64 comments on The Myth of Election Year Price Manipulation
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64 comments on The Myth of Election Year Price Manipulation
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But U.S. oil companies do not have the power to manipulate prices to impact elections.
I don't support the view that prices are currently being manipulated. However, the claim that the market cannot be manipulated is highly dubious. There is a plausible mechanism of manipulation, which was discussed in the context of mid-term elections in 2006:
The NY Times discussing this same phenomenon: Change in Goldman Index Played Role in Gasoline Price Drop
Matt Simmons himself has stated that:
If you want to state that the market cannot be manipulated, and is not powerfully affected by speculators, you should directly address the more plausible mechanism noted above, and the arguments given by Simmons in the above paper. Personally, I wouldn't use the term "manipulation", but I would claim that speculators and other purely financial interests play a very large role in the market, going both up and down. Given that the entire financial system is rife with financial excesses and chicanery, I find it highly unlikely that the oil market is a temple of purity.
However, the claim that the market cannot be manipulated is highly dubious.
And of course I didn't make that claim. From the article:
Also, while I know that you believe speculation played a very big role in recent price run-ups, many here do not believe that. If they don't believe that speculation ran the price up, it's kind of hard to accept that it ran the price down as the speculators unloaded their positions (not my position, but in essence the position of many posters here).
It seems that the administration can have at least as much impact on oil price as OPEC.
Just count the number of times the administration threatened to bomb Iran, and the number of carrier battle groups in the area, this year vs. the previous two years.
By ceasing the saber rattling they can impact oil futures without conspiracies or other machinations.
Commodities markets are under the manipulation of the Federal Reserve Bank, Goldman Sachs and other large global institutions, although control varies with circumstance.
Hundreds of Trillions of Dollars are leveraged via the OTC Shadow Exchanges.
DeepCaster has some very good articles:
http://www.financialsense.com/fsu/editorials/deepcaster/archive.html
When Peak Oil becomes clearly supported by the Numbers these crook's will shove us over the precipice.