New York Times: Expert Says Arctic Ocean Will Soon Be an Open Sea

http://wattsupwiththat.wordpress.com/2008/07/24/nyt-expert-says-arctic-o...

Ah, nice head fake jbunt.

Here is a simple global warming intro guide from the Royal Academy, for those who would like a little science to wash out the bad taste of that denialist propaganda.

I take it you do not subscribe to the notion that if a person or entity was mistaken about any single thing in the past -they must be wrong about every single thing in the future? :)

People need to get their head out of the sand about what the arctic really is. It is an extremely cold environment, dark almost the entire year, waves of huge porportions and massive ice bergs regularly drifting around. It's as hostile environment as you can possibly get, it will take a massive amount of effort to get things going up there at "the end of the world".

Uh, where did you study pop science? In summer, the North Pole experiences sunlight all day long between the Equinoxes, that is, 6 months of the year. There aren't many of those "giant icebergs", as the source of most of these is the glaciers of Greenland and almost all of those dump bergs into either the Nordic Seas or the Baffin Bay/Davis Strait/Labrador Sea. Sea-ice is not the same as an iceberg. When there was lots of multi-year sea-ice, the winds could not produce waves. Things were calm enough for people to camp out on the sea-ice over winter, which Russian scientists have done for many years.

E. Swanson

This site is just amazing!! 14 negatives for a NY Times Article, hardly propaganda, and not one word of comment by me. And, can we save the word "denialist" for the Holocost crowd, use sceptic. You would think that since the editor posts things on global warming, some alternative views would be acceptable. The earth's surface is mostly water. The oceans are a huge part of the climate. If people think that CO2 (.04% of the atmosphere, and the atmosphere is .37% of the mass of the oceans, and man's contribution to CO2 is 7%) is the main cause of warming the oceans, I suggest that you should try boiling water with a hair dryer.

All good scientists are skeptics, but they must live with the data as it pertains to their field. Denialist, even those with science degrees, often ignore the data and cherry pick bits and pieces which they think will support their denial of the other findings. The mass of the ocean has nothing to do with whether or not there is global warming underway. Do learn some physics, won't you?

E. Swanson

Well, the gulf stream warms all of Northern Europe, and I guess that involves no physics. Good God, what has happened to the education system?

Is the education system a mess? My thoughts exactly.

Recall that the Gulf Stream is not the same as the Thermohaine Circulation (THC). The Gulf Stream spreads out as it leaves the U.S. coast and becomes the North Atlantic Drift Current. Only a fraction of the waters of the Gulf Stream move toward Northern Europe, the majority turns back towards the south and circulates around the sub-tropical gyre. It's the THC branch of the Gulf Stream water which does keep Northern Europe somewhat warmer than the coastal regions at a similar latitude on the North Pacific coast. Both locations are warmer than land areas at similar latitudes on the western side of the respective ocean basins.

But, to get back to reality, Global Warming is an atmospheric problem. The oceans can be expected to warm eventually, but the large mass will mean that the warming of the oceans will lag the warming in the atmosphere. The fact that the oceans are stratified implies that the warming of the deep oceans will be slow. What I was attempting to point to was the physics of the energy flows thru the atmosphere, with the solar input being balanced by the IR leaving. The physics says the balance point is changing, thus increasing the global temperature at the surface.

E. Swanson

Your reputation precedes you !

If you think that CO2 is not warming the biosphere because it is such a small %, add .04% of a strong dye (say india ink) to a very deep, very clear pool. A VERY good analogy to the impact of CO2 at infrared wavelengths.

You ARE a denier IMO.

Alan

While one experiment showed a glass enclosure filled with CO2 will warm more rapidly in sunlight than a glass enclosure filled with air; how might one account for glaciers receding from near the Indiana-Kentucky state line to above the Arctic Circle since the end of the Ice Age? Manhattan was once covered by a continental ice sheet that began to recede about 11,000 years ago. The ice sheet was there year round.

There was some other factor involved with this pre-industrial period of global warming that may not be plotted on CO2 density charts.

What caused the Ice Ages in the first place? Is there evidence one might reoccur? Will a change in the earth's orbit bring about another Ice Age? Will this cause a massive relocation of habitation?

By asking these questions you are proving one of two things: you don't understand what is or is not relveant in the science of global climate, or you have never bothered to do ANY research whatsoever becuase those are the most basic of questions and have the most basic of answers. If neither A nor B are true, then you are a troll on this topic for you are asking unimportant questions for questionable reasons.

You see, since none of those questions are really relevant anymore, having been fully accounted for and being fully understood in terms of their roles in the science of global climate, there can be only one reason to ask them (keeping in mind what I stated in the first paragraph): obfuscation. You wish to mislead those not well-versed in the topic to believe there is some doubt. There is not.

I present the same challenge to you I present to ALL denialists (And given that we know the vast majority are politicized, are paid off and don't do any perr reviewed science, I am completely comfortable with labeling them to almost certainly be criminals spreading disinformation in such a manner as to undermine the future security of humanity on this planet. That is, you are almost certainly committing crimes against humanity. Given that scale, if you are either A or B are true, then you are wasting everyone's time and deserve any vitriol that comes your way.): Present some peer-reviewed science that has stood the critiques or shut the hell up. (Hint: there isn't any.)

Let's be charitable for a nano-second and assume you are just gullible:

http://illconsidered.blogspot.com/2006/02/how-to-talk-to-global-warming-...

http://www.aip.org/history/climate/index.html

You can also search on any topic related to climate change at RealScience.

There will be no further charity from me. If you can honestly look at the science then return here and honestly remain a sceptic, then you are just lacking in objectivity and/or intelligence or are on the take.

Cheers

And you CCPO, have you ever considered that maybe being polite and semi respectful is a virtue? Your insistance on being rude and showing your a$$ reminds me of why on the survialist blogs their first global warming action is "shoot the f*cking environmentalists" then reduce fossil fuel use.

Lovely attitude....People like you are a hell of alot more dangerous than peak oil or global warming combined.

Now if you'll excuse me, I need to go load some more bullets.

And you CCPO, have you ever considered that maybe being polite and semi respectful is a virtue?

First, did I label the poster? I did not. I listed several possibilities, but the possibilities ARE limited. I then provided infomation for the poster to review. I then invited them back to state their opposition or understanding of the science.

How is any of that impolite? If we accept your characterization of my post, let me then ask: Are you polite to the guy raping your wife and murdering your kids?

I see no difference between bought off denialists and the above. We are talking civilization here. Pray tell, what need be at risk before you hit back? Is civilization not enough?

Beyond that, your post is ridiculous. I'm "dangerous" for calling a spade a spade? I'm dangerous for stating that a crime against humanity is *gasp!* a crime against humanity?

FACT: the denialist machine is the primary reason for people believing there is a serious debate about AGW. There is virtually no science backing up the claim. This being the case, there is no legiimate claim that AGW is not happening. (Not that scientists should not continue researching and going where the facts lead.)

THUS: virtually anyone advocating that agenda is corrupt or brainwashed.

THUS: the former are criminals and the latter lacking in intelligence, objectivity or knowledge. (Saying so cannot be called rude.)

You care to point out the flaw in the argument? Further, you need to defend your stance that I said anything impolite. If truth and logic are impolite, then we are well and truly screwed.

Cheers

Hey CCPO,

Thanks for your vigorous defense of science and GW. We've been too passive for too long, and only aggressive push back will produce results.

My (dis)pleasure. It's hard to believe it's even necessary. There's a guy on YouTube, a science teacher, who's done a great set of vids on the denialists' arguments. Great stuff. One of the people he'd been sparring with in his comments turned out to be a paid lackey. We have seen the same sort of organized disinformation campaigns from Big Oil and the Bush Admin for years. It would, in fac, be stupid not to assume people working so ahrd with so little evidence are anything but paid hacks. To do otherwise is to be forced to assume they are monumentally stupid. Which is worse to say about someone?

Frankly, I assume anyone posting anti-AGW tripe to be just that, a paid lackey, so I give no quarter.

Cheers

Yes, this chap should be tried for his crimes against humanity;

fears over man-made emissions melting the ice caps and causing a wave of unprecedented disasters were nothing more than scare-mongering.

and

was vital that the international community based its policies on science rather than the dogma of the environmentalist movement.

and even

the world needed to care for the environment but not to the point where the welfare of animals and plants was given a greater priority than that of mankind.

Perphaps he should learn some physics, and he is one of those ..

criminals spreading disinformation in such a manner as to undermine the future security of humanity on this planet

and he must be ..

lacking in objectivity and/or intelligence or [is] on the take

Whatever you or I think of the man, many millions of folk believe he is Christs' Envoy on Earth.

You would be the criminal, if anyone, for you have misrepresented what the Pope said in order to... what? Taking quotes and science out of context is the domain of the denialists. Until otherwise shown, I shall assume you are such.

In the Pope's case, his religious "belief" (ignorance) may be clouding his judgment as to the extent of the problem, but he is not denying AGW. It is a far cry from saying AGW is bull for a $10,000 check and saying let's not let ideology drive our understanding of the science. The latter is closer to what the Pope said, so no, he could not be considered to be committing a crime against humanity.

But thanks for adding nothing but bull crap to the thread. We should all be practicing spreading manure, after all.

Cheers

I suggest that you should try boiling water with a hair dryer.

Alternatively I suggest you take a nice ice cold beverage and try to keep it cool with wishful thinking.

Actually, I think much recent warming of oceans is due to greater undersea volcanism, magma flows and general crustal heating.

Likewise, many of the world's ice sheets, permafrost etc. seem to be melting from the bottom up -- due to crustal warming.

Any decent theories on this?

Yep it is pretty sad. This site will never accomplish very much if the readers are incapable of understanding even a simple rating system, let alone the global climate system.

http://www.youtube.com/view_play_list?p=B776B41EB68F12C1

Please learn a little something about the planet you live on before pretending to know-it-all about climate change!

Then they will drill!

USGS Estimates the Arctic Holds About 22% of Global Undiscovered, Technically Recoverable Oil, Gas and NGLs

The area north of the Arctic Circle has an estimated 90 billion barrels of undiscovered, technically recoverable oil, 1,670 trillion cubic feet of technically recoverable natural gas, and 44 billion barrels of technically recoverable natural gas liquids (NGLs) in 25 geologically defined areas thought to have potential for petroleum, according to an assessment by the US Geological Survey (USGS). The assessment from the USGS Circum-Arctic Resource Appraisal (earlier post) is the first publicly available petroleum resource estimate of the entire area north of the Arctic Circle.

These resources account for about 22% of the undiscovered, technically recoverable resources in the world. The Arctic accounts for about 13% of the undiscovered oil, 30% of the undiscovered natural gas, and 20% of the undiscovered natural gas liquids in the world. About 84% of the estimated resources are expected to occur offshore.

Of the estimated totals, more than half of the undiscovered oil resources are estimated to occur in just three geologic provinces: Arctic Alaska, the Amerasia Basin, and the East Greenland Rift Basins. On an oil-equivalency basis, undiscovered natural gas is estimated to be three times more abundant than oil in the Arctic. More than 70% of the undiscovered natural gas is estimated to occur in three provinces: the West Siberian Basin, the East Barents Basins, and Arctic Alaska.

http://www.greencarcongress.com/2008/07/usgs-estimates.html#more

The article, as seen above, was published February 20th, 1969

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