We have gone mad, Your Majesty, and only you can cure our affliction

An open letter to the leader of Opec's biggest oil producer, the one man who can force Britain to cut its carbon emissions

King Abdaullah of Saudi Arabia

Your Majesty,

In common with the leaders of most western nations, our prime minister is urging you to increase your production of oil. I am writing to ask you to ignore him. Like the other leaders he is delusional, and is no longer competent to make his own decisions.

You and I know that there are several reasons for the high price of oil.

Asking Opec to solve the oil crisis misses the burning point

Oil cannot be separated from this global phenomenon. George Soros was right to argue in yesterday's Daily Telegraph that investors' expectations have inflated the price. But speculators can ride a market in the short term: they cannot shape it indefinitely.

Undertow, don't post so much of the article (I edited it down). If people want to click it, they will... :) But otherwise, thanks for the catch.

Yes, on reflection I was actually just editing it down when I discovered you already had and notice it's now uptop anyway.

Monbiot is quite correct in his piece. He clearly understands that energy and related policies must be drasticly altered to accomodate the increasingly transparant reality that oil supply will no longer grow, while its price certainly will. True, as you scroll through the article's comments, there are many still in denial, but based on reactions to his previous works, more people have taken the Red Pill. I'm sure our UK readers will agree that Brown's government is "bonkers" and "delusional." And although many Progresives would agree that those words also describe the Bush administration, too many believe there's a conspiracy by "Big" now "Little Oil" lying behind the run up in fuel prices. This too is delusional and bonkers, but convincing people of their irrationality is proving a very hard task. I'm currently engaged in just such a debate with a person at CommonDreams who calls Hubbert a shill and tool for big oil, whereas we know the reality is quite the opposite.

Karlof1 - I have seen your diligent efforts over at CD and really appreciate you hanging in there. I wish I had the chops to dive in on some of these delusional comment threads but I know my limitations.

Also kudos to Arraya for dukeing it out over at Mish’s .

For what it’s worth I do believe that many readers see the logic of your comments or at least get curious enough to seek out answers for themselves.

Cheers!

I'm currently engaged in just such a debate with a person at CommonDreams who calls Hubbert a shill and tool for big oil,

Again - The history books are filled with shills, liars, tools and deception that result in shafting for people. This person understands this and feels they are getting the shaft. I can't fault them for assuming that the price is a form of being jerked around. Because I'm sure that within the structure of the oil business there *IS* people who are looking at the present situation and trying to maximize their profit in a way that others would feel is via deception.

I'm just shocked at the lack of people defending such as 'it is the way "the market" works'.

(The only way to avoid the shills, liars, tools et la is to avoid playing their game. Eris is unwilling to avoid their game, and is using selected data to argue their position "Having followed this issue closely over the last decade I can tell you what I’ve read doesn’t bear this out." You won't be able to convince Eris that s/he is wrong, but *DO* post your best case and let others decide who is correct.)

Thanks to you both for your coaching. We have our own fair share of folks using the current and future energy situation to advance their interest, and I count myself in that group as I have the responsibility for managing our Family Trust, which includes the immediate extended family. Mike Ruppert once said it's insane to expect activists to work for free. Until the current system changes, there's no way to work outside it and expect to survive, let alone prosper, and this is complicated all the more by our responsibilities. I hope CD picks-up the Monbiot item as it presents another opportunity, although I do intend to continue the debate on the other thread.

Thanks again.

Until the current system changes, there's no way to work outside it and expect to survive, let alone prosper...

This is completely untrue, as the multitude of hippies, drug culture types, black marketeers, tramps, hobos, tree planters, & various other ne'er-do-wells I've associated with over the decades makes plain. Such free spirits prosper & thrive in ways those wholly owned by "the system" can scarcely appreciate.

I would take yet a third tack. The crisis is real and we face the issue of survival. But survival can't be dealt with other than confronting the problem of a hostile gov't (at least the top-most levels). That's where any form of individual (or small-collective) survivalism breaks down. If nothing else, the gov't will come after you, tax you, dispossess you (or worse). (I'm not a libertarian, there can be legitimate taxation.) The worst case is that angry and hungry sections of the populace are incited to turn against each other -- survivalists take up guns against the "starving hordes".

I hate politics. But there is no other route to survival. We need a gov't that faces up to the realities we confront. Ultimately, if we want to survive, we have to get political and create a political force that points to the reality we all face and begins to help us addressing the issues in collective, cooperative and peaceble ways.

I admire Mike Ruppert and his early linking of PO and 9-11. But I never agreed with his survivalist bent. And he's not alone in that. A lot of TODders are survivalists. The ones that aren't tend to underestimate how hostile the gov't is to its people, and therefore think things can be handled (with however much difficulty) within the existing framework.

My daughter lives on commune/farm and I love visiting her, partly to let my imagination run free in seeing what's possible. But their way of living, despite being potentially within reach of self-sufficiency on several fronts, nevertheless is also endangered.

Good governance would be awesome but I believe that "good governance" is an oxymoron. Governments come & go, and every revolution becomes subverted. It isn't so much that "power corrupts" as it is that power IS corruption. Having the means to force others to do one's bidding is the very essence of corruption. The benevolent dictator is still a dictator. The "tyranny of the majority" is still tyranny. I'm not convinced that ANY government is superior to no government at all. "Here is the new boss, same as the old boss...," etc.

I wish my daughter was more like yours. She lives in the city & has a desk job. My grandparents farmed, my parents' generation were all "mod," or thot of themselves as being. My grandparents were all into me & my wife being sortuv back to the land hippie types. They taught me how to garden & tend small livestock. Now my kids are more like my parents were. In my family, at least, the "back to the land" impulse tends to skip generations. Maybe my granddaughter will be more like me. She's already tamed my mean goose!

My comment you cited had to do with my managing my Family Trust investment portfolio; I guess I didn't make the connection explicit enough. You are of course correct that many operate outside of the established system; I figured people here knew me well enough through my writings to know that I would certainly be aware of such.

I would have a great deal more respect for Monbiot if he addressed the real issue in the UK, and that is that, as a small Island, we are way passed full. Our population is too great and we are set to increase our population by an equivalent of two Londons in the next two decades.

As our population grows, so too will our gross national carbon footprint. And this will exceede any Carbon Targets we set our selves.

All here know that this will, of course, not happen as we fall into fuel and energy poverty, and as we fail to produce any goods of substantial use, we will fail to purchase adequate food stuffs from outside.

Die-off will occur by: energy poverty; famine; and ultimately, social unrest, which may well verge on civil war or race war.

Because the UK Gov has enjoyed 12 years of unprecedented consumer led growth, low interest rates and a large majority, it has been able to milk the UK Tax payer and create non jobs, bizzarre and nonessential programs and feed a client base of underclass.

This was set to continue, but, the ramp in oil prices and food prices now competes with the Chancellor's hand in our pocket book.

Interest rates, flat wage increases, energy, food and fuel increases now competes with a decade of stealth taxes and increases in duty.

The UK tax paying milch - cow is only good for so much, and then the teat dries up.

The teat has dried up.

I have no problem with taxing the 'sins', but when you also tax the 'good', then a rebellion will happen.

Its happening now. A government cannot tax, tax and tax again, especially when so much is clearly wasted and none is hypothecated to good works such as public transport, underpinning a renaissance in nuclear power etc.

The price of crude has some impact on fuel, but the duty levied and the overall Value Added Tax escalates beyond this.

This Government announced an effective doubling of Vehicle Excise Duty on cars and it was retrospective on vehicles manufactured between 2001-2006.

It was masquerading as a 'green tax'.

It is not so. It is a tax on middle to low income drivers who cannot suddenly switch to a new , low emmission vehicle and so this demographic cohort is trapped with double VED tax, no chance of selling the said vehicle and just too strapped for cash to buy a prius
(the merits of which are highly suspect since the bulk of a vehicles life cycle carbon emissions are actually in the manufacturing phase).

Fine.

UK Gov wants to go 'green'?

Then:

1. Recognise that: As a nation we are full up - people we got.
2. No social security for able bodied people that have left school as long as they are not disabled. (I think you called it tough love in the US). There is work if you look for it.
3. You want babies? - fine , pay for them your selves: should not be a charge on the state.
4. Consider if we need any of the following none-jobs on the public purse:

'Community enforcement officers' (Dog poo and anti smoking wardens)
'Lesbian , Gay, Bisexual , Transgender Outreach Coordinators'
'Five a day healthy living officers'
'Real nappy coordinators'
'Diversity Awareness Officers'

Yes, these jobs plus inflation proof, index linked pensions do exist in the UK.

You could cut about 25% of all government employees by tomorrow lunch time. Take 3% off income tax and increase fuel duty by the following day - AND USE THE SURPLUS FOR PUBLIC WORKS

But we wont.

We will slide into anarchy.

Ten more years. Thats what we got.

Ten years.

(inflation-proof index-linked pensions? I don't believe it ;) )

A slide into anarchy?

Given UK's social history, I rather expect a slide into ever-more-vituperative fascism .. via the Sun, mail, telegraph, etc.

Your hopefully-ironic views miss the curious caste system in force since heavens-knows-when, where a large portion of the population subsist in quite impoverished circumstances, and now, with dumbed-down education, impoverished states-of-being too; a tiny minority in the UK live lives of unimaginably refined luxury, thier wealth squirreled away in financial mazes touching on cyprus, liechtenstein, belize, etc etc.

It's very clear to me that UK right now is an awful lot about making sure the very rich continue to get richer, and with the stranglehold the right wing have on the media, labour's hands were always going to be tied. Brown has and will be bludgeoned into oblivion the second he looks like he's even thinking about the colour red.

happily for you, I think all you can expect is more of the same, all the way back to ration books and feudal estates, indentured servitude, etc.

So .. you're in Burkes, eh ? :/

No, unlike a recent Labour Election Candidate, I am not in Burkes.

The Inflation proof , Index linked Pensions are true (for the payroll vote, not for many others though). How else do you expect the Government to retain a constituency? - Turkeys never vote for Christmas. Read the Guardian Jobs page.

'Happily for me'? Doesnt much matter about me. I weep for the next generation though.

Anyhoo,

Gordon Brown is making yet more pleas to OPEC regarding price and today he meets with Oil Company Execs to see how the UK can produce more oil.

That is the calibre of the man in charge.

The calibre of the man in charge:

Gordon Brown and Alistair Darling are meeting oil industry chiefs today as pressure mounts over soaring fuel prices.

Writing in the Guardian ahead of the talks, the prime minister said there was no quick fix to the "third great oil shock".
He called on nations to unite to stabilise the price of the commodity, which has increased from $10 a barrel a decade ago to $135 today.
And he said that the UK will argue that a global strategy to tackle the impact of higher oil prices will be put at the top of the agenda at the next meeting of the G8 group of industrialised countries.

Brown will use this morning's meeting with energy chiefs in north-east Scotland to attempt to secure a higher output from the UK's declining North Sea oil fields.

Yes - he really said that:

http://www.guardian.co.uk/politics/2008/may/28/economy.transport

If I could be permitted to add one more quote from the latter article as it indicates its importance. The author, Alan Duncan is a leading member of the British Conservative Party and will likely (on opinion polls) be a senior member of the UK government after the next election (within two years).

The last decade has lulled us into a false sense of security. Instead of tilting at the Opec windmill, we should be weaning ourselves off fossil fuels, increasing efficiency, addressing fuel poverty and encouraging the science that will find an alternative to oil.

Shouting at Opec to turn on the taps is an expensive diversion that will merely delay our recognition of reality.

Alan Duncan MP is a former oil trader, and is shadow secretary for business

I once wrote to Alan Duncan about three years ago regarding peak oil.

In short, his reply was :

'Not to worry my pretty little head....go back to sleep.... I was in the oil business and I know there is more than enough oil out there etc...'

So, was he a fool or a knave three years ago?