157 comments on Scenario 2020: The Future of Food in Mendocino County
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Allow me to point out a rare example of a famine in a modern industrialised nation and it's consequences: the Netherlands during the winter of '44/'45.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hongerwinter
A railwaystrike combined with an offensive that cut the country in half, Germans blocking food transports to the west of the Netherlands in retaliation for the railwaystrike, and an unusually harsh winter, lead to a famine that caused circa 18000 people to die (on a population of 9 million).
There was not a lot of violence; surprisingly little actually. Families trekked long and far to reach farmers, with whom they bartered for food. Most farmers were reasonable, some were shrewd, some were stolen from and some took advantage of the situation (it's been suggested the latter 2 categories overlapped). There were NO violent robberies. There were instances of German-controlled constables seizing food on the roads, and subsequently dumping it in a ditch, and there were examples of hungry people stealing collected food from other hungry people when they weren't looking.
Mostly timid victims, I'd say.
Regarding to how it would play out in a modern day situation, I think it would depend on local culture (vis a vis attitude), gun prevalence, and mainly: the suddenness. If oil *suddenly* stopped flowing, and food suddenly stopped being transported into populated areas, panic will set in, and violence will occur. If it happens slowly (i.e. food harder to get but not impossible), the population will sooner grow morose and discontent, a much more manageable combination.
Comparing a homogeneous, disciplined European population under occupation in 1944 to the melting pot of races in 2010+, all feeling entitled and all armed with guns, is fatuous, to say the least.
An Egregious error! (sorry...)
The name of the Netherlands reflects that fact that it was/is an exceptionally atypical country. Its inhabitants had to literally reclaim their land from the sea, by means of huge community co-operation in building and maintaining a technologically sophisticated system of dykes (a bit like New Orleans).
This physical basis, in which not just their lives but their whole existence depended on that constant co-operation, was reflected in the Dutch being much more co-operatively-minded, less criminal, more environmentally aware. I've put some past tense in there for reasons related to the jihad victim Theo van Gogh and the likewise threatened Hirsi Ali and Geert Wilders. Because unfortunately community-minded people all too often allow their kindness to be abused by parasites.