Always sobering to hear the Matt Simmons prognostications. Much of the same ones he has been saying repeatedly in his past blue presentations. There is one comment though that I don't think sounds quite right. He states that high oil prices, even at 150$bbl, "... did not cause catastrophic economic damage."

While maybe not catastrophic, there were quite a few airlines that went under, the trucking industry was singing the blues, consumers were too. What would have happened if the price had hovered at this level throughout 2008 and to the present? Catastrophe? Granted, there were some side effects that were beneficial: reduced demand, revenues to the oil exporters, etc.. I am not sure he has this story quite right.

Peak_a_Boo asked,
"What would have happened if the price had hovered at this level throughout 2008 and to the present? Catastrophe?"

Let me ask, what happpened when oil didn't hover at that price? Catastrophe? Gee if oil prices had stayed high we may have had major bank failures, or the Dow Jones might have went to 6500, or governments have had to hurl money at the problems around the world...oh wait...that already happened anyway. Gee, I'm glad things didn't get ugly...:-)

RC

it\s a chicken egg sort of deal. Did the oil price and economy tank because of this margin call malacky that evaporated investment cash or did the inability to expand oil and gas production bottleneck the ability to create wealth to pay the interest?