"Hello Dolly!"

You're looking swell, Dolly,
We can tell, Dolly,
You're still glowin', you're still crowin'
You're still goin' strong.
We feel the room swayin'

Looks like Dolly will threat the needle and not affect either Mexican offshore production infrastructure or Texas offshore or onshore oil infrastructure. Of course, track forcasts are very uncertain, especially when projecting as far forward as a second landfall in Texas.

Looks as if it may be moving north of forecast tracks and strengthening rapidly. A direct hit on Houston at hurricane strength is by no means impossible; although by no means probable either (at time of writing) it has to be said before everyone panics!

Definitely one to watch very closely.

.WITH A GRADUAL DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED.

SLOW STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST ON MONDAY
ONCE DOLLY EMERGES OVER THE SOUTHERN GULF OF MEXICO.

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCPAT4+shtml/201542.shtml

The slower it goes and the more it strengthens, the less
reliable the forecast becomes.

Here's the path of Hurricane Dolly circa 1996:

http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/archive/1996/storms/dolly/dolly.html

From reading the storm2k site linked above, seems they think Dolly may have just turned a lot nastier.

Latest discussion link http://www.storm2k.org/phpbb2/viewtopic.php?f=59&t=101807&st=0&sk=t&sd=a...