Actually, China is right. The United States has taken wealth from the rest of the world because the U.S. dollar has been the international standard. I don't know if I'd use the word "plundered" yet, but it's only a matter of time.

What you seem to not understand is that, first of all, most oil and other things must be bought in dollars and then exchanged for another currency. Because of this, Americans don't need to pay the price to exchange money, whereas all other countries do. This gives the United States benefits over other countries. In addition, the United States is able to tax most of the world, not just its own citizens. First, you need to think of inflation as a tax. If your $1,000 this year is still $1,000 next year, but only buys $900 worth of goods, then we can say that you have been taxed $100. This is a hidden tax, yet a potentially horrific one. When the Federal Reserve prints (or types into a computer) more money with no physical backing, and the amount of money in circulation thus increases, then prices rise. There is more money chasing fewer products. Because more than half of the U.S. dollars in existence are held outside of the United States (something few if any other countries enjoy), then when the Federal Reserve devalues the money (as it will through the bailout and other money printing), everyone who holds dollars - including those overseas - are essentially taxed. This would not be the case if the U.S. dollar were not the main international currency.

This is what the Chinese paper must have been talking about.

This is the genius of the dollar hegemony tax system. It is voluntary and hidden. No one is forcing foreigners to hold dollars or treasuries.

They do it more or less voluntarily. They could buy gold or other currencies as soon as the dollars arrive, but they choose to hold dollars. This tells me that they think dollars are the best option compared to the alternatives.

Or, more likely, they have ulterior motives such as keeping they own currencies from appreciating. If that is the case they are getting what they deserve when they hold depreciating dollars. Keeping one's currency artificially low is just as evil as depreciating it with the computerized printing press.

The other reason they hold dollars is that the American twin trade and fiscal deficits are so huge that no other store of value is large enough to absorb a conversion without causing instability in that market. The ensuing instability might result in a net loss for any country attempting it.

What you're saying, Z, is that in a "Global" economy you've gotta have a "Global" Currency. A "Clearinghouse," if you will. A traffic cop.

The Dollar is It. When "push" comes to, "shove," they all run home to "Mama," and, "Mama" is the U.S. Greenback.

We've, somehow, got to get the money from the manufacturing, oil-producing nations to the customer (laboring) nations. Somehow, we've got to organize a mass lending from the U.S., Euro, Chinese, Russian governments (taxpayers" to the Azerbaijani, Ukrainian, Hungarian banks.

Jeez. Well, nobody said it was all gonna be "Easy."

It was like when the US was running a big deficit with Japan in the 1980's. The wisdom was the US was getting the goods and the japs were getting bits of paper in return. The same thing is happening with China, and the Chinese have just realised.

Well, that deal seems to have worked out okay for the Japanese doesn't it?

Indeed. What really happened was that the Japanese modernised their entire country, the US got a load of cheap crap and sold off the working lives of their children in exchange.

Bargain.

This is my first post though I've read here since last March.

Do you think that the US Gov, having recognised that the game was almost up on exporting worthless dollars for solid commodities (inc FFs), is consciously taking advantage of its reserve currency position so as to create a mass destruction of emerging/commodity based economies. Then as the "last man standing" taking control of what it needs to keep Americans in the unreasonable wealth they have become accustomed to at the expense of much of the rest of the world.

Maybe the runnup in oil prices made the US Gov realise time was running out, and that they needed a paradigm shift in relative wealth of nations to protect the USA.

ie if the 25% of world resources consumed by the Americans who make up 5% of world population must continue to grow to keep the American way of life, then by reducing the wealth of the other 95% or even worse reducing the other 95% population through poverty and war, the US government can make sure that in the future the USA can grow its consumption to 30%, 40% or even 50% of total world resources, and the American dream is alive and well. At least until Global Warming fries everyone.

I'm not sure that is the way I see it.

I think they may have seen that the time was running out on exporting worthless dollars for solid commodities, and decided to do as much as they could now, to max out the credit cards, before time ran out. I am not inclined to think that people conspired to hurt other countries. I think that more likely they convinced themselves that the countries would truly be better off if they borrowed a lot of money and emulated the "developed countries". Of course, the time when commodity growth could be cheaply expanded ran out, making it much more difficult for these countries to repay their debts.

You might be interested in a post I wrote quite a while ago with Shunyata. It was called Monetary Policy and Weaseling Out of Debt.

I don't think it's been as blatantly planned out as what you say, but the fact is that the US Government (and others around the world) will try nearly whatever it can to keep the standard of living from dropping in the short term. Just as much as this means taking wealth from other countries, it also includes taking potential wealth from future generations.

Just like a company that doesn't care about the fate of the world, but only cares about this quarter's revenue or its current stock price, the government and most people in general are blind to future problems. They just want to get profits now.

Just think of how easily people can say "unsustainable". Nearly everything we do has long been known to be "unsustainable". In school, I learned about "renewable" and "nonrenewable" resources, and I knew that oil was nonrenewable. But that simple fact doesn't dissuade anyone from slowing their usage of nonrenewable resources until a crisis appears and they don't have the means to consume like before.

There is no question that the government is partially responsible for the commodity price collapse. The futures markets and naked short selling show that you can sell massive amounts of paper that represent commodities even if demand for those commodities is exploding. Take silver, for instance. We're currently going through the largest shortage of silver in history, as far as I know. I tried to order some today, and the company said that they might be able to get it to me by April of next year, and if not, I could get my money back. (Imagine if your local gas station told you that you could reserve your 10 gallons of oil - that you need to get to work today - for delivery in April!) Does that situation seem natural to you? Normally, with that demand, silver would be at $50, not $10. But there's much more paper silver out there than real silver, and the paper silver is being sold like at no other time in history. However, there will come a time when more people want to take delivery of silver (cashing in on those promises). This will crack the COMEX. It's like in 1971. Under the Bretton Woods system, the foreign countries could exchange their U.S. dollars for gold at a certain, unchanging rate. Well, there were more dollars (or paper promises) for gold than there was gold. France realized this and started demanding gold. This alerted the world that the gold price had been unfairly suppressed. Nixon then nullified the dollars' convertability into gold. This will happen again with the suppressed price! In 1970, gold was $35 per ounce (fixed). In 1980, gold was over $600 per ounce. Even when it was realized that gold was overbought and the price came down later, it still never went back down into the double digits. I expect that soon, the triple digits will seem very low. This price does not even take into account inflation. When you add that in, it becomes very easy to see why the government and corporations wanted to get the prices of commodities as low as possible in preparation for an explosion.

Many good points, but I don't believe for a moment that we're experiencing a silver, gold, platinum, or copper shortage. There is a silver coin shortage, but I can buy 1000oz silver bars at only a small premium over spot from a number of sources.

That being said, I am profoundly concerned about the weak fundamentals of the USD. It's just that right now, I don't see any appealing alternatives, in precious metals or forex.