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112 comments on POLL: CLU08 went through $127/bbl today..so, in the next 60 days, the front month price of CL will...
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112 comments on POLL: CLU08 went through $127/bbl today..so, in the next 60 days, the front month price of CL will...
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A Poll is a "sampling"exercise, and I agree with Kiashu that it would preferable to sample on a regular basis ..... and otherwise to sorta pay tribute to the sampling theorem in organizing the interval not only to be regular(ized), but also to be sufficiently fine to display the underlying process you want to elucidate ....
so as to avoid alias distortion.
I can assure you that there are few polling agencies out there who consistently use "time" as the basis of putting multiple polls into the field, even if they end up being non-random or event driven. If anything, the method I am employing here is more valid than what you propose because it attempts to capture the motivation/momentum after large moves in the market if they occur. Otherwise, it is exactly the design you propose with an interval, mine just happens to be 60 days instead of 30.