Hello Souperman,

Thxs for the plug, but I won't be there. I suggested earlier that some TopTODer clue in Bill Doyle [topdog of POT] to Peak Everything, then have him present at ASPO. He would probably get his statistical staff to pound out an impressive report on the potential 'What, Where, When, Why, and How' of future declining global I-NPK & sulfur flowrates caused by declining net FF flowrates, plus additional stats on the need for ramping O-NPK flowrates.

IMO, just as the Oil Megaprojects Report shows oilfield development delays: this could probably also be extrapolated further into an I-NPK greenfield delay wikiproject. For example: will the mega huge plans for the MiddleEast's mines and Haber-Bosch plants be on schedule? Or will they miss their current projected completion timeslots thus forcing I-NPK prices higher as we annually add another 80 million more mouths to feed?

Recall that countries went to O-NPK wars [see War of the Pacific, Guano Wars, Atacama Desert] long before we had any extensive data gathering and analysis abilities on the guano and nitrate deposits. The scale and duration of future I-NPK wars might be mitigated by proactive and early expert analysis.

I haven't done the research, but the Saskatchewan potash[K] mines may be in a relatively good future timeline position if hydropower electrojuice energizes their operations. I am guessing that the phosphate[P] mines and beneficiation factories in Florida and Morocco are mostly FF-powered, therefore, they may have a much more difficult future timeline keeping their flowrates up. My feeble two cents.

Bob Shaw in Phx,Az Are Humans Smarter than Yeast?