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100 comments on How Much Will Gustav and Ike Affect Gas Supplies? An Update.
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100 comments on How Much Will Gustav and Ike Affect Gas Supplies? An Update.
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Thanks for the work Gail, Have a good trip.
Indeed. Great job, as usual. Thanks Gail.
Yes thanks. In the TWIP Report data is displayed that is very clear about that the a crisis is about to hit the East and Southeast by looking at the regional data. It is the extremes that kill; you can drown in a river that is on average 2 inches deep.
On the right side you can see the plunging inventories in the East and Gulf regions. Note this started before the hurricanes.
The market is responding. The Houston price last week is a regional warning. Hopefully a regional crisis will create a national awareness.
And here we have evidence of government manipulation of the price of oil as I suggested last week (and was sumarily derided for):
MSN
Did the government force down oil prices/
The United States government successfully popped the commodities bubble and brought down oil prices just in time for the election season, according to the latest rumor spreading around Wall Street trading desks.
Market strategist Donald Coxe from Canada's BMO Capital Markets discussed this idea in a note to clients last week. In his words, Ben Bernanke and Hank Paulson, trapped between commodity-fueled inflation and a tumbling financial sector, took "the pressure off the heavily-levered banks by putting pressure on the heavily-levered speculators and hedge funds that were short the banks and the dollar, and long the commodities."
They accomplished this in July by announcing the U.S. Treasury would extend Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac a line of credit while holding open the possibility of equity purchases -- moving the government's implicit guarantee of the GSE freak shows firmly into the explicit column. Coxe dubs it the July 13th Commodity Massacre.
By releasing the news over the weekend, when Asian markets were opening and liquidity was limited, the impact on both trader psychology and price were maximized. Moreover, the announcement was accompanied by a crackdown on short selling of financial stocks and "false rumors" by the SEC, as well as a reclassification of commodity traders by the CTFC.
The high flying hedge funds had flown straight into the G-Man's trap.
More at the link