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115 comments on Banking on Energy
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115 comments on Banking on Energy
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GAIA Host Collective
That is, after all, what a reserve currency is all about?
Certainly a reserve currency shouldn't play favorites. The status of the dollar as a reserve currency works in favor of the US, inasmuch as they can "print" reserves for their own use. I understand the monetary arguments that are made in favor of using gold as a reserve currency, but most of those boil down to "countries can't just 'make' it, they have to 'earn' it through production of goods and services." Gold served fairly well as a reserve currency but not without some problems. IIRC, major gold strikes -- the conquistadors reaching South America, the gold rushes in California and Alaska -- were all accompanied by bouts of global inflation. And periods when new technology allowed production of other goods to increase much faster than the gold supply seem to have resulted in crashes of one sort or another. In addition, other uses for gold don't destroy it -- most of the gold shipped back by the conquistadors is still in "circulation" as bullion or jewelry or electrical contacts today. I would like to hear more arguments for and against a reserve currency "backed" by something whose other uses effectively destroy it. Not in a thermodynamic sense, of course, but in a practical one.
As we have seen here in many discussions, electricity is convertible into energy vectors such as hydrogen, hydrocarbons or ammonia. The US could simply convert and sell these... Besides, China would not wish be capable of redeeming its Units [based on electricity other than for current consumption and would prefer to hold them in reserve for use in exchange for something else she needs.
China is, in fact, in rather desperate need of electricity; Three Gorges, doubled coal production, and 30+ nuclear reactors planned or under construction are clear evidence of that. Electricity in North America is convertible to forms that could be transported to China, but at fairly miserable efficiencies. And turned back into electricity there, but again at fairly miserable efficiencies (eg, 60% for a combined cycle gas-fired plant).
It is fairly easy to argue that in developed countries, with one large exception (transportation using current technology) and a few small ones, most of the value of the heat-content of fuels, measured by the value of goods and services produced from it, is delivered through the electricity that the fuel can generate. And as is often pointed out here, much of the transportation could be electrified. This would seem to imply that kilowatt-hours are a more natural basis for the reserve, and would play no favorites between natural gas or hydro or solar or uranium. Could your proposal work if the resource "backing" the reserve currency were megawatt-hours generated?
As an engineer, I like the idea of an energy-backed currency because energy translates to "the ability to do stuff" in layman's terms, and as such it becomes a useful unit of trade in pricing goods and services. We would just have to make the money supply to grow and shrink in direct proportion to the amount of available energy. More energy means more money, but it's tied to real wealth in energy and not paper wealth which is subject to bubbles and manipulation. The real challenge is designing a clearing market that efficiently matches money supply to energy supply. If the currency inflated or deflated relative to actual energy supply, that would obviously be a problem. I don't know enough about finance and economics to figure this part out. Fractional reserve lending will inflate the currency out of control of the energy clearing market, unless central banks link interest rates to money supply.
I've thought of how to design currency backed purely by grid electricity. You could link a MW-h note to electricity deliverable on a major grid backbone with exchange rates for the remoteness of the supply and demand. I don't know how that would work internationally.