Drumbeat: October 16, 2009
Posted by Leanan on October 16, 2009 - 9:35am
Topic: Miscellaneous
The Non-Tragedy of the Commons
The 2009 Nobel Prize for economics is a useful reminder of how easy it is for scientists to go wrong, especially when their mistake jibes with popular beliefs or political agendas.Elinor Ostrom of Indiana University shared the prize for her research into the management of “commons,” which has been a buzzword among ecologists since Garrett Hardin’s 1968 article Science, “The Tragedy of the Commons.” His fable about a common pasture that is ruined by overgrazing became one of the most-quoted articles ever published by that journal, and it served as a fundamental rationale for the expansion of national and international regulation of the environment. His fable was a useful illustration of a genuine public-policy problem — how do you manage a resource that doesn’t belong to anyone? — but there were a couple of big problems with the essay and its application.
Drumbeat: October 15, 2009
Posted by Leanan on October 15, 2009 - 9:54am
Topic: Miscellaneous
Sellers on the spot ahead of gas war
A great European war is about to begin. The heart of the conflict will be in Germany, Austria, Hungary and Italy. There will be battles in the North Sea, a strike from North Africa at Italy’s boot and into the South of France. The final struggle could see a cross-Channel invasion by Britain of France and the Benelux countries.This is a war for natural gas, a struggle for control of the market in this vital fuel.
It is not, though, a fight over market share but something more fundamental: it is about control over the pricing mechanism, the way in which gas is bought and sold in Europe. It is an ideological conflict between promoters of free markets and others who support the stability of a managed price. It is also about the potential profits and losses at stake in $30 billion (£19 billion) worth of unwanted gas.
The gas price has collapsed worldwide. It has been beaten down by recession and at the same time undermined by new discoveries in America and new supplies of sea-borne liquefied natural gas from the Gulf.
Drumbeat: October 14, 2009
Posted by Leanan on October 14, 2009 - 10:05am
Topic: Miscellaneous
Russia 2010 oil output to fall - Bernstein analysts
London (Reuters) - Russian oil output will stagnate in 2010 and begin to decline as mature fields lose production capacity and only one new project comes on line, oil analysts at Bernstein Research said on Wednesday.Russia, now the world's largest oil producer, pumped 10.01 million barrels per day last month, up 0.4 percent from the 9.97 million bpd produced in August, both record highs, Russian Energy Ministry data released last week showed.
But Bernstein analysts said Russian production, which recovered in 2009 after dropping for the first time in a decade in 2008, was merely experiencing a temporary spike following the launches of eight new fields this year.
Senior oil analyst Clint Oswald at Bernstein Research wrote that 0.6 percent year on year growth in the year to the end of September, in a year when eight projects added 640,000 bpd of new production, "does not sound like a great achievement or the start of an up trend.,"
Drumbeat: October 13, 2009
Posted by Leanan on October 13, 2009 - 9:50am
Topic: Miscellaneous
A Path to Downward Mobility: Today's youngest Americans are likely to be worse off than their parents.
Every generation of Americans should live better than its predecessor. That's Americans' core definition of economic "progress."But for today's young, it may be a mirage. Higher health spending, increasing energy prices and stretched governments at all levels may squeeze future disposable incomes—what people have to spend—and public services. Are we condemning our children to downward mobility?
Drumbeat: October 12, 2009
Posted by Leanan on October 12, 2009 - 10:08am
Topic: Miscellaneous
Why Oil Is Much More Plentiful Than "Peak Oil" Advocates Claim
When you consider the U.S. has pumped 75 billion barrels of oil since 1977... that means, conservatively, we could recover another 35 billion barrels of oil from known fields.A lot of the big oil companies scrapped their EOR plans in the '80s, when the price of a barrel of oil wallowed in the teens. Now that oil is back up around $70, EOR is viable again... and it represents a huge "new" source of oil.
Drumbeat: October 11, 2009
Posted by Leanan on October 11, 2009 - 9:47am
Topic: Miscellaneous
"Peak oil" theorists: World running out: The group, meeting in Denver this week, wants immediate steps to avert economic ruin.
The world is running out of oil faster than society suspects, and last year's $4.11 gasoline spike was just a bitter hint of the future, according to a "peak oil" theory whose key proponents will gather in Denver this week.Though peak-oil theorists prompt scorn from many in the petroleum industry, they've attracted an audience in some political and financial circles with their warnings to avert disaster by conserving, diversifying and exploring at an urgent pace.
"Up until now, technology has delivered dazzling results to America and the world economy, in delivering oil from all around the world despite increasingly challenging environments," said Dave Bowden, executive director of the Denver-based Association for the Study of Peak Oil & Gas-USA, or ASPO. "The harsh reality is, despite the best efforts of amazing technology, they're not finding as many of these big fields anymore."
Drumbeat: October 10, 2009
Posted by Leanan on October 10, 2009 - 10:45am
Topic: Miscellaneous
Capturing a Nation’s Thirst for Energy
Mitch Epstein has taken his 8-by-10 view camera across the United States to document the energy needed to support the American way of life. Though he says he did not start out with an ideological agenda, Mr. Epstein offers a quiet but unsettling view of 21st-century America’s dependency on electrical power.In Saturday’s Arts section of The Times, Randy Kennedy reports on Mr. Epstein’s journey and on the photographs in his book “American Power,” to be published later this month by Steidl.
Drumbeat: October 9, 2009
Posted by Leanan on October 9, 2009 - 10:00am
Topic: Miscellaneous
Tracing the Path of the Oil Industry's Sins
We tend to take for granted the comforts of modern life. Few of us think of underpaid migrant workers when we buy inexpensive imported clothes from China, or of disfigured Appalachian mountain tops when we turn on our coal-powered kitchen lights, or of fouled oil-rich frontiers when we hop in our cars.In his new book, "Crude World," journalist Peter Maass takes readers on a vivid tour of troubled oil frontiers, voyaging to places like Nigeria's polluted delta, Equatorial Guinea's dusty capital, Ecuador's scarred rain forest and Russia's corporate boardrooms, where corruption is rife and environmental neglect all too common. It is a disturbing catalogue of the underside of the international oil industry.
"Though oil provides fuel for our cars and warmth for our homes, it undermines most countries that possess it and, along with natural gas and coal, poisons the climate," Maass writes.
Drumbeat: October 8, 2009
Posted by Leanan on October 8, 2009 - 10:15am
Topic: Miscellaneous
Climate Agency Sees China’s Efforts Paying Dividends
Little good can be said about the worst economic slump since the 1930s, but it has produced at least one piece of positive news: the downturn will make it a bit easier to slow the rise in emissions responsible for climate change.The International Energy Agency made that prediction in a report Tuesday on global greenhouse gas emissions. Because of slower economic growth, the agency slashed, by 5 percent, its estimate of how much greenhouse gas emissions will be produced in 2020.
But the energy agency also cautioned against complacency, stressing that reaching a deal in climate talks to be held in Copenhagen at the end of the year is crucial to limiting the rise in global temperatures.
Another reason for cautious optimism, the report said, is that China will be able to slow the growth of its emissions much faster than commonly assumed because of its rising investment in wind and nuclear energy and its newfound emphasis on energy efficiency.
Drumbeat: October 7, 2009
Posted by Leanan on October 7, 2009 - 9:57am
Topic: Miscellaneous
Richard Heinberg: Our Evanescent Culture and the Awesome Duty of Librarians
How secure is our civilization’s accumulated knowledge?It is a question that, in a fundamental sense, transcends many life-and-death concerns (threats of sickness, natural disaster, or military invasion) that prompt us collectively to spend fortunes on insurance, health care, and weaponry. We know that we each individually will die, though we are willing to go to great lengths to delay the event as long as possible. But we have an overarching shared interest that the world of ideas will go on without us: that our descendants will continue to compose music, invent tools, refine scientific knowledge, and write histories, extending into the indefinite future the cumulative, constantly evolving universe of signs, symbols, and skills that have enriched our lives. Cultural death—the passing of the wisdom, artistic creations, and practical knowledge of an entire people, painstakingly built up over many generations—is a loss almost too wrenching to contemplate.
Yet cultural death happens. The examples from history are legion. Anthropologists and archaeologists have identified well over 10,000 distinct human cultures, of which most have perished, many by absorption into one multi-ethnic civilization or another. Linguists have catalogued over 6,000 human languages; again, most are extinct or endangered, often for a similar reason—absorption of indigenous populations into multi-ethnic urban civilizations. But civilizations are also mortal: about 24 are known to have existed over the past 5,000 years, and again most are now dust.


k Nation (Jim Kunstler)






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