Stories tagged with "ASPO-Australia"
Bruce Robinson on Radio 2SER with a Peak Oil Warning
Posted by Big Gav on August 10, 2009 - 4:31am in The Oil Drum: Australia/New Zealand
Topic: Demand/Consumption
Tags: aspo-australia [list all tags]
Sydney Peak Oil points to a recent radio interview (mp3) with ASPO Australia's Bruce Robinson on RAdio 2SER - Audio: Bruce Robinson on 2SER with a Peak Oil Warning.
The International Energy Agency has issued a warning this week that global oil production will peak in about 10 years time.
The chief economist at the IEA, Faith Birol, says that without an adequate government response - oil shortages could precipitate a worldwide economic and industrial collapse.
Most of the world’s biggest oil fields have already peaked and the rate of decline in oil production is now running at nearly twice the pace as calculated two years ago.
Domestically, figures show that Australia's crude production has fallen by about 25% per cent in the past five years.
Some analysts are saying that the state and federal governments are completely unprepared for peak oil.
Bruce Robinson from the Australian Association for the Study of Peak Oil and Gas spoke with 2SER’s Alex Angel.
Peak Oil on ABC Stateline in Victoria
Posted by Big Gav on July 11, 2008 - 9:03pm in The Oil Drum: Australia/New Zealand
Topic: Miscellaneous
Tags: abc, aspo-australia, peak oil, phil hart [list all tags]
Bruce Robinson On "The World Today"
Posted by Big Gav on June 27, 2008 - 6:32am in The Oil Drum: Australia/New Zealand
Topic: Miscellaneous
Tags: aspo-australia, bruce robinson [list all tags]
ASPO Australia's Bruce Robinson was interviewed on the ABC's "World Today" program for a piece called "Governments urged to get ready for 'peak oil'".
Audio: RealPlayer Windows Media MP3.
ELEANOR HALL: Theories abound about why the price of oil has been skyrocketing. The head of OPEC says the weak US dollar and continuing tensions about Iran's nuclear program are to blame. Economists say speculators are playing a role, as is soaring demand from India and China.
But those who subscribe to the theory of peak oil say the price is high because the resource is running out. The convenor of the Australian Society for the Study of Peak Oil and Gas, Bruce Robinson, has told Ashley Hall that it's time for governments to stop denying the inevitable.
BRUCE ROBINSON: The real reason that oil prices have been going up is probably geological. We're probably coming close to peak oil, that's the time when global oil production will start declining. When, regardless of the economic factors, the geology just won't be able to keep up.
ASHLEY HALL: So this explanation that speculators have been driving the price or it's soaring demand from developing nations like China and India don't really make a difference if we're approaching that peak spot?
BRUCE ROBINSON: Well the soaring demand, you know, increases the pressure on the supply that we're getting at the moment. But yes, so there's the speculators and things. Everyone is trying to think of a reason so they can avoid mentioning the real problem of resource depletion.
ASHLEY HALL: There are also calls for those nations which subsidise petrol in their countries to withdraw those subsidies to even out the market if you like, and that, it's said, would bring down the price as now everyone competes on a level playing field. How much difference do you think it will make to the price of oil if those countries that are subsidising withdraw them?
BRUCE ROBINSON: Not a great amount, but I mean, there's a whole lot of people in Australia calling for subsidies. The Opposition and the NRMA suggesting we should drop the excises, effectively subsidising petrol users now. Queensland already subsidises petrol to eight cents a litre.
We're not in a hell of a good position to start criticising other people for the subsidies. And everyone should paying more for oil, for petrol. We should be preparing people for oil shortages, very high oil prices, and all the calls, certainly in Australia, for excise to be reduced, are short sighted and very close to being grossly irresponsible. ...
Record oil price sparks call for petrol rationing
Posted by Big Gav on January 9, 2008 - 7:10am in The Oil Drum: Australia/New Zealand
Topic: Policy/Politics
Tags: aspo-australia, rationing [list all tags]
Bruce Robinson from ASPO Australia has been quoted by The Age as calling for the introduction of petrol rationing.
AS CRUDE oil sits at record high prices and economists remain concerned about its economic impact, one group has proposed the war-time measure of rationing.
The Australian Association for the Study of Peak Oil and Gas (ASPO), a group that lobbies for sustainable transport options, is calling for the return of the petrol allocation system used in Australia during World War II.
Bruce Robinson, ASPO's national convener, said the idea was becoming "increasingly essential" with petrol prices hovering around $1.50 a litre and rising interest rates already hurting households. The impact on the economy of inaction would be "dire", he said.
A Simple Oil Production Estimate for 2007
Posted by Prof. Goose on March 6, 2007 - 11:30am
Topic: Alternative energy
Tags: algeria, aspo-australia, chris skrebowski, eia, iea, libya, opec, qatar, united arab emirates [list all tags]
The following is a guest post by Phil Hart, a petroleum facilities engineer and member of ASPO-Australia. Phil worked for Shell in the UK for five years, before returning home to Melbourne in late 2006. Phil's blog can be found here.
Following a summary of EIA data for 2006, I thought I would make a more detailed country-by-country estimate of the potential for 2007.
Starting with the headline EIA figures for last year:
Crude Oil and Condensate: 73.5 Mb/d (down 0.2)
Natural Gas Liquids (NGLs): 7.9 Mb/d (up 0.14)
Other Liquids: 3.3 Mb/d (up 0.08)
Total Liquids: 84.6 Mb/d (up an insignificant 0.02)
Mb/d = million barrels per day
kb/d = thousand barrels per day
Numbers for November and December suggest real OPEC production cuts in Algeria, Libya, Qatar and UAE. The total cut could be 230kb/d which knocks around 50kb/d off annual average production. I did not expect to find evidence for cuts, but that's how the data looks to me - four small cuts made at the same time by countries that otherwise increased their production last year through announced projects. Thus, I believe those four OPEC members, but only those four, have the ability to restore that production. Without those cuts, crude and condensate production would still be clearly down, but total liquids would have shown a somewhat more significant increase.


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