But that is not what the customer wanted nor how the technology developed. So instead of 6 or 12 computers we have more than probably one hundred million (depending on how you define a computer) meaning the Borroughs executive was only off by a factor of ONE MILLION!! And he was not a madman, he was simply projecting forward based on the direction of the industry at the time he made the projection.

You are leaving out an important piece to this illustration. Companies figured out they could make more money...lots more money...if they sold personal PC's instead of mainframes. It is not necessarily the customer that lead this innovation, but the industry striving for a profit.

And herein lies the problem with paradigm shifts. Some shifts are by choice and humans have some control over them (like the evolution of the PC industry) while others are not by our choice and control.

In larger paradigm shifts like the transition to new societal energy systems, the end point of the shift may eventually bring enlightenment and improvement to the situation, but the transition will hurt like hell.

You are leaving out an important piece to this illustration. Companies figured out they could make more money...lots more money...if they sold personal PC's instead of mainframes. It is not necessarily the customer that lead this innovation, but the industry striving for a profit.

Sorry, but this is bull-shit. Companies never ever intended for a PC to replace mainframes or workstations. It just happened. First personal computers were created by hobbysts and small companies to be a toy (AppleI, Commandore, etc) and then when it become obvious that it's huge market and it's possible to do some business processing with these toys big companies followed.

A lot of companies perished in transition exactly because they believed money are in manframes or smaller, but still "big" iron.

You are all failing to understand the key point that the meaning of the word computer has drastically changed since that forecast. And whole new options opened up. At the time there was no idea they could have guis, or mice. No idea they could usefully replace typewriters let alone printing and books or even forums. They were just esoteric things, difficult to operate, for doing calculations and a few boring business tasks.

Don't forget the famous comment by Ken Olsen, President of Digital Equipment Corp. (now rolled into Compaq which was rolled into HP): "There is no reason for any individual to have a computer in his home"