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115 comments on Banking on Energy
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115 comments on Banking on Energy
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GAIA Host Collective
Chris Cook -
The fact that energy (mainly in the form of fossil fuels) is probably the world's largest single item of commerce does not automatically make energy a currency. The fossil fuels are physical entities that are bought and sold through the use of various currencies. I don't think there are too many transactions in which one party directly exchanges X barrels of oil for Y megawatt-hours of electricity.
Perhaps I am getting too hung up on the problems of physical energy conversion and not focusing on your main idea that a unit of such currency should be worth a specific amount of energy. But I still have lots of questions.
For example, let us say that I am in possession of something called a One Million BTU note. Does this mean that I can literally redeem that note and receive in some form one million actual BTUs of energy? If not, then what does the One Million BTUs printed on the face of the note really mean?
How and by whom is it decided how many of these One Million BTU notes (or electronic equivalent) get put into circulation? Is the total amount in circulation supposed to be equal to total yearly global energy production, only global oil and gas production, or would it be in terms of estimated reserves rather than production rates? Can't you still have inflation if more face-value BTUs are printed than physically exists? Will the Federal Reserve still be able to make BTUs magically come in and out of existence like it does with dollars?
How does stranded energy come into the picture? Say there is a large solar energy production facility in the Australian outback that only serves one remote portion of Australia. How does that captive and highly isolated energy production enter the global energy currency scheme of things, as it cannot be physically traded with any outside party?Does it still count in some way? Or doesn't it matter?
When oil production drops in the future, what happens to this energy-based currency? Does my One Million BTU note become more valuable because the physical entity backing it up has become more scarce? Or something else?
If the currency is being pegged to say BTUs, are those BTUs in the form of fuel before it is burned or say BTU equivalent in the form or electricity produced by a power plant? How do you avoid double accounting? For example you can have one BTU of coal going into a power plant and 0.4 BTUs of electricity coming out of the power plant. If you count both coal production and electricity production, you will come up with 1.4 BTUs, which is impossible, as you only started out with one BTU.
The devil will be in the details.
The devil is in the detail, indeed, and I certainly don't have all the answers!
What it means is that if you consume One Million BTU's you can pay for what you consumed with anything acceptable to the seller, which may be fiat money, fish, or whatever. But he will be obliged - through his and your membership of the Energy Clearing Union - to accept your note if you present it for redemption against BTU's consumed.
Note here the important distinction from a conventional - dated - debt or futures contract when you can mandate that he performs the contract and delivers money or product to you as the case may be. Redeemable Units make security of payment independent of security of supply.
In a stranded wind situation, Units redeemable in electricity would only be redeemable locally within reach of a private wire.
But Units redeemable in (say) ammonia could be issued and redeemed more widely if the stranded wind is used to fix ammonia - albeit there is an energy loss.
Note that while there is pricing, there is no "pegging" going on here.
So if gas is burnt in a CHP plant there will be the possibility of Units being issued in relation to future production of electricity and also in future production of hot air/hot water. Both may be monetised.
In the partnership structure I envisage, the gas supplier is tied in to a "community energy partnership" (an arguably optimal form of ESCO) as a supplier member, and may share proportionally with the "Operator" member in the revenues from sale of heat and electricity to "Consumer" members.
Using a "Heat Pool" model it is possible to finance retrofitting of (for example) CHP in a new way through an energy loan repayable through a "Heat Charge" to the pool by way of repayment of a loan denominated in BTUs.
As with any monetary system, there will need to be a monetary discipline over Unit issue, both in terms of transparency (who has issued what Units and what the open balances are) and provisions made into a default pool in case of default. This is where service-providers-formerly-known-as-banks could come in, with assistance from experts in the relevant field of energy production.
As carbon energy declines in availability then those holding Units would on the face of it have something more valuable, provided of course that they didn't wait too long to redeem them.
The fact that a charge/provision is made in relation to both positive and negative energy balances, would tend to concentrate a hoarder's mind, though......
Chris Cook -
Thanks for the clarification.
I now think that such a system, at least in theory, could be made to work. The further we get away from a debt-based fiat monetary system, the better, as such can only be viable in an ever-expanding economy, which may soon become a thing of the past.
For this system to work, strong and severe controls would need to be implemented to prevent Wall Street types from gaming the system, like they have done to our current one. As you say: discipline is key. And therein lies the rub, doesn't it?
Sticks and carrots are needed.
In a true partnership, interests are aligned, even though expectations may nevertheless prove irreconcilable, or partners may prove just plain incompetent.
Sticks and carrots; the matter of 'reserve' and 'currency' is not clarified.
A reserve regime balances capital flows between countries which use different currencies. This is done mostly by dollar- denominated swaps.
A currency is a national tender unit. Swiss Franc, British Pound, Japanese Yen. The Euro is a currency- like substance that lacks a lender of last resort. It is an agreement in principle and convenience created for political reasons. It would be very difficult to make the Euro into a hard currency like the 'Silver Certificate' US dollar. In the 'Good Ol' days' there were hundreds of American currencies; most banks offered their own paper monies - banknotes - lent against deposits. Legal tender laws made the US Treasury dollar the sole currency of the US.
A reserve regime does not need a new currency. An end to over- the- counter interbank currency and interest rate swaps would reduce volatility and tendency toward 'credit lockups'. Moving to exchange trading would accomplish this. Going further, taxing these derivatives out of existence would gain the Treasury some cash and remove the derivative overhang that threatens to unbalance capital flows (and umbalances them by inference currently).