64 comments on The Myth of Election Year Price Manipulation
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64 comments on The Myth of Election Year Price Manipulation
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GAIA Host Collective
It's totally clear that Robert has been bought off by people who want to gouge us. How could it be otherwise, why shouldn't we be able to buy as much gas as we want at a (criminally low, strikeout) reasonable price using dollars? What do you mean the rest of the world drives smaller cars and pays more? that's just because they are commie surrenderists trying to take us over. We need to cut back THEIR consumption, after all things were OK before chindians started driving cars. Anyway if this peking oil thing is half right how can i make enough money out of it to continue running my yank tank? After all us hockey moms gotta stick together, wink!
/sarcanol off/
Robert, good data but I think your conclusions are a little too hasty. We actually have very good evidence of price manipulation in 2004: straight from the mouth of Bush himself. If we can believe Bob Woodward, that is. Woodward wrote in State of Denial about a conversation between Bush and Saudi Prince Bandar, thanking Bandar for increasing production in 2004.
I agree entirely that the US oil companies don't have the market power to influence prices significantly. But as you write, OPEC still can, and in particular Saudi Arabia. Confessions of an Economic Hit Man is a good review of the very interesting history between Saudi Arabia and the US.
I've got State of Denial: Bush at War Part III sitting on my table at home and Woodward does say that President Bush thanked Bandar Bush for Saudi Arabia adding extra crude to the global market in the months leading up to the 2004 presidential elections to take the energy off the table as a major issue for the American voters.
The recent drop in crude prices has a lot to do with recent releases from the SPR, not from a decrease in global demand.
Here's an excerpt from my 10/4/06 blog post (http://blog.myspace.com/index.cfm?fuseaction=blog.view&friendID=69613389&blogID=176118880...
"Here's the transcript from 5:46 on from http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JsDEXfhMH7E:
Wallace: "Prince Bandar enjoys easy access to the Oval Office. His family and the Bush family are close. And Woodward told us that Bandar has promised the President that Saudi Arabia will lower Oil Prices in the months before the election to ensure the U.S. Economy is strong on Election Day."
Wallace: "And you also say, Bandar wanted Bush to know that the Saudis hope to fine tune Oil Prices to prime the economy in 2004. What was key (Bandar understood) were the economic conditions before a Presidential Election."
Wallace: "Oil Prices are at an all time high!"
Woodward: "They're high, and they could go down very quickly. That's the Saudi pledge. Certainly over the Summer or as we get closer to the Election, they could increase production several million barrels a day and the price would drop significantly."
"The recent drop in crude prices has a lot to do with recent releases from the SPR, not from a decrease in global demand."
I don't think so, SPR stocks have decreased less than 5MM barrels. From 707,215 M barrels to 702,400 M barrels.
(EIA) That 6 hours worth of demand for the US and 90 minutes for the world.
MMS shows a shut in loss of 38MM barrels due to Hurricanes in the Gulf Since Aug 30th. Through Oct 8th.
Very true, a real eye-opener.