Nate, I have spent the last few days at parents weekend at MIT as my daughter is a sophomore. I had an interesting discussion with the president of the Institute. To my surprise, she not only was aware of the seriousness of the current financial situation, aware of the seriousness of the current energy situation, including peak oil, but was more than willing to openly discuss both. That is until her handlers decided she needed to talk to someone other than me and dragged her away. The last comment she made (paraphrased) was that we as a country probably only have one last chance to save our economy and our country as we know it and that is to develop a new energy growth industry based on our innovation and hard work. Jobs produced locally and not given away to other countries. As you would guess, she is quite concerned.

The President of MIT? That IS encouraging...

I think the situation is thus. Two people, head to head, and there is little politics - they can tell it like it is - especially if the other person is part of their 'tribe' on that topic. Once a third person joins, tiny bits of the truth are withheld, so as to continue the discussion in the common circle that the three share. As the numbers in the group increase, the common circle of opinions, beliefs, concerns, priorities, etc. shrinks. What comes out in discussions in large groups is politics: watered down statements that pass our internal cultural editor, and sound politically correct to the group. Think of Obama and McCain, talking to tens of thousands -the circles are so small as to be sophomoric in content.

But, as I said, that is encouraging...I expect a great number of people out there 'get it', but are rarely in situations they can voice their opinions without social ridicule.

I've had two encounters with fellow MIT alumni at the Portland Maine Bioneers satellite conference this weekend. The first, with an architect (I too was course 4 and 11) - she was proposing plans to put trains UNDER Rt 95 and to turn the above ground into local new urbanism strip complete with parking meters at which one could
plug in one's EV - all powered by solar of course. What's that, off by three orders of magnitude every way you look at it?

The other encounter - more disturbing - was with a group associated with EPA's new "Environmental Finance" group. Essentially, they are planning to rebuild the entire coastline of US, assuming global warming and bigger storms. I contributed my usual pithy rant about the only Smart Growth is shrinking and "there aren't enough resources on the planet", yadda, yadda. But they are stuck in their silos and focused exclusively on water levels
and storm surge. SLOSH they called the model.

It wasn't until I was halfway home that I realized something else: the scale of that EPA undertaking implies that "our" government has given up on any effort to stop AGW, but intends to handle the results as "opportunity" aka tsunami aka New Orleans aka Disaster Capitalism. Ilargi wrapped today's AE update with What we see unfold before our eyes is not an economic crisis. It is something much bigger.. Doubleplus yes.

What is the MIT mascot? A beaver. And there's that inscription something to effect of "we will tame the world". It's not helpful to "get it" unless one contributes as well and more beavers chewing won't help. An institution like that dumping resources into resiliency thinking and community planning libraries would be powerful. [And I'll point out that a disproportionate number of systems analysts and thinkers DO come from there.] Still, follow the money; funding determines. If I recall, I cost them something like $250k and only paid maybe $20k; I too am a product of the Pentagon.

As for loincloths, sure, I'd treasure a TODO logowear branded loincloth. Think how easy it would be to identify other TODers by sight!

cfm in Gray, ME

What is the MIT mascot? A beaver. And there's that inscription something to effect of "we will tame the world". It's not helpful to "get it" unless one contributes as well and more beavers chewing won't help.

Put an ever increasing number of beavers on a stream or lake and soon all the damn dam* building materials and food source is all gone. Then the beavers can not repair their damn dams when the rains come and they have no pond and no foods so they all die off - And the denuded landscape is ravaged and gullied and ruined by the storm waters.
Welcome to the modern world of Government and Corporate leaders encouraging over breeding of our species and over consumption of our natural recourses which will shaft our children, grandchildren, great grandchildren, ad naseum.

*I live on a farm with a river on one border and a small lake and creek. Beavers are NOT my friends!

*I live on a farm with a river on one border and a small lake and creek. Beavers are NOT my friends!

I suggest you make friends with the damned Beavers... ;-)

http://www.snopes.com/humor/letters/dammed.asp

Hello Jon Kutz,

I am not a game/habitat management expert, but it seems your area needs more Keystone Predators to help keep the beavers and other animals in a rough habitat equilibrium of overall Optimality. I don't know where you live, but I suggest your area needs more wolves, coyotes, mountain lions, bears, bobcats, wolverines, etc to whittle away excess numbers of beavers, deer, etc. Especially if huge numbers of humans would now prefer to play video games versus hunting/trapping this game that is now in Overshoot quantities.

My AZ had a bad episode of killing off the keystone predators [early 1900s] which allowed the deer to Overshoot so bad that they starved to death in huge numbers. IMO, the habitat is still trying to recover/re-equilibrate from this event many decades later.

I suspect that a great many of our problems would be resolved fairly quickly if we were to reintroduce, and accept the presence of, keystone predators in human habitat.

As an employee of the EPA, let me respond to your comments about the EPA. First, EPA is actually "run" by the President, not by the Administrator of EPA. Thus, the actions of EPA reflect those of President Bush and President Bush was put into office by the American people. EPA is therefore acting on the wishes of the American people, who drive SUVs, purchase large homes etc. I think that the mood of the American people with respect to climate change is beginning to change, but it is a little late. The President's strategy with respect to climate change was first to deny it, and then when the science became overwhelming, to adapt to increasing climatic temperatures instead of addressing the issue head on. With a change in Administration, we are likely to see a different strategy with respect to climate change.

It seems that we are fast approaching (if we have not already passed it...) the tipping point where whatever action we take, we will still head towards rapidly increasing temperatures (over the next centuries, which is rapid relative to changing earth temperatures). Thus, it could be that the only real strategy we have to address climate change would be to deal with its consequences. This is sad, but perhaps true.

This from a guy who ridee his bike to work, and put in a ground-sourced heat pump for my house etc...

Retsel

"President Bush was put into office by the American people."--NOT TRUE.

A number of newsworthy points can now be made regarding this issue:

1. The structural inefficiencies, oligopolistic ownership and ideological bias of the media meant the story went uncovered in the USA when it mattered - during the dodgy Florida recount in late 2000.

2. Those who say Bush won because Nader ran in 2000 are wrong. Bush won because of massive electoral fraud.

You can read all the details at the following weblinks of Palast's articles about the sordid affair:

Florida's flawed "voter-cleansing" program - Salon.com's politics story of the year:
http://www.gregpalast.com/detail.cfm?artid=55&row=2

A Blacklist Burning For Bush (The London Observer, Sunday, December 10, 2000)
http://www.gregpalast.com/detail.cfm?artid=4&row=2

"THEFT OF THE PRESIDENCY"; BBC-TV Newsnight; Thursday Feb 15, 2001; This is the transcript of Gregory Palast's appearance on BBC News' Newsnight on February 16, 2001:
http://www.gregpalast.com/detail.cfm?artid=29&row=2

I expect a great number of people out there 'get it'

The thing that I find rather strange is that they may "get it", but yet do nothing to prepare for it. Like they believe the underlying systems they depend upon to live will somehow be unaffected. A common thing seems to be to recognise the problem then attempt to game it by investing for collapse via stocks and shares or vote some politician in or some such. A kind of virtual preparation with no corresponding preparation in the real world. That by putting their faith behind some thing or someone will be sufficient to get them through.

I believe what we face is a systemic failure brought about not only by energy depletion and Climate Change, but also by the internal dynamics of the system. There is no fixing it.

I surmise that what they "get" is that there are problems and what they don't "get" is how those problems are going to take down their lives.

I "get it" at a deeper level, but still do not have a good course of action. I am not technically savvy, I am a psychologist who can teach, counsel and reason, but I feel lost as what I need to be doing to prepare given my skill set and lack of mechanical prowess. I see what comes, but have little idea of where to place my energies.

Wow. That is a perfect explaination of the anatomy and development of "group think" at the micro-scale (small group conversations) and the macro-scale results (the babble from politicians).

It's something I'm sure all of us have experienced in our discussions with friends and relatives about peak oil.

treeman wrote:

"The last comment she made (paraphrased) was that we as a country probably only have one last chance to save our economy and our country as we know it and that is to develop a new energy growth industry based on our innovation and hard work. Jobs produced locally and not given away to other countries. As you would guess, she is quite concerned."

Nate replied:

The President of MIT? That IS encouraging...

I think the situation is thus. Two people, head to head, and there is little politics - they can tell it like it is

I don't find that particularly encouraging. Nor do I see anything indicating that the president of MIT "gets it". I was not there and treeman was paraphrasing, but... "Save our economy and country" ... "energy growth industry" ... "innovation" ... "jobs" ... that sounds like the same garden variety bullshit we hear from everyone but the drillaniacs. Is the president of MIT really aware of peak oil? Did she introduce the term or did she just nod and agree when treeman mentioned it? I will repeat and amend what I wrote last month:

I make the following statement with much consideration and in all seriousness: any candidate, office holder, pundit or journalist who discusses energy and does not include "peak oil" in that discussion is either uninformed or untruthful and should not be trusted while that behavior persists.

Add big name college presidents to that list. Also, to clarify, by "discussion" I mean public discussion (broadcasts, speeches, printed material, etc.), not five minute one-on-ones over punch in the campus quad. At this point almost no one will deny that we have a "problem" related to energy. But we all know that very few people get it. I am not even sure I get it. But I just can't take seriously anyone who still uses the words economy, energy, growth, industry and innovation while describing what we should be doing to "save our country". To me that indicates not getting it. What the hell is so special about our economy and our country anyway?

Although I have been focused on peak oil the last few years, I have come to understand that it is merely one symptom of larger problems. I still haven't found the bottom of the rabbit hole, but I think Derrick Jensen is right about The Problem of Civilization. There, now I've brought it back to the subject of the post with some left wingnut, eco-nitwit, non-profit-generating fluff. Most will no doubt scoff at the 20 premises at that link, but that's only because they are insane and in denial.

Premise One: Civilization is not and can never be sustainable. This is especially true for industrial civilization.

While I agree that what we currently call Civilization is not sustainable, the underlying premise is false. There is absolutely nothing that I can think of (maybe others can) that precludes the possibility of a society that has a high level of culture and social organization and understands by means of scientific inquiry what it takes to be sustainable and then proceeds to organize itself in a conscious willful manner in that direction. Even if there has never been such a civilization and one based on these premises never evolves, it is not a given that civilization and sustainability are mutually exclusive. I further posit that only when a society that has developed to the point of actively promoting sustainability can it truly be called civilized. What we have now is a primitive barbarian culture based on the destructive superstition of growth and shallow materialism being touted as the marks of progress. It's not exactly what I define as being civilized, not by a very long shot.

Best hopes for a real enlightened civilization.