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167 comments on Countdown to $200 oil meets Anglo Disease
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167 comments on Countdown to $200 oil meets Anglo Disease
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GAIA Host Collective
Thanks for a great article.
To what extent does the 'Anglo disease' hold sway in Europe?
Post Thatcher,it is my understanding that considerable steps in that direction have been made in much of Europe.
Oh it's on the move in Europe, or over Europe - the ideology is gaining ground. It has more ground to cover, because continental Europe never had a big dominant money center like the City or Wall Street, and had a stronger culture of public action and preference for collective, social action. But the discourse of "reform" is everywhere, and highly influential; sadly, it could be said to be gaining at the very moment it is being discredited in the US and, increasingly, the UK, as its collateral damage is becoming too obvious there.
This leads to an important issue, the relation of the political system and the financial.
Neither the US nor the UK have effective means of changing the system.
In the US the process has overtaken any policy considerations or possibility of implementing them.
The never-ending Presidential selection system effectively reduces the choices available, so that McCain would try to minimise government whilst actually supporting the over-leant banks and throwing people out of their homes to the benefit of the rentier class, whilst Obama would create vast and inefficient systems to prop up consumption whilst still being entirely in hock to the banking and governmental systems.
In the UK change is even harder.
The labour party has enthusiastically adopted the Thatcherite system, as it gives those at the top unlimited opportunities to realise unearned income.
They are socialist only in their penchant for creating bloated bureaucracies and socialising losses, as at Northern Rock, which is pretty straightforward pork.
In any case by the time of an election in 2010 economic conditions will likely lead to it's effective disintegration in it's present form.
The Conservative party is unwavering in it's commitment to the financial institutions and procedures that got us into this mess.
Practicality has never been a criteria by which Liberal policy is set.
In both countries the financial system is the real government, and they are not about to legislate themselves out of easy money and start working.
Real change likely will arrive via a 1789 style purge, rather than through the incremental adaption of the system.
DaveMart - "real change will probably arrive via a 1789 style purge"- you are probably right.
It is the aftermath of such a purge,bloody and brutal as it was with a lot of collateral damage,which is problematic.Napolean rose out of 1789.
Although history can teach us many lessons the present situation is unique with it's multiple severe stressors.
Also,a question - If a meltdown occurs in the US as is becoming increasingly more likely,what are the chances of,and the likely outcome of, the US government of the day declaring a moratorium on national and international debt?
Virtually nil, in my estimation.
They will instead simply inflate it to worthlessness, but never admit that the debts are irrecoverable.
I know little about these matters though - check out memmel and Gail's posts for a thoroughly knowledgeable, although rather depressing, estimation of this sort of issue.
Euan also intends an article on the ruin that used to be the UK economy, I believe.
I recently posted graphs of the UK financials showing budget deficits and balance of payments, which would all be bad if we were about to enter the sunniest of financial times, instead of trying to keep our head above water in a world of greatly elevated oil costs.
Both for the UK and US my estimate would be that the wheels come off by this winter.
so that McCain would try to minimise government
What is your basis for thinking that Senator McCain would do that?
About the only one who is running who has a history of voting 'no' to bills is Dr. Paul - and the 20% he got in the last round of voting is more a protest VS McCain than support.
Real change likely will arrive via a 1789 style purge,
I'd say the change will happen once the people think that change will be less painful than staying the present course.