151 comments on Mexico: A Collapse Update
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151 comments on Mexico: A Collapse Update
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I agree with you that we could take a lot of wind out of the sails of the drug cartels by legalizing drugs. I think this is one of many examples of the right policy move but one that has no chance in hell of working. Kind of like the right policy in the war on terror is to recognize that we caused the problem by repeatedly screwing the people of the Middle East (both dirctly and more frequently through oppressive proxy governments that supported our economic needs) and then stop. Not going to happen either...
Tragically, I think that the most likely political outcome of these problems is for states to further crack-down on the problem, thereby adding fuel to the fire. We'll fund narcotics enforcement in the US, and we'll give money and training to the Mexican state to do the same there, all of which will play into the hands of the drug cartels...
I have to sadly agree. As much as I would like to see the sensible policy, we know in our hearts the outcome will be as you have outlined. There's too much money in play for all sides. Sometimes I don't know whether I should be clicking my heels three times, chasing after the white rabbit, or calling the Ministry (Brazil).
BTW Jeff, I came across your writing a few years back with the Theory of Power and have appreciated your recondite analysis. (It surprises a few that are caught in the typical military stereotype to see the honest and thoughtful analysis that is coming from US military members).
Thanks, BC_EE. For the record, though, I'm no longer employed by the Federal Government or a member of the US Military. That said, it's my opinion that there is a great deal of "independent thought" in the military--it's primarily the structure of our political-military complex that drives outcomes...
Taleb in The Black Swan came to the same conclusion. He has the highest regard for U.S. military planners.