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30 comments on More Tools for Rita

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Stuart Staniford on September 19, 2005 - 10:53pm Permalink | Subthread | Comments top
Heavens.  The Good Lord does seem to have about had it with our excessive oil consumption.  Or perhaps he's just invested in the oil futures market and is now driving the price up?
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paradox on September 20, 2005 - 12:27am Permalink | Subthread | Parent | Comments top
To believe the behavior of Katrina, Ophelia and Rita are random is foolish.
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Ben on September 20, 2005 - 7:36pm Permalink | Subthread | Parent | Comments top
Rita is headed straight for Crawford!
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Rick on September 20, 2005 - 12:50am Permalink | Subthread | Parent | Comments top
Yeah, it does look like divine retribution, but I think it's human folly. The hurricanes have blown here for eons. We knew that when we decided we had to get the oil and gas out of a tempestuous place regardless of risk. We also forget history--a lot of GOM rigs and refineries went in when hurricanes were at a cyclical low, and they aren't anymore.
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gunnk on September 20, 2005 - 12:44pm Permalink | Subthread | Parent | Comments top
Thank YOU!

I don't think we need to look for divine causes to explain disasters which we know occur quite periodically.  Atlantic hurricane activity is cyclical.  Climatologists have known this upsurge was coming.  If you build in or near the coast (Gulf or southern Atlantic) you have to either build for a Cat-5 or don't blame God when you get blown away.

No retribution here.  No divine message.  At least not from any god that I would respect.  Just poor planning and cost-cutting where it can do a lot of damage.

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paradox on September 20, 2005 - 6:52pm Permalink | Subthread | Parent | Comments top
For informed people like yourselves, looking at all this data, it is about time to organise some of the vast stream into insight, as to why it is that these storms behave as they do. And no, I'm not thinking about God.

I happen to have some exquisite pictures taken from official radars tracking Ophelia showing a neat 60 degree sided triangle, where the eye would be, said triangle showing up on visible scale and rain fall. That Ophelia was triple looping around the ocean, is, again, nothing out of the ordinary, right?

You might need a hint to organise and focus your pattern of thinking: look up what former Def Sec Cohen said about weapons that could trigger earthquakes, hurricanes and such like. Also, I paraphrase Bush's visit to NO: "It looks like the coast was it with the worst sort of weapon there is."

You do remember then, when the US invaded Iraq, a major dust storm appeared just when the invasion was in full swing?

Now, two hurricanes heading into oil producing regions and big cities, back-to-back, is what? A coincidence?

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Everett on September 21, 2005 - 12:51am Permalink | Subthread | Parent | Comments top
Look at noise long enough and it becomes a mirror....
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mw on September 20, 2005 - 1:33pm Permalink | Subthread | Parent | Comments top
MMS report for the day, production shut in rising again thanks no doubt to Rita evacs.

http://www.mms.gov/ooc/press/2005/press0920.htm

These evacuations are equivalent to 16.61% of 819 manned platforms and 11.19% of 134 rigs currently operating in the Gulf of Mexico (GOM).

Today's shut-in oil production is 877,275 BOPD.  This shut-in oil production is equivalent to 58.49% of the daily oil production in the GOM, which is currently approximately 1.5 million BOPD.  Approximately 35% of shut-in oil is due to onshore infrastructure problems.

Today's shut-in gas production is 3.482BCFPD.  This shut-in gas production is equivalent to 34.82% of the daily gas production in the GOM, which is currently approximately 10 BCFPD.

The cumulative shut-in oil production for the period 8/26/05-9/20/05 is 26,000,491 bbls, which is equivalent to 4.749 % of the yearly production of oil in the GOM (approximately 547.5 million barrels).

The cumulative shut-in gas production 8/26/05-9/20/05 is 120.413 BCF, which is equivalent to 3.299% of the yearly production of gas in the GOM (approximately 3.65 TCF).

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