The scientific conclusions are in.

There is a greater than 90% chance that the observed warming is primarily caused by human activity

That is the CONSERVATIVE and CONSENSUS conclusions of the best scientific societies in the world.

A mere 30% probability will make Climate Change a more important issue for the long term good of humanity than Peak Oil.

Alan

Mongolians are going to be more in tune with climate change because of their traditional lifestyles.
In a nomadic herding culture climate is literally a matter of life and death, and oral traditions will have been handed down for generations about hard times which caused great suffering.
In fact at some times in the past drought is supposed to have differentially killed those cultures heavily dependent on the horse, whilst favouring those who were more orientated to cattle as they have more efficient digestive systems.
Since the horse is good for warfare, it was usually the dominant culture that missed out, leading to change in the rulership of the steppes and the famous mass migrations and invasions.
Just as traditional cultures in the Indian ocean knew exactly what to do when the Tsunami came, and ran to high ground, the Mongolian herdsman will be in tune with his environment to an extent we can barely imagine.
Even his urban compatriot came from the land recently enough to understand these things.

We might not understand the climate sstem well enough to make long term predictions with any confidence but I see no lack of confidence by or in tv weather forecasts. As a matter of fact, here in the Caribbean we rather depend on them to let us know when hurricanes are coming, Added to that, fairly detailed recording of rainfall, wind and temperature data has been going on in the US for over a century and less structured but nonetheless reliable records of weather data are available for some locations going much further back in time. It would seem to me that we are witnessing the beginnings of a change in weather patterns that is unprecedented in human history.

Why does that matter? We are the only species on the planet with the amount of data that we have (recorded history). We are the only species that can analyze this data and come up with formulas that give us some ability to predict what will happen in certain situations, with some amount of accuracy. We are probably the species with the greatest ability to determine our future. (I'd bet we are the only species that makes 5 year, 10 year and lifetime plans!)

So, if you want to continue living like the less intelligent species on the planet and ignore the warning signs that the climate is sending us, go right ahead. I guess the question asked by Bob Shaw in his signature is relevant.

Are humans smarter than yeast?

Alan from the islands

Friend, I am not going to get into this with you beyond this post. Even the people who created the "view" you hold have backed off of it.

FACT: Virtually all of the "science" for anti-AGW was funded and supported by Exxon witha plan taken from the Big Tobacco playbook. (This is fact, not heresay.) Period.

FACT: Almost none of the "science" was actually science. Virtually all of it was review of others' research with a bent towards interpreting to fit their agenda. What little true science has been undertaken has been refuted by additional science.

FACT: The other great scumbag in this is the Bush Administration, which knowingly and intentionally gutted, suppressed and misrepresented it's own research findings.

FACT: There is virtually no other source for the anti-AGW stance than Exxon and the Dumbya administration and BOTH have (mostly) disavowed that stance. The Dumbya administration has 100%.

FACT: You are either a shill, brainwashed by the above, or just not able to understand basic science.

Consider yourself lucky I am not an admin on this site, for I would ban you faster than you could read this sentence. To stifle free speech? No. Lines must be drawn. You cannot support your stance with science, so you should not be allowed to post. I believe that fits within the guidelines of the site. And, because you are dangerous to the continued existence of mankind on this planet.

Bye.

Their literacy is not important? That's an ignorant statement. You are aware that global surveys on the issue found only two places in the world where the majority of citizens doubted AGW? Guess where.

Did you say the US and Britain?

Correct!

So the "superstitious" Mongolians can't think, but only two of the supposedly most advanced nations on Earth allow themselves to be brainwashed by PROVEN liars...

Brilliant.