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48 comments on Report on First General Assembly of ASPO Switzerland, May 24th 2008, University of Basel

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SamuM on May 27, 2008 - 12:21am Permalink | Subthread | Comments top

Thanks for the writeup. Very interesting. I thought things were a bit further along in general understanding in Switzerland.

Did you cover the series of consecutive multiple peaks issue beyond peak 'easy oil'?

0. Peak discoveries (already in history)
1. Peak light sweet crude (as of now)?
2. Peak oil industry investments
3. Peak exports (major exporting countries
4. Peak unconventional
5. Final combined peak (may coincide with 3. or 4.)

Maybe not in that exact chronological order.

It seems the discussion has already moved along into that direction (RE: Chris Skrebowski interview on BBC, May 22nd).

It would be interesting to know if these other peaks are being considered in the PO circles in Switzerland

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Euan Mearns on May 27, 2008 - 2:29am Permalink | Subthread | Parent | Comments top

SamuM - this is a smart way of breaking down the problem. Declining light sweet production will likely control the rest.

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Francois Cellier on May 27, 2008 - 2:35am Permalink | Subthread | Parent | Comments top

Thanks for the comment. The answer is no. Peak discoveries (sometimes in the mid 1960s) was mentioned by several speakers, and various people talked about the distinction between conventional and unconventional oil, but no further distinctions were made.

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