Some of JHK's short term prognostication seems ideologically driven (by his dislike of suburbia, pop-culture, Wall St. bankers, etc.) and that causes him to stick his neck out more than he should, at times.

However -- and I don't think I'm overstating this -- his ability to see the big picture is uncanny. He "gets it" in a way that most other cultural observers, politicians, business leaders, etc. either fail to or refuse to get it. He is showing himself to be one of the most influential thinkers in this young 21st century. An ex-Rolling Stone editor. Who'd have thunk it?