261 comments on DrumBeat: August 3, 2008
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261 comments on DrumBeat: August 3, 2008
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www.childfree.net
I think the best thing you can do to minimize your carbon footprint and dependence on fossil fuels is to decide never to have (more) children.
Now is a time for celebration of our achievements and preparation for an ever increasingly austere and difficult future. Your burdens will become much heavier in future years so I recommend being careful about what you take on now.
Many of us said the same thing 40 years ago. Obviously, no one was listening and those who were, scoffed. Those now having children despite the overwhelming evidence of a grim future, are condemning their children to that future.
I was listening. Had a vasectomy.
So your solution for something that may kill the next generation is to kill the next generation yourself ... well I guess it speeds things up.
There is no point to have an earth if you don't have good people to live on it.
I wonder about your sanity. The policy of personally not having children will not do shit. The worst people imagineable tend to have 7-8 children, then dump them on the street (they have a tendency to have a certain religion, but let's not go there). Just look at the nature of the middle east if you want to know how enviromentally friendly these idiots are.
Then again, people with ideas like this are filtered out of the gene pool, probably with good reason. So why am I fighting about this ? You will die alone, and that will be the end of it. I doubt anybody will regret that.
You didn't have children because you didn't want to do what's necessary to care for them. That's all. Don't kid yourself, and don't take others for idiots. Don't depict yourself as a hero for not doing anything. If you think dieing is the solution, then just die, and leave the rest of us alone.
Coincidentally, Strange News item one day last week: 44 year old woman has 18th child. She and her husband live in Canada, having emigrated there from Romania in 1990...
Comments from her do seem to indicate that she is utterly oblivious to the weight that she has added to the upside down population pyramid.
But if we don't have kids, who will clean up the nuclear waste?
I wonder if the down votes missed the sarcanol, or were because of it.
Boy, this topic always takes the cake, doesn't it?
My next foray into the 'Population-Thread Darkside' is the suggestion that we start to learn and relearn what wiser societies have figured out in how to maintain a healthy population with reasonable birthrates.. AND to model reasonable consumption habits.
Clearly neither of the extreme opinions, either 'Blame the Birthrate' or 'Blame the overconsumption' is enough on it's own.. and both often end up with similar degrees of Puritanical Self-loathing (and 'Other' Loathing in the same breath), an attitude which has an amazing ability to foster denial, addictive overreactions, and more division and emnity. Coming up with angry, Latin Binomials to add some kind of academic validity to how horrible we must be is a fine monument to the efforts of John Calvin, but it still paralyzes us from looking potential solutions in the eye. Instead, it leaves us darkly fantasizing about who will be the despot to orchestrate the newest 'Final Solution'..
"You" refers to Strobiusmip -- one level up. I mis-posted.
What you advocate won't work, even though it's quite true that population world-wide must be brought under control, i.e. reduced.
This will require global agreement between countries. China's early policies were directionally correct, if not always done in the best way. It can't be left to individuals to choose how many children they have anymore than conservation can be left to individual whim. You conserve, I whoop it up. No.
But the direness of the situation has to be made clear to people, arrangements made for their care in old age, the opportunity for people who love lots of children to be around them, and so on. Then they will accept, however grudgingly, necessity. But this hasn't happened in any area yet. We don't have leadership, just profiteering.
Disease, energy shortages, wars... these are the things that will cull the population. Try to tell rice farmers in southeast asia, who don't have the benefits of things like social security, pensions, health care, etc. that they can only have one child. People aren't going to do this stuff willingly. Furthermore, the earth can easily support 10-15 billion people. Of course not everybody will be able to eat meat, but I don't think that's a loss.
I wonder... 1 person = 1 acre is a common ratio bandied about, often more like 1 person = 2 acres, but I think one is doable. Under that assumption it should be true that there is enough space for all. But that implies space. It also implies planned and organized distribution. To everyone. I think it's a safe assumption that unless there is a massive and near-universal move to a sustainable paradigm, we won't be able to handle 15 billion people since the earth does not now sustainably handle 6.7 billion.
You are reccomending this shit to the wrong audience. Most developed countries birth rates are way down. it's the developing countriess (those least likely to be sitting infront aof a computer right now) who have ridiculously high birth rates. Ironically the very countries that will likely be hit hardest by climate change, peak oil, political insatbility, and resource depletion. So what do they all do to guarantee survival - they have more children!
Really this sort of propoganda for reducing you family numbers is an absolute waste of time.
(No I don't have 10 children and yes I do know what a condom is!!)
Marco.
And yet...one American child has a greater environmental impact than 12 Mongolian children. So who should cut back?
Good point Leanan, but you are talking about a VERY sensitive issue here. In fact you are bordering on what your average joe might call "goddam commie shit".
The freedom to give birth would be the last right "prised out of their cold dead hands".
I can't see John Jimminy and his wife from texas giving concession for the sake of some Mongoilian kids!
Marco.
Can I ask you to please clean up your language a little? I understand that sometimes you have to either curse or cry, but a little restraint would be appreciated. Some schools, libraries, and workplaces automatically filter sites with profanity. I'd like to keep TOD off the blacklist.
As for what John Jimminy would do...who cares? Every little bit helps. He's probably not going to conserve energy, either, so should we not bother to talk about conservation?
When you say my language do you mean the bit I put in quotes? That was meant to be average Joes retort, not me swearing!
Hey, even the Guardian paper here in the UK no quotes the "F" word. But as you kindly request I will moderate.
apologies
Marco.
I know, but the net filters are just software. They don't do nuance. And neither do kids' parents, really.
Appreciate your cooperation.
just a heads up, you link to a blog called clusterf*** nation on the home page link section.
And in a nutshell you have captured an element of the human psyche and why I think there is no way for us to avoid a hard landing.
The Chinese say "the West got to develop first, then install pollution controls, why should we do any different for the sake of the planet?" (Never mind that they share the same planet as we do.)
Wherever one turns, it's "let the other person sacrifice/conserve/be responsible. I want to keep doing what I'm doing."
It's not impossible to have people think along different lines, but it takes work (i.e. education) and mostly a type of education that is far from common despite decades of committed people trying to introduce it. The existing long-lived conversations that fight back are extremely resilient.
-Andre
And in the spirit of education I was taken by the quality of David Holmgren's new web site www.futurescenarios.org I haven't seen it discussed here, but haven't been checking TOD so regularly this summer so may have missed it.
Would like to give it more attention as it is one of the most elegant analysis of the state of confusion and cross currents I have seen. I interviewed him recently, but checked in and the number of hits to that interview are far below what is deserved:
http://globalpublicmedia.com/reality_report_david_holmgren_and_futuresce...
I agree with Andre that a hard landing appears ever more likely the further along we go without quality leadership or inspired grass roots uprising. Not to discount the efforts of all the activists out there (such as myself), but the scale of the myopia is so grand relative to our "visionary" work thus far. I will keep at it patiently and hope to be pleasantly surprised someday.
Landing? I see a SPLAT@#$ up against the wall, then there's the slip and peel off the wall, but landing, no, I don't see no steenkin' landing; the repercussions are endless.
Is part 2 of that interview somewhere?
cfm in Gray, ME
LOL.
Part 2 is on a computer somewhere. Posted to GPM in another week or so.
Hi, Jason. I just listened to the interview; it's very good.
The part where he points out that we have been living in a period of expecting change (for perhaps a couple centuries now) reminds me of the work of Foucault, which I've mentioned on the db before.
As is common, Wikipedia has a good entry on the topic:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Episteme
Here is a worthwhile quote:
In the earlier conversation about this, someone pointed out that Foucault focusses on the set of more properly scientific assumptions that distinguish an epistème.
I assert that the fact that our current epistème references science at all is part of the episteme we are in. A few centuries earlier and one couldn't write about taking a walk in the park without referencing their notion of God in some way. ("The brilliance of the sun and flowers demonstrates the glory and power of God" etc., etc.)
The set of conversations that formed that epistème have not, in fact, actually completely gone away. You can still hear it today when people reference their God(s) in some adulating or reverential way. And the commonness of fundamentalist religions the world over demonstrates that we haven't left that set of conversations behind by any stretch of the imagination.
One of the features of the current epistème seems to have the flavor of "there is something better coming" or the general feeling of "progress." This has been with us for at least a few centuries and has its roots in the Enlightenment but could more fully be seen around the time the public started attending public science lectures in England in the 1800s.
Off the top of my head, I can distinguish a few conversations that demonstrate the epistème we are in, some of which David mentioned in the interview:
There are many variations of the above people here have undoubtedly heard.
These conversations are very old and very long-lived and were being spoken even before we all arrived on the scene. To me it seems likely that they originated early when we gained speech as a species and only became commonly spoken during the Enlightenment.
Some of us picked them up uncritically and started repeating them. (We all have picked up many conversations uncritically. It's easy to do and starts the moment we pop out of the womb.)
Other people heard these conversations and chose not to repeat them without further investigation on their own.
In any case, at this point not nearly enough people have learned that they are repeating very old, very entrenched conversations that need to be used more judiciously than they are now. This is the education to which I was referring in my previous comment.
Being aware of the conversations that are "running us" is a level of self-awareness that is not common and, unfortunately, looks like will not become common in time to prevent ecosystem/human collapse.
-André
Thanks Andre, I am glad you found it interesting.
I am wondering if you go over (and demolish to some extent) the internal conversations "running us" in your presentations. If so, I'd like to see how you do that since it is tricky to do so and keep friends. Few people like to be disillusioned, but it is crucial to get to the point where we unmask these operating assumptions. Even if it only serves to help us know who to trust most deeply.
So many times now I have thought that I was working with someone "on the same page" only to realize later that in subtle ways they are lacking some crucial level of agreement with me based on what you describe above. Once I bump into this problem it them becomes difficult to overcome because I can't readily dissuade them of an entrenched mindset reinforced by the culture.
I currently don't discuss conversations in my public presentations. In my one-on-one work with people I use them heavily because it's sometimes the only way to get people unstuck.
There is a group that brings them up in their presentations called the Pachamama Alliance. Their presentation is called Awakening the Dreamer, Changing the Dream and you can find out more here: http://awakeningthedreamer.org
Discussing internal conversations is definitely tricky business because it's so easy to elicit a reaction before the person has gotten the point that their reaction is just another conversation running them and they have a choice not to speak it.
I still want to introduce conversations somehow because it would give many people freedom from the suffering that comes from contemplating our future. Personally, I am constantly managing the conversations I'm having with myself in the face of peak oil and it makes a big difference. I can only imagine how aweful it is for people who don't have distance from their internal conversations.
This reminds me of the power of story, as described in The Science of Discworld - The Globe...
Jason,
I didn't listen to the GPM interview but I did look at his site. His approach is a loss leader because he is too "complex" in his approach. To me, there are, essentially, three possible future scenarios:
1. BAU/BAU lite
2. Financial collapse/Greatest Depression
3. Overthrow of existing paradigms/renewal
Todd
Funny, I was going to say he was not nearly detailed enough to support his scenarios. Anyone can grouse and expound like a bunch of freshman in a dorm lobby, but these sorts of things are not going to go anywhere without proper support behind them.
This is not a criticism of Holmgren, just an observation that his work needs greater support from data/analysis to give others the means to parse it and actually apply it.
BTW, I see your list not as different scenarios but the likely sequence.
Cheers
P.S. One child; hoping to keep it that way, though the wife is yet of another mind. You know the old saying, she who holds the purse strings... so to speak.
This may be the hardest thing for all people of the world to do, but it will be critical if we have one iota of a chance to get through the upcoming transition with the minimum possible damage. That one thing will be to forget and forgive the past.
We are at where we are at...we have the situation and infrastructure that we have. Are we going to waste time blaming who got us here and why we are here, or are we going to take what we have and get on with what we need to do (dang...I sound like Rumsfeld..."you go to war with the army you got"...). If we go the blaming route for whatever precursor event occurred or lifestyle was lived, then we will be faced with a heaping helping of chaos. If we can say "today is a different day"...no one thing has got us to this one day, but we cannot act as we did in the past, then maybe people will lose some guilt and blame and decide we can work together and get going on solutions.
Ah...it was a good daydream!
The set of conversations that use the concept "blame" are very entrenched, indeed. It's an interesting discussion to examine why they are so hard to dislodge and replace with more generous conversations.
yeah, okay. does that mean we stop not holding people accountable? a lot of people want to move forward... things is, some feel justified firing a few shots backwards as they go.
I just said that is what needs to happen, not necessarily what's going to happen.
It is the developed world that can make the most difference however. A child born today in the developed world can use the resources over its life of up to 8 children born in the developing world. Also, I'd say the developed world will have the toughest time in an oil-deprived future since it has become the most dependent on oil for upkeep and has the most to lose as supply falls. Below-replacement birth levels are not low enough I fear, I suspect there needs to be a massive drop in world population over the next 50 or so years somehow or another.
Your point is similar to Leanans. Just remember though it is supposedly the devleoped world that will give aid and help support refugees etc...
If for example there is a mass exodus of people leaving the developing countries then that population becomes everybody's problem. I don't think you can just "us and them" this argument because in the long run it is the entire globe that has to support the entire population.
Marco.
Few of whom - despite their mean existence putting food on our table and swimming in our trash and environmental degradation - use more than a tiny percentage of what we do in the developed countries. I suspect it is one of Odum's "concentrators", where all these poor worldwide are required to support one wealthy member of the modern globalized elite.
This is absolutely an issue for developing and never-to-develop countries. It is also one where the developed countries hold most of the keys.
You are not entirely wrong - the developing countries do have a responsibility - and that is why the myth that it's their fault is so powerful and convenient. Our share of the responsibility - those of us plunking at keyboards - is something along the lines of an order-of-magnitude reduction in resource use.
Framing it as a country issue might not be most helpful. Consider framing it as a matter of species survival. And not only our species - because our human insapiens can only survive together with a functioning biosphere.
cfm, chainsawing in Gray, ME
Again Leanan made the resource useage point - see my reply above to the other guy who also made the same point as Leanan.
Unfortunately the urge in us to procreate is genetic - we are here as proof. I'm sure you will counter with "well our sensibilities for what is best for the planet will surely win through" - go ahead and try and tell people in the developed world (democracic states with people believing they have free will and free choice) to recuce family sizes, everyone knowing fine well that birth rates are already so low.
We have a problem in Scotland right now! According to politicians borth rates are too low!
(too low for what? you might ask!!)
Marco
Yes, the urge to procreate is genetic, however there are more than 40,000 vasectomies carried out every year in the UK, so there are more than just genetic factors in deciding birth rates. I believe immigration is a big issue just now in the UK also so I don't think population levels should be a great concern. Politicians are concerned about future tax revenues mostly, but this will change as more pressing issues come to the fore in the next year or 2.
you mean factors like traditions and precedent spanning back through all of human history? Genetically and culturally, raising the total population has always been a priority. The trend you are try to fight started at the dawn of man. Good luck stopping that momentum.
Right. Those that are concerned for the future of the planet get vasectomies. Those that don't give a damn or those who think that it's God's plan to fry the planet, anyway, go on procreating like rabbits.
Do you see where this is going?
based on the trends about caring about and doing things for the future of the planet, sounds like it's going nowhere.
No. The decision to have or not have kids is generally a logical reaction to socioeconomic conditions, not a question of intelligence or morals. IOW, it's not hereditary.
Just look at the typical pattern of immigrants to the US. People come over, have huge families, then each generation, the family size shrinks until it's the same as the norm for long-established US families. If it was just "Marching Morons" syndrome, you would not expect to see that pattern. Nor would you expect to find falling birthrates in countries like Japan. (Don't they have any dumb, short-sighted people there?)
I don't think that's quite accurate. The urge for sex is genetic, and so is the urge to care for the helpless. But they need not be connected. For example, adoption is common, not only among humans, but throughout the animal kingdom.
IMO, this is not a trivial distinction. We have to work with our biology, not against it. And it's possible.
Adoption still requires procreation. On top of that, it's mostly babies that get adopted, not some wayward adult that can't figure out how to survive on their own. I'd say that the desire for babies seems to be the genetic picture here.
Adoption is not the only option, though. You can care for children without adopting them. You can care for animals. In both Europe and the US, people seem to substitute pets for children. In Japan, they're even building robotic pets for lonely people who cannot care for real ones. Which is kind of sad, really. In a more natural structure (the extended family/small village), it wouldn't be necessary. There would be children in the community to care for.
I'll say that you may be right, but the pet argument sure as hell doesn't convince me. I mean, most pets are trained (or manufactured, in the case of robots) to exhibit a lot of the codependent behavior of children. Pets may be a good friend for lonely people, but I'd say that they are no real substitute to real kids. eg. give a dog to a hungry person, and they might eat it. Give them a baby and they'd likely sacrifice for it.
Edit: I realized i didn't address the main argument. Basically, if pets worked as a good replacement for babies, there wouldn't be a problem.
I don't think pets are a long-term solution. Indeed, it might be considered downright immoral to keep pets when there's not enough resources for humans.
I think NZSanctuary has the right idea. "It takes a village to raise a child."
And I don't think the desire to have one's own children is as strong as you think. The fact is, the population is falling naturally in Japan and some European countries...by choice, not by government edict or Malthusian forces. Yes, some people really want kids. That's fine. Some of us have to have kids if the human race is to continue.
Leanan, I don't know if you saw this but it's the must have for this years christmas.
http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/technology/7532162.stm
Talk about a generation of kids not having a real meaningful loving contact with life, devastatingly sad.
This news item just made me feel sick to the stomach.
Interesting (in, yes, a tragically shallow way)..
Reminds me of my reaction to Spielberg and Kubrick's movie 'AI', where the little boy robot replaced the couple's terminally ill human son, and was programmed to LOVE them and be devoted, etc... after the right combination of keywords was spoken to him.
I thought the filmmakers' error was that they programmed the boy with 'WUV' instead. Outward Affectations/behaviours, without the actual social, physical and emotional needs and connections that living individuals develop with one another. Alas.
Just think of the money they will make when they get a full scale Keira Knightley version rolling of the deliveries ramp...
"It takes a whole village to raise a child"
Perhaps it's time we start contemplating the meaning of this saying more fully.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sociobiology
This type of behavior goes way beyond just the "urge for sex".
Not really. As long as the female lion is nursing, she won't go into heat. If the male lion wants sex, he has to get rid of the cubs.
thank you, i think the term homo-insapiens is a better term for our current species since we lack the long term capacity as a whole to deserve the name thinking man. better hopes for the next in the line of sapien's to have that name.
Awesome, writing off all of human achievement for some current short-sightedness.
What achievement?
So far we are in the list of "ephemeral" species, with minimal chance of increasing our grade to "shortlived."
just because we may live fast, die young doesn't mean we didn't achieve along the way.
One American child will consume more than ten 3rd world children. And one upper middle class child more than thirty.
Think of the SUVs justified for "safety" to shuttle children to the stereotypical soccer practice et al.
Advocating fewer American children to the internet reading audience is NOT addressing the "wrong demographic".
Best Hopes for Fewer Children,
Alan
Here is a passing thought/question:
Will the resource per capatia ratio always be this high if we enter a period of sustained conservation?
I would love to know what % of hits on this site are by kids and what percentage of you allow/encourage your kids read this website? My wife would beat the crap out of me if I introduced my ONLY son to this doomer porn!! He is only 3!.
Marco.
Wait till he is 7 :-)
Alan
I think there is a serious flaw in this argument. That one American child will not beget ten grandchildren. At least the populations of the advanaced countries are no longer participating in the rapid exponential growth of the population.
Two responses yesterday to your question about window heat pumps if you did not see them.
American children beget another type of growth. I look at the resources devoted to my six nieces & nephews and compare those used by my siblings and I and then compare what we used to my parents, and a Kenyan family of six does not look so bad.
Biggest factor in our favor is the # of years between generations vs. the Kenyans.
Alan
Unfortunately Alan, the US birth statistics are skewed toward the lower end of the socio-economic ladder, while that stated cost is primarily shared by the upper end. To slow procreation in America we have to up the effective education and employment security of the lower tiers AND reduce the incentives for unlimited procreation.
Again, population on both the world and national level is the elephant in the peak-oil room and we are loath to discuss the obvious -- we will NEED to have purposeful population control in order to prevent inevitable natural population control consequences. We will eventually need to be draconian in our immigration control as well if we are to prevent the same local consequences regardless, and doing so would help the birthrate issue also.
Who knew that cheap energy is a favored soporific of the Four Horsemen? Once they sleep off this oil bender they're going to be hung-over and looking to make up for lost time.
So it is alright for us rich white people to have kids ? Kids that we can drive to soccer practice in SUVs ?
The issue of population is like oil consumption, there are NO # exceptions !
Alan
# A strong argument could be made for responsible, low consumption parents having one child. See China ?? (responsible ....)
And yet, here I sit in the heart of the United States with so few people that we can barely maintain our social infrastructure. By that I mean enough people to even sit on a school board, run the soil and water conservation district, the county public health board, etc... To say nothing of teaching Sunday school and organizing a blood drive.
We are nearly at frontier level populations. We've lost 50% of the population in the last 30 years. And yet, when our county emergency preparation committee meets (required since 9/11) we are preparing for a doubling of population when the next unexpected crisis hits. We are more than one gas tank away from a major metro area and so we aren't planning on the 3 fold increase that counties closer to the Metro are preparing for.
And the reason we are depopulated is not because of lack of resources-- we have deep, rich soils, rain-fed agriculture, our county is one of the most important stepping stones for migratory waterfowl across the North American continent. 10% of our surface area is fresh water in this county. We are on the ridge of a major wind belt and I see the ananometer from my garden.
Not sure where this lead except those places where we could have made a honest, sustainable livings have been stripped of the human capital to make it happen.
The stripping of human capital - those willing to contribute to the community - doesn't seem to be directly related to population. If you simply doubled your population, you'd not necessarily fill positions on the blood drive or school board. That people seem helpless w/r/t the machine is a much bigger part of the picture. See "Bowling Alone" for more of the gory details.
cfm in Gray, ME
Data and analysis from our landgrant university showed that 1 of every 3 people in our region are needed to serve on the elected and appointed position. That's a high percentage that doesn't even include important social infrastructure like church, girl scouts, and meal on wheels, for example. So there is an element of population needed to serve on these positions.
Granted you could make a case that we have too many boards and commitees. I haven't seen many that are not needed myself- planning and zoning, public health, emergency preparedness, county commission, soil and water, school board (we don't have PTA). We have community coherence because we have a number of men and women who serve on the civic club, community service club, etc..
Unfortunately for us, evolution selects for those who ignore the overshoot problem. I suspect there are quite a few Oil Drum readers who went out and got vasectomies a long time ago, myself included. But we are a very select minority. I have an employee who is a regular church goer whose daughter just pumped out grandbaby number four. Her only comment on the oil problem is that "they can make oil out of garbage now". The human brain did not evolve to solve the overshoot problem (except through the Four Horsemen).
SolarDude, you seem to be one of the very few people on this list who actually "gets it". This is a world problem, not a national problem. Every nation will suffer. Some third world nations will suffer because in recent years their population has multiplied several times due to inputs of fertilizer, technology and energy from other nations.
Some oil producing nations will be in terrible shape. Oil producing nations of the Middle east have seen the greatest population explosion of all. Kuwait had a population of 191,000 in 1957. They now have a population of almost 2.6 million. I cannot find Saudi Arabia's historical population but they probably had a population of around one to two million people before their oil was discovered. They now have a population of over 22 million without even counting their foreign nationals. These previous population numbers represent the absolute maximum those desert sands would support without imported food.
Japan, Taiwan and South Korea will be in just as bad a shape without oil. They have no oil, virtually no coal or anything else. They will suffer tremendously. China and India will suffer also but at least they have a little land for farming. Their populations will be devastated but not to the extent of Kuwait, Saudi, Japan, Taiwan and South Korea.
And no one is to fault dammit! Given human nature, that is just the way things worked out. No one saw this coming fifty years ago. And, trying to make our lives and the lives of our children better was just human nature. Pointing the crooked finger of blame at this nation or that culture is simply dumb. It is just in our nature to behave the way we all behave.
Ron Patterson
they can also make oil from corpses these days through "thermal depolymerization" (although its promoters don't talk about the Energy Return on Energy Invested)
"soylent oil is people!"
www.oilempire.us/soylent.html
they say that you are what you eat.
coca-cola is made of corn syrup, and hamburger is made from corn-fed cows. an american's body is, therefore, made of corn.
the corn energy returned by thermal depolymerization of americans can be no more than the energy in the corn eaten by the american, minus all the energy it took to grow the body, keep it alive, and move it around during its lifetime.
so, yeah thermal depolymerization of americans is likely to have a lower EROEI than corn ethanol.
E-85 is people!
Unless a worldwide policy is adopted, this is totally USELESS.
I would disagree. Like so many solutions, they begin and end with individual choices.
Buckminster Fuller agreed very much with this assessment as well. He liked to give the example of a trim tab on the rudder of a large ship. Just a small change in the trim tab could change the direction of the ship. His life, to him, was an experiment on what one individual could do to change things globally.
I had a look at the childfree website but it doesn't mention the big picture of human population vs. finite planet. It just seems to promote not having children as a lifestyle choice and celebrate life without children for those that don't have them. In my own circle, it is my childless friends who do the most international travel for leisure, but perhaps that's not typical.
Though population control advocates are quick to point out overpopulation as "an elephant in the room" type problem for human society, I feel they have their own "elephant in the room" in that the other main driver of overpopulation, i.e., people living longer, is almost never addressed. The irony here is that while people can choose to be childless, people cannot legally choose to terminate their own lives or lives of aged loved ones who are clearly in pain and will not recover. Regarding the finite planet issue, prolonging the life of someone who may be unwilling to live further can also consume a significant amount of resources. Unlike someone having a child, for example, such resource use does not further human happiness. According to this article, up to half the health care you receive will be just before you die.
http://findarticles.com/p/articles/mi_m0LVZ/is_8_17/ai_84895863
While this is no demand for killing off the oldies as in Logan's Run, the right to end one's life in a dignified manner needs to be recognized, both from a moral and resource-use perspective. It is both cruel and ultimately pointless for doctors to keep people alive against their will when their quality of life does not warrant it.
As an aside, if the financial system collapses in the Western world, birth rates could well increase again because pensions would disappear and the most reliable or possibly only form of elderly care would again be the extended family. Talk of people popping out kids with merry abandon in poor countries often ignores such simple dynamics of family life and family economics.
Re. Suicide
Yes, it is possible to chose to die when one wishes. However, I do grant that it takes the support of many people.
The easiest way is to simply stop taking fluids. Clearly, someone choosing this path is doing it because they want to die since in the early days one is thirsty. It takes about 5-7 days. After the thirst passes, the person lapses into semi-consciousness. And, eventually becomes comatose. They die peacefully.
My wife's aunt chose this course with the support of her doctor, the
"acceptance" of the nursing home personnel (they had the hardest time dealing with it) and, of course, we family members. "Mary's" only complaint during the process is that she'd have lucid moments and be distraught that she hadn't died. A family member was there at the end. "Mary" took a deep breath was gone peacefully.
We've had a few friends who shot themselves. This created trauma for everyone involved.
Todd
For those who aren't married yet, and want to find a partner who shares their view that a childless marriage is the best way to go, check out:
Dinklink: A child-free dating service -- Married No Kids!
My girlfriend and I are united in our desire not to have children. However, she does already have two kids: a pair of Staffies. :D