There is a very nice YouTube video that animates these curves and shows how the price spike and recession mechanism work.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=T7vGDwGLU7s

that is nice.. short but sweet. i recommend watching that rather than reading my post :-)

Here is an article from Matt Simmons where he looks at some of the drivers.

"What I learned from Table 4.6 by Matt Simmons in World Energy Monthly Review.

http://www.worldenergysource.com/wes/stores/1/What-I-Learned-from-Table-...

Pretty good read on how demand may be restricted by supply.

That's a great video and really does a lot to dispel any "straight line to $500 oil" argument. I really hope that TPTB 'get' what's happening sooner rather than later. We are in for a series of (dep)recessions caused by this. As I posted previously 'Whale Bone' might give us a clue as to what lies ahead:

Perhaps high price -rather than fashion- is why the corset died out...?

Nick.

noutram,

+5 rating points for demonstrating how the "price" signal hides what's really going on with dwindling resources like whale parts.

A drop in price might be argued to be proof that the "peak" never happened even though we are well past peak.

Thanks.

jpods has a few more interesting graphs here