![]() | Mining the Oceans: Can We Extract Minerals from Seawater? | The Oil Drum | POLL: CLV08 blew past $100...so, in the next 60 days, the front month price of CL will... | ![]() |
100 comments on How Much Will Gustav and Ike Affect Gas Supplies? An Update.
Comments can no longer be added to this story.
| Show without comments | PDF version
100 comments on How Much Will Gustav and Ike Affect Gas Supplies? An Update.
Comments can no longer be added to this story.
| Show without comments | PDF version
Search The Oil Drum with Google
Support The Oil Drum
Recently on TOD:World
TOD:Campfire
TOD:Europe
- Peak Gold, Easier to Model than Peak Oil? - Part I
- Carbon Capture and Storage
- Oilwatch Monthly November 2009
TOD:Canada
- In this house, we obey the laws of thermodynamics!
- The Round-Up: October 24, 2008
- Compressed Air Energy Storage - How viable is it?
TOD:Australia/NZ
- International Energy Agency calls 'Peak' on OECD Oil Demand
- Australian Senate: Peak Oil motion defeated 31:6
- The Bullroarer - Friday 20th November 2009
TOD:Net Energy
Blogroll
Energy Sites
- The Coming Global Oil Crisis
- Die Off
- Dry Dipstick
- Energy Bulletin
- From the Wilderness
- Life After the Oil Crash
- Peak Oil Crisis
- Peak Oil News and Message Boards
- Powerswitch
- Rigzone
- Matthew Simmons
- Wolf at the Door
Environment & Sustainability Sites
- The Daily Green
- EcoGeek
- Eco Street
- Green Car Congress
- Green Options
- green.alltop.com
- Gristmill
- RealClimate
- Sustainablog
- Treehugger
- WorldChanging
Blogs
- Casaubon's Book
- Cleantech Blog
- Clusterf
k Nation (Jim Kunstler) - The Cost of Energy
- David Strahan
- Early Warning
- The Energy Blog
- European Tribune
- GraphOilology
- Health After Oil
- jeffvail.net
- Mobjectivist
- Peak Energy (Australia)
- Peak Energy (USA)
- R-Squared
- Resource Insights
Finance & Economics Blogs
- The Big Picture
- Calculated Risk
- The Crash Course
- Ecological Economics
- Econbrowser
- Environmental Economics
- Infectious Greed
- The Mess That Greenspan Made
- Mish's Global Economic Trend Analysis
Organizations
Peak Oil Primers
Beware email scams!
Beware email scams claiming to be from this site. We do not have any job openings. If anyone contacts you about a job at The Oil Drum, do not reply to them, and definitely do not give them any personal information or send them money. Read more here.
“Pessimism of the Intellect; Optimism of the Will.”
—Antonio Gramsci
User login
Contact
- Content: editors at theoildrum dot com
- Tech support: support at theoildrum dot com
Personnel
- Editors: Nate Hagens, Gail the Actuary, Prof. Goose
- DrumBeat Editor: Leanan
- Contributors: ace, Engineer-Poet, Heading Out, jeffvail, JoulesBurn, Sam Foucher, Robert Rapier
- TOD:Campfire: Glenn, Jason Bradford
- TOD:Europe: Chris Vernon, Euan Mearns, Francois Cellier, Jerome a Paris, Luís de Sousa, Rembrandt, Rune Likvern, Ugo Bardi
- TOD:Canada: benk, Libelle
- TOD:ANZ: Big Gav, Phil Hart, aeldric
- Emeritus: Stuart Staniford
- Technician: Super G
License
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-Share Alike 3.0 United States License.










GAIA Host Collective
And its seems there is some potential for a new tropical storm to form again!

Ah, interesting.
The year 1985 had a double-double whammy on the Gulf Coast:
Round One
Danny: Landed in LA on 15 Aug, Cat-1 with maximum winds of 80-kt and min pressure of 987 mb. The hurricane strengthened up to the point of landfall on the sparsely-populated central coast. Peak storm surge to the east of the hurricane rached 5-8 feet in LA and 2-3 feet in AL and MS.
Elena: Landed near Biloxi, MS, on 02 Sep with maximum winds of 110-kt and a min pressure of about 953 mb. Like Danny, this hurricane continued strengthening even as it neared the coast. The storm surge, generally 3-6 feet, reached 6-10 feet at some locations to the east of the center.
Round Two
Juan: Landed near Morgan City, LA, on 29 Oct with maximum winds of 75-kt and a min pressure of 971 mb. Then, after looping over Lafayette (the second loop on a complex path), the weakening tropical cyclone moved back into the GOM in the vicinity of Vermilion Bay. Juan, reorganizing over the warm waters, headed east toward a FL landfall on 31 Oct, with maximum winds of about 75-80 kt. Juan's slow, loopy path kept the system in the northern GOM for about five days.
Kate: Landed near Mexico Beach, FL, on 21 Nov with maximum winds of 85-kt and a min pressure of 967 mb. Mainly due to the presence of cooler waters in the northern GOM, and increasing shear from an approaching midlatitude trough, Kate was on a weakening trend before landfall. Peak intensity had been 105-kt and 955 mb on 20 Nov. An encounter with Cuba on 19 Nov, where the eye largely went over land, had only a modest impact on this hurricane's strength, and, after moving into the GOM, the hurricane intensified at nearly 1 mb/hr over the next day. Storm surge reached 11 feet at Cape San Blas, FL.
--
Given Katrina+Rita in 2005 and Gustav+Ike in 2008, it seems like one hurricane can have a significant impact on energy infrastructure, but two in close temporal association can have an incredibly bad impact. I wonder if a "one hurricane in isolation" is the typical assumption for emergency planning and the hardening of critical networks such as the electricity grid? Two hurricanes striking in a similar vicinity within a month of each other is rare on the Gulf Coast, but not incredibly so, perhaps a once-a-decade event. A triple or quadruple attack over 2-3 months is more rare, but common enough to appear in the historical record.
-best,
Wolf
Yes, 1 is looking like it's about to form - Kyle would be his name I believe.
Did we already have a Josephine? Did I miss one? :)
Josephine was born and fizzled in mid-Atlantic without doing any harm while we were busy watching Ike.