122 comments on Cutting Through the Coskata Cellulosic Ethanol Hype
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122 comments on Cutting Through the Coskata Cellulosic Ethanol Hype
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GAIA Host Collective
Thank you Robert. I was just wishing for an update on cellulosic ethanol technologies.
I think your point about transportation being a huge weakness for cellulosic is very important. Here is a graph from Cleveland's piece on Past Energy Transitions.
An eyeball estimate is that coal is 10 times as energy dense as wood by volume and 2 times as dense by weight. So possibly 20 times more truckloads to move the same energy? Now, what about uncompacted cellulose? twigs, branches, hay, grasses?
So the plants must be small, co located with the material and using a source that can be harvested easily year round.
And just to get a scale of the problem. Farmers use 5 billion gallons of diesel per year today. That is quite a few douglas firs.
First of all, thanks RR. And John, you beat me to it. IIRC, Miscanthus is 15 to 20 times less energy dense (by volume) than coal. So that would give you one train every 4 minutes at the 100MG/year ethanol plant! Maybe pyrolysis of biomass locally into bio-oil is worth looking at? (producing bio-oil, syngas and heat) And then ship the oil to more centralized bio-refineries?
There is some data on collection, storage and transportation of productive grasses. The Chariton Valley project collected switchgrass and after storage burned it in a power plant to see if it could displace coal. They discovered that they have to keep it dry (switchgrass is a powerful wick structure in a bale) and then at the plant they had to debale it and then grind it for the boilers, in the same way as one would grind it for any other processing. Their numbers, as I recall, were about $60 a ton for everything before the plant and $20 a ton for processing at the plant - there were some combustion issues as well that I can't fully remember this morning.
Thanks HO! So $80 per ton total? How does that compare to what power stations pay for coal? OK, just checked Google, and here in the UK, Scottish Power announced a 97% increase in coal costs from Feb '07 to Feb '08, ie from $68 per tonne to $134 per tonne.
Link: http://www.scottishpower.com/PressReleases_1622.htm
So, $80 per ton for switch grass would be a bargain, no? Hmm, just realized that if energy density by mass is approx 2:1 then you need 2 tons of switchgrass for each ton of coal, ie $160 versus $134. OK, now we need to add in the carbon cost of coal. Yesterday CO2 was 18.4 EUR/tonne or $23.7/tonne. I'm finding a number of 2.4 tonnes CO2 per tonne of coal so CO2 cost is approx $56 per tonne.
OK, my calcs show for equivalent energy, switchgrass is more expensive than coal ($160 to $134). But if you add in CO2 costs, switchgrass is cheaper ($160 to $190). Assuming, naively I know, that switchgrass is CO2 neutral.
At the time the plant operator was paying closer to $20 a ton for the coal - and the plant did not factor in some of the combustion issues, or some of the costs in growing the grass, since EPA mandated that the field could only contain permitted species and thus it had to be treated with some weed killers to remove unwanted species. (This is from a paper that was given at Dubuque last year, and which I wrote about at the time .) Going back to check the reference I see I got some of the numbers wrong
They harvest the grass after a killing frost, so that virtually all the nutrients have left the plant body which is harvested, and are left in the root bit which is left on site. The grass is bundled into special bales 3 x 4 x 8 ft, and hauled to storage. You can’t leave it in the field as it wicks water, and it must be stored on gravel in a barn (same reason). Bale integrity controls energy availability. The bales weigh 1,000 lb and when reground for combustion they prove to be abrasive, and moisture content helps with this (12% moisture at the boiler if kept well, which matches the harvested value). The third test burn used 25,000 tons of grass over the 90-day test period. It cost $61 per ton for haulage, and $26 per ton for re-processing the grass at the power plant into small fragments (< ¾ inch) that could be blown into the furnace. The plant was paying about $20 a ton for the coal, and in the above you will note that the farmer did not get paid for the grass. Like the coal, the grass had to be totally consumed by the fireball within 3 seconds of being fed into the boiler fireball.
They displaced 2% of the coal in these tests, and are now permitted to burn the switchgrass.
Torrefaction is definitely worth looking at for such fuels. The torrefied product does not absorb water (most of the OH groups have been removed) and could be milled easily to powder.
Or some plant which processes the biomass to a transportable form must be.
There are some candidates for transportable forms. Torrefaction can be used to dry and densify biomass, make its properties more uniform and reduce the dry mass by about 30% while losing only about 10% of the energy; the product is better than coal in some ways because it is not hygroscopic. Torrefied biomass can be gasified more easily than raw biomass because it is both dry and friable. There is also fast pyrolysis to bio-oil.
At 140,000 BTU/gal, that's about 0.7 quads.
Herbacious biomass is about 15 million BTU per bone-dry ton. If 70% of the energy can be produced as storable fuel, that's 10.5 million BTU/ton. 0.7 quads of fuel would require about 67 million tons of biomass. The USA has a potential of about 300 million tons of crop wastes alone (straw, corn stover, etc.); we can power agricultural machinery from the farm, it's everything else that we need to worry about.
I didn't look at the details of Coskata's technology, but in general I am not so pessimistic about the feasibility of 2nd generation (= cellulosic) biomass conversion - even in the colder climate of Germany. This applies especially to of producing bio-gas using fermenters - a widespread and mature technology that farmers use to produce heat and / or electricity. With some more recent technologies (e.g. using extruders), that allegedly result in a positive EROEI, the applicability of the fermenters is enhanced to celullosic matter that could hardly be used before, e.g. wooden twigs.
About two years ago a study of the renowned Leipzig Institute for Energy assessed that this way on the long run this could supply the entire natural gas demand of Germany.
Electicity produced in these can already be fed into the national electricity network (and is paid by a feed in tariff) and feeding in the gas in to the national gas pipeline network probably will be possible from 2014.
At the time of the study biogas was still more expensive than natgas (I should look up the exact price tag), but with the present import prices it is certainly more than competitive.
According to this study (and others) using small, decentral fermenters feeding into the gas pipeline network avoids the need of transporting low-energy biomass over long distances. This is also an advantage over other more complex biofuel technologies developed by Choren or (with a somewhat less centralized approach) Lurgi.
Until recently biofuels as car fuel additive had a strong political support (possibly also due to agriculture lobbyism). But with increasing evidences of the ecological and technical limits of (1st generation) biofuel is now aiming lower. However I fear that due to our strong car lobby it will still take a while until there is a clear target to concentrate on developing the much more efficient electricity for transportation and conserve hydrocarbons for applications where they cannot be replaced.