193 comments on DrumBeat: October 12, 2008
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193 comments on DrumBeat: October 12, 2008
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This pro-farming article predicted the U.S. cannot produce enough corn to meet demand:
http://www.agriculture.com/ag/story.jhtml?storyid=/templatedata/ag/story...
The USDA predicted high year end grain stock piles, although there is increased risk of frost damage due to late spring planting:
http://ap.google.com/article/ALeqM5icdx5w6HrbtM5RxjufzJ1Yxj0YPgD93NLFM80
This Peoria article indicates $4.60 corn prices are much higher than the pre-ethanol $2.30/bushel averages:
http://www.pjstar.com/business/x2004894008/Farmers-reaping-strong-demand
Another writer reported an expected 14% decrease in demand for livestock feed corn. There was a culling of cattle from herds and an increase in beef output as the price of corn reached $8.00 per bushel.
Ethanol demand is down due to decreased driving.
Southern farmers face worst season ever
8 Oct 2008
Victorian farmers are asking state and federal governments to repeat the $20,000 cash grants to irrigators and 50 per cent subsidies on municipal rates that helped them through last year''s drought affected season. Some farmers have received municipal rate increases of up to 68 per cent while irrigators must pay water bills in full, depite not receiving the full allocation. This season is shaping up as one of the worst in the state''s history as northern grain growers start cutting crops for hay, dairy farmers feedlot their herds and horticulture growers ponder their viability. Inflows into the Grampians and northern Victoria''s irrigation storages are at record lows following a failed autumn and disastrous September.
The Weekly Times, 08/10/2008
ABARE says the winter wheat crop is now forecast at 12.1 million tonnes, compared with a previous estimate of 15.5 million tonnes and the original estimate of 22.5 million tonnes in June. Exports have also been slashed by 18%.(http://www.abareconomics.com/publications_html/cr/cr_07/cr07_oct.pdf)
This forecast is under the one earlier this month from the US Department of Agriculture which estimated Australia's harvest at 13.5 million tonnes, compared to 21 million tonnes in September and 23 million tonnes in the first estimate in August. That will be updated in about two weeks.
http://www.abnnewswire.net/press/en/43893/Australasian-Investment-Review...