George Mobus:

Energy efficiency is a tricky thing. Alone, it will not solve our problems. As our economy has grown more energy efficient, energy consumption has risen - contrary to what the New York Times continuously advocates. Look at this chart from the EIA:

www.eia.doe.gov/pub/international/iealf/tablee1g.xls

Our btu's per dollar gdp has dropped significantly, yet energy consumption is rising - the EIA expects these trends to continue. This situation is even more interesting in the automobile sector.

A recent study by the National Commission on Energy Policy examined the federal mandate for automakers to meet certain efficiency targets, the Corporate Average Fuel Economy (CAFÉ) standard. The Commission found that even if Congress forced the U.S. auto fleet to raise its average fuel economy from 27.5 to 44 miles per gallon (a massive increase of 60%), fuel consumption would still jump by nearly 4 million barrels of oil per day by 2025. The Jevons Paradox at work.

Well understood in modern economics, the Jevons Paradox is a very important concept when it comes to energy efficiency. William Jevons first described the phenomena in his 1865 book, The Coal Question. Increasing the efficiency with which a resource is used tends to increase (not decrease) the rate of consumption of that particular resource.

Jevons first discovered the idea after observing England's consumption of coal soon soared after James Watt introduced his coal-fired steam engine, which greatly improved the efficiency of the previous design by Thomas Newcomen.

What this really means is we need "all of the above" approach that McCain discusses. We need more energy solutions such as clean coal, EOR, CCS, etc.

Which all assumes that demand reduction is impossible.

By which reasoning, Melbourne and Brisbane's reduction of water consumption which has happened over the last decade was impossible, and that we should still have most people being smokers, and the Chinese should still have a big opium problem.

Efficiency goes up -> cost goes down -> usage goes up

That can be attacked in the middle, with cost. Peak oil by itself could do some of that, the state of the economy could increase the relative cost vs. income, and carbon taxes could increase the cost (capturing what would otherwise go to an oil company windfall).