212 comments on DrumBeat: November 10, 2008
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212 comments on DrumBeat: November 10, 2008
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Here is a back-handed compliment if I ever heard one: http://books.nap.edu/openbook.php?record_id=11585&page=5 from the National Research Council
The term "pessimist" has no meaning anymore. Can you still call a person who questioned the run-up of hedge funds and derivatives, not to mention the stock market for the last 10+ years, a pessimist without incurring any sense of shame? All the models in that world got built to advance one motive -- that of profit, brought about by no small part greed. No one really cared whether they made sense in some theoretical framework, and why should they, since human nature would constantly batter down the model's premises in search of escape clauses. This occurred all in the nature of one-upping the next guy ... in a zero-sum game of zero-summed optimism.
http://mobjectivist.blogspot.com/2008/11/comprehensive-oil-depletion-mod...
Optimism & Pessimism are two ends of a continuum. But which end is which depends on one's values. Unless one's values are clearly stated, the appellations "pessimist" & "optimist" are meaningless. And since values are arbitrary, the terms are meaningless in any case.
Pretty much everyone who is not in a constant state of psychotic euphoria is considered a pessimist.
Thanks, Web,
This is not only back-handed, it's depressing. It's hard to believe what I'm reading as coming from the NRC.
They talk around the point and give the impression - as if something people do (whatever) can actually change "the geology of oil resources" itself.
"These efficiency policies resulted in an alternative policy forecast for global oil consumption of about 107 million bbl/day in 2030."
Efficiency policies?