If going from just under 3.5 mbpd down to just under 3 mbpd constitutes not peaking yet, then I wonder what the hell peak will actually look like?

Think Wile E. Coyote and the cliff....

LOL, the coyote / cliff analogy is one I've been using for about six months now - but the pesky blighter is still up there in mid air.
Ooops I meant to say: 'the coyote / cliff analogy is one I've been using for the US economy for about six months now'