80 comments on Analysis of Decline Rates (Part II)
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80 comments on Analysis of Decline Rates (Part II)
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GAIA Host Collective
Hi Rockman,
I understand your point about small operators doing a better job of massaging oil out of marginal fields and that is a good thing.
I was merely indicating that government ownership of mineral rights isn't necessarily all bad. But as I own mineral rights to my few acres of Alaska as do many other surface estate holders, I thought the following should be added.
In Alaska, state ownership of severed mineral interests generally arises from either the state's acquisition from the United States of a previously severed mineral interest, or a mineral reservation by the state when it conveys state lands. Severed mineral estates are common in Alaska as most contracts for the sale, lease, or grant of state lands and most deeds to state lands or interest therein (other than mineral leases or mining leases) must contain an express reservation to the state of all oil, gas, coal, minerals, and geothermal resources.AS 38.05.125(a) I pulled the above out of 1993 letter from the DNR commissioner found http://www.law.state.ak.us/pdf/opinions/opinions_1993/93-019_661930641.pdf
So my statement on government ownership may have been unintentionally misleading. Alaska is unique in that only 1% of the land in the state has private ownership. If the native corporations (odd corporate/communal affairs that were spawned by the Alaska Native Claims Settlement Act 1971, ANCSA, which was enacted to smooth the way for the Trans Alaska Pipeline System, TAPS) are considered private 10% more land is added to that. The other 89% of the land in Alaska has some government entity owning it. Alaska's private land probably would be easier to envision as islands in the sea, ownership wise, and the situation when looked at in that way would not be all that different from other states that hold the offshore mineral rights (Alaska of course has offshore rights as well, but just add those to the sea of government owned land in your mental image).
The permanent fund check all Alaska residents receive (assuming they aren't entangled in the criminal justice system in some fashion) is not a royalty distribution per se. A portion of oil royalties were/are invested in markets and the return on investments had contibuted to the bulk of the permanent fund's value. Individual distributions were not made immediately, but rather the fund was allowed to grow and compound its value for quite few years first. Until this last fall the investments had paid handsomely but the fund lost somewhere between $10-$20 billion of its value when the financial collapse dragged down the markets.
That loss added to the ire of many Alaskan's who had been pushing for the state to use its substantial permanent fund account to build a gas pipeline to the natural gas stranded on the north slope. Of course Alaskan's aren't idiots and few believe the state would be the best possible operator of a pipeline or that the intricacies of state ownership of a pipeline leased to the private sector would necessarily work out in the Alaskan citizen's best interest.
But Alaskans all know that oil royalties fund the bulk of the state operating budget and that Alaska's oil production is declining rapidly. It doesn't take too much of a crystal ball to see how that decline will affect the state's income. New gas and oil production brought on line will of course push the revenue drop out into the future. If no one else steps up to build a gas line pressure will increase for the state to act itself.
Like I said before it is not so simple.
And I haven't even mentioned things like ANWR, melting ice on polar seas and on and on. A whole lot going on up in Seward's Folly, unfortunately a big part of what is happening is the rapid depletion of Alaska's oil reserves. KSA it is not.
Thanks for all the info Luke. I hadn't had a chance to research it yet. And I didn't mean to imply gov't ownership of mineral rights was a bad thing. In the case of La. and Texas it's worked OK for everyone. Even thef feds running the OCS has worked out well. I was referring more to govn't ownership of minerals combined with NOC operations. That's where I think the inefficiency plays. And it not just gov't operations that's a hindrence IMO. If ExxonMobil operated all the production in the US we would still be producing all those stripers that account for 20% of our production.
Happy to do the little 'legwork,' ROCKMAN, better than getting to the projects I'm actually supposed to be working on (some rather banal plumbing and wiring--my house). AK is a little different so I thought I would elaborate on it a little for the few who might still be following this thread.
I thought I was following you until you wrote,
And it not just gov't operations that's a hindrence IMO. If ExxonMobil operated all the production in the US we would still be producing all those stripers that account for 20% of our production
I kinda got left at the dock there. Maybe a little density on my part but usually I pick up your whole drift. Hope you have a chance to elaborate, as your insights are valued here.
Sorry Luke. That comment was just a continuation of a point I made early. A large corporation such as XOM cannot perform profitably when dealing with small marginal fields. That has nothing to do with abilities. It's really hinges on manpower. The small stripper producers essentially pay themselves to operate these properties. XOM would have to pay their folks to do the same functions. But after they pay their staff there's essentially no profit yet. XOM could triple their staff and take on hundreds of stripper properties. But why would the board approve such a massive allocation of manpower to projects which bring no net income to the company. The same could be said for the NOC's. And that's the point I was stumbling towards earlier: the combination of small private mineral owners and small entrepreneurial operators in the US is rather unique and has given us an advantage in squeezing every little drop out of our marginal fields. From my limited view of the rest of the globe I see very few similar opportunities.
Damn -- I just realized why that statement was so confusing. I meant to type that "we WOULDN'T still be producing....." Sorry about that chief.