249 comments on How Long Before Uranium Shortages?
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249 comments on How Long Before Uranium Shortages?
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1) You don't need oil, natural gas, coal or any other fossil fuel to make nitrogen fertilizer.
2) All you need to make nitrogen fertilizer is air, water and energy
http://peakoildebunked.blogspot.com/2007/11/314-peak-oil-and-fertilizer-...
Ammonia production based on the Casale process started at Nera Montoro in 1922/23 with a capacity of 14 tonnes per day. Synthesis gas for the ammonia converter was based on hydrogen from water electrolysis and nitrogen from the air.
http://depletedcranium.com/?p=1520
Corn based plastic used at Walmart
http://www.treehugger.com/files/2005/10/walmart_to_use.php
Again, there's a difference between what's technically possible and what's likely to happen, or accomplished most easily - or else we'd have that global supergrid of solar panels with everything electrified already.
In the particular case of the Casale process, you can just look at how all the endothermic and exothermic reactions add up to see why we don't often make synthetic gas from electrolysing water and combining with atmospheric nitrogen.
Corn-based plastic isn't exactly widespread, either.
There's a difference between what's technically possible, or possible in theory on paper, and how things turn out in practice. Which is why we can't compare uranium with fossil fuels and renewables on a simple energy-out basis. There's a lot more to it all.
Sure, whats likely to happen is we'll burn some tens of trillions of tonnes of coal as synfuels.
Whats not going to happen is the entire energy industry collapsing faster than it can restructure because all the fossil fuels disapear overnight.