Remember that first the world needs to increase production from new or existing wells just to stay level...due to the decline of some of the existing wells.

Then, if possible, the world needs to increase production even more for the actual increase in demand.

Rick

Great point, Has anyone here tried to model, for example, the additional demand necessary to assuage the rapid decline rates in Prudhoe Bay and the North Sea?  I would think that EIA and IEA estimates for US and UK demand growth only include expected demand growth without any regard to depletion. I know this issue has been discussed here quite a bit, so maybe someone has done this already?