing with Peak Oil as the first energy priority.
Still at least they're pushing local car manufacturers to invest in hybrid models and if they deliver their $1 billion energy program we can start to make progress.
At least we have lots of money right now. Hopefully the investment will flow where it is needed.
The very same. Despite the phrase "resource economics" in their title I do not think they would recognize resource economics if it slapped them in the face. It is all Eco 101 with them.
Over here, in the UK, I seem to have had a lot more luck with getting my letters published than you. I find that if I try to be humorous (very difficult with this subject matter), the letter is more likely to get published. Lately, they seem to have stopped publishing my letters as the joke does not work so well when oil is at U$120.
Here are a couple of samples that did get published in the Financial Times
Sir, John LLoyd and Alex Turkeltaub make the case that Russia will eventually suffer grievously - because of its dependence on oil export revenues and the expected decline in its oil production. However, China and India will continue to shine because of their investment in "intellectual capital". This argument presupposes that Russia and the rest of the world are not sharing the same planet. Russia, and other oil producers, always favour domestic consumers and as a result the share of oil being exported is in decline in Russia, Saudi Arabia, Iran, Kuwait and United Arab Emirates, among others. Once it is generally understood that the volume of conventional oil being internationally traded reached its peak in 2005, oil will cease to be subject to the "commodity cycle".
The question now arises as to what the graduates from China's "100 world-class universities" will be doing. Designing better bicycles?
Sir, On December 12, the US Energy Department reported that the Organisation of Petroleum Exporting Countries will produce, in 2025, about 11m barrels a day less than the International Energy Agency had forecast earlier this year. This quantity is in excess of that ever produced by Saudia Arabia - Opec's so-called "swing producer". By 2025, it is generally understood, the North Sea and mainland US will be almost completely dry.
On December 15, your article "Qantas opts for Boeing over Airbus" was accompanied by a graph that forecast world air travel (revenue passenger kilometres) is set to double by 2025. Are these aircraft flying with empty tanks?
I have also had a private correspondence with Martin Wolf their chief economist and below is an extract of an article he wrote in today's FT. Our discussion was the usual one between an engineer and an economist - he thinks that oil is substitutable. I think he is gradually coming around to understanding that this is a different type of economics
...the fact that peak production is reached sooner, because of today’s efficient technologies, also means that subsequent declines are steeper.
...
But it means we should expect a sustained period of relatively high prices even if “peak oil” theorists are proved wrong. If proved right, this would be true in spades.
I am hoping that you are exaggerating with the 2km/L comment. Even the worst SUVs here in the States aren't quite that bad. The worst offenders we have here are in the 4km/L.
The old Holden 'Red' ICE isn't quite that bad. It's not even that much worse than a current Commodore (nearly 30 years on). The older card are helped out by a comparitive lack of weight.
Unfortunately, they're rarely maintained well. The car in question is probably a complete rustbucket, and blasting unburnt fuel as the driver roars away from the lights in an attempt to get to a rev range where the motor actually produces power.
It's probably also spray-painted 'baby-poo brown'. :)
I live in one of these Western fringe suburbs, Campbelltown, and I am continually dismayed at the extreme levels of car use. It seems people around here either don't know or don't care about what is happening in the world around them. It's probably not fair of me to bag out my friends and neighbours, but I'm going to do it anyway.
I have lived in the area basically all my life and I love it. My suburb in particular is like a quiet little sanctuary in the middle of an ever expanding city. It is a completely walkable suburb, aside from a few steep hills here and there, with a supermarket 10 mins walk away, two very good schools within minutes, a great local pub just around the corner, fantastic sporting grounds and a semi regular bus service to Campbelltown proper and to the train station. Yet no matter what time of day or night or day of the week you hardly see anybody walking around. There are two mothers who live in my street who drive their big 4WD's every single day down to the school. For me to walk my son it is a 15 min round trip. A mother who lives next door to me, who's child goes to a private school elsewhere actually drives to the bus stop, which is about 2 mins walk away, to pick him up.
A very close friend of mine who lives elsewhere in Campbelltown has been listening to me rave on about Peak Oil and other related issues for the last couple of years now and is probably the most aware person I know, other than me of course. Having this knowledge still didn't deter him from buying an older type V8 Commodore which gets about 2km/L. This from a guy who works a casual job, has two kids and a wife to feed and is constantly worried about his finances. This is repeated time and time again all over the area. I just scratch my head in wonderment.
The trouble I see is that the working classes still have absolutely no clue about anything of a worldly nature. They only see Channel Seven's Sunrise, the Daily Telegraph and Foxtel as their points of reference. What chance does Average Joe have when he has absolutely no clue about anything of importance.
The local media are actually counter productive a lot of the time as well. The Macarthur Chronicle had a few stories about petrol pricing last week complaining about individual service stations and the editorial was longing for the days when the garage attendants came and washed your windscreen and filled your tank. All the criticism was directed at oil companies and their profiteering, not once even mentioning that there could be something else afoot.
I wrote an email to the editor about Peak Oil the day the paper was released and within an hour or so got a phone call back from them acknowledging the letter. The man said that it made them look at things a little differently. My letter will be published this week and I'm sure there will be a reaction from somebody in the community, positive or negative, and I plan to react to the reaction. Hopefully this will be the start of something positive for Campbelltown.
Good luck, mate. Sounds like you're pushing poo uphill, though...
Paragraphs please.
Thanks for the story - let us know how it goes with your local paper.
If they want to do a story on PO I'm sure some of the ASPO guys would be happy to talk to them...
Sure Big Gav I'll get back to you. The paper is released today, can't wait for next weeks reaction.
I went through a stage of writing to the papers. The Sydney Morning Herald has never published one of my letters. The Financial Review printed a letter I wrote in response to BP's statistical review in 2006. Interestingly the paper published an article the next day that didn't actually refer to my letter, but expressed gratitude that "cooler heads" (such as at BP) actually run the global oil industry (wrong on all counts!).
As was noted here a few weeks ago my submission to the 2020 BS session was accepted. Yet the subject didn't rate a mention. Now I am not sure what the 2020 was all about, if anything. Certainly without detailed consideration of PO it is meaningless. I think the Australian Labour Party learnt well at the knee of its UK older brother. Blair mastered spin and worked out that to be very successful politically all you have to do is know how to fool most of the people most of the time. KR is showing all the signs that he has had a coffee or two with Tony Baloney (Blair).
It all boils down to deliberate suppression of the story I think. I am 100% sure that Tintin (KR), Wayne and the gang know what is going on but do not want it to spoil the party.
I'm not 100% sure these blokes know what is going on. They're are all pretty pretty smart but they're used thinking in terms of Eco 101 as are the Canberra Bureaucrats. I remember well a submission by Dr. Fisher of ABARE to the liquid fuel investigation last year who predicted Oil would be $40 barrel in the future because that is "how much is costs to make Oil via CTL."
These people are used to thinking in the margin not the 50% change of technology needed to deal with Peak Oil or Global Warming.
I'm pretty sure Martin Ferguson understands the issues. He is not particularly interested in Global Warming probably because he sees dealing with Peak Oil as the first energy priority.
Still at least they're pushing local car manufacturers to invest in hybrid models and if they deliver their $1 billion energy program we can start to make progress.
At least we have lots of money right now. Hopefully the investment will flow where it is needed.
That would be the same Brian Fisher that stated with a deadpan face that "if the price of eggs gets high enough, even the rooster will start laying"!
The very same. Despite the phrase "resource economics" in their title I do not think they would recognize resource economics if it slapped them in the face. It is all Eco 101 with them.
Yes, you call this "cock to liquids" (CTL). The oil price is now at 3.1 Fisher a barrel.
Over here, in the UK, I seem to have had a lot more luck with getting my letters published than you. I find that if I try to be humorous (very difficult with this subject matter), the letter is more likely to get published. Lately, they seem to have stopped publishing my letters as the joke does not work so well when oil is at U$120.
Here are a couple of samples that did get published in the Financial Times
Dec 06, 2006 What use will China be making of its intellectual capital?
Dec 19, 2005 By 2025, aircraft will be flying on empty
I have also had a private correspondence with Martin Wolf their chief economist and below is an extract of an article he wrote in today's FT. Our discussion was the usual one between an engineer and an economist - he thinks that oil is substitutable. I think he is gradually coming around to understanding that this is a different type of economics
May 13 2008 The market sets high oil prices to tell us what to do
I am hoping that you are exaggerating with the 2km/L comment. Even the worst SUVs here in the States aren't quite that bad. The worst offenders we have here are in the 4km/L.
The old Holden 'Red' ICE isn't quite that bad. It's not even that much worse than a current Commodore (nearly 30 years on). The older card are helped out by a comparitive lack of weight.
Unfortunately, they're rarely maintained well. The car in question is probably a complete rustbucket, and blasting unburnt fuel as the driver roars away from the lights in an attempt to get to a rev range where the motor actually produces power.
It's probably also spray-painted 'baby-poo brown'. :)