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18 comments on UK NAT GAS WINTER 2009, FEBRUARY UPDATE
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18 comments on UK NAT GAS WINTER 2009, FEBRUARY UPDATE
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GAIA Host Collective
I guess the big question is whether storage levels will decline to the point that supplies will be constrained, and it would appear that the answer is probably not - at least for this year.
I don't know why the UK isn't going crazy for airsource heat pumps. We rarely have temps below freezing so they would always be operating at high COP's. They would also be a good to roll out alongside an expansion of wind power due to heating demand in the winter. It would also be more efficient to use the gas in combined cycle power stations to power heat pumps than to use the gas for central heating.
1kWh gas -> 0.5kWh electric -> 1.5 kWh of heat (using a heat pump with COP of 3)
1kWh gas -> 0.9kWh of heat.
IMO the UK needs to adopt a wedge stratergy of developing a new generation of nuclear power stations ~25GW from 15-20 new plants to on exisiting nuclear/large coal power station sites.
Build 10-15GW of wind, focus on geographicaly spread onshore wind much cheaper than offshore.
Move to heat pump heating instead of gas fired central heating systems.
Add pumped storage where possible
Gas injection of stationary diesel engines would be well suited for CHP able to run on 90% gas with small amounts of diesel for ignition.
Some gas storage would be a pretty smart idea.
Four reasons why there are no ASHP's
1: They are largely incompatible with the expensive installed "wet" central heating system we all have in our homes. We use radiators which need 65C temps and above. ASHP's prefer to deliver below 40C preferably closer to 35C. To rip out all one's radiators and piping to replace with underfloor tubing or air ducting is prohibitively expensive.
2: Why would anyone purchase ASHP system when the final running costs be within 10% of a gas central heating system?
Gas is about 2.8p/kWh. So through a 90% boiler, your heat will be 3.1p/kWh.
Electricity is about 11p/kWh, so through a HP, with COP 3 = 3.6pkWh
3: If we all used ASHP's it would put more load on the grid. You're right, burning the gas in a CCGT station is more efficient, but at winter peak demand we'd need more power stations if we had a significant number of ASHP's. Granted, we'd have some spare gas we'd have saved from the ASHP's but it doesn't get round the fact we'd need more infrastructure.
4: If its not broke don't fix it. Most people wouldn't replace their tried and tested boilers with what (to most people) is a completely unknown technology.
Although all that said, if I was building a new house from scratch, I'd specify high levels of insulation + triple glazing and underfloor heating with a ASHP + solar hot water. That way I wouldn't have to pay for a gas connection to the mains gas system as part of the build costs.
Andy
Hi Andy,
With respect to your first point, we have an oil-fired hot water heating system, but two 4.0 kW ductless heat pumps now supply virtually all of our space heating needs; the boiler only kicks on when temperatures remain below -10C for an extended period of time. An air-to-water system would be nice, but air-to-air units are far more affordable (the installed cost of our two units was $4,100.00 CDN/£2,270) and having two fully independent heating systems allows us to switch between fuels based on relative price.
Regarding your second point, ductless mini splits offer the added benefit of air conditioning and dehumidification. Our cooling requirements in Atlantic Canada are quite modest, but living in a maritime climate we would often run our dehumidifier non-stop from mid April through September. Dehumidifiers are loud, guzzle a tremendous amount of electricity and generate waste heat during the times of the year when you least need it. You also end up emptying the collection bucket every one to two days. Now, I run our heat pumps in "dry" mode -- no noise, far lower power consumption, no unwanted waste heat and, as an added bonus, no bucket to empty.
There would be some additional grid demand, but it should be manageable. Our newest ASHP is a high efficiency inverter system that constantly adjusts compressor speed in response to changes in heating demand. I have it plugged into a power monitor and it draws 200 to 300-watts under light load and as much as 1,500-watts when operating at maximum capacity. Continuous operation eliminates standby losses and makes for a smoother load curve. Also, for much of the winter, daytime temperatures are typically several degrees higher than what you would experience overnight; all else being equal, the highest ASHP demands occur during the overnight hours when overall demand is low and daytime COPs would presumably benefit from higher ambient air temperatures.
Last point and forgive me for stating the obvious. If I have a natural gas heating system, 100 per cent of my needs are met by natural gas, whereas with an ASHP, my needs are likely derived from a mix of fuel sources, some no doubt more desirable than others. A growing number of customers also have the option to purchase green power, so that nudges us a little further in the right direction.
Edit: Mini splits are fairly simple to install, but the work should be performed by a qualified technician. This video provides a good overview of what's involved: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PdMRVO_NOz4
Cheers,
Paul