Stories tagged with "globalization"

Iraq Oil & Gas Production: Geopolitical Compromises and Kurdish Autonomy

The following guest essay is by Kevin Kane. Kevin is a market analyst, economist, Asia political affairs strategist, and Korean language linguist living in Seoul, South Korea. Kevin previously published American Freedom from Oil: A Bipartisan Pipedream.

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As Royal Dutch Shell and other majors increase their investments in Iraq, some oil market analysts argue that Iraq could export over 12 mb/d (million barrels per day) within a decade, significantly shifting global production closer to 100 mb/d from the present 83.5 mb/d inventory supply. Are Iraqi oil production estimates too ambitious or perhaps, not optimistic enough?

American Freedom from Oil: A Bipartisan Pipedream

The following guest essay is by Kevin Kane. Kevin is a market analyst, economist, Asia political affairs strategist, and Korean language linguist living in Seoul, South Korea.

American Freedom from Oil: A Bipartisan Pipedream

By Kevin Kane

During election campaigns, presidential candidates, policy leaders, and pundits pander to both American fears and desires when they demand that the U.S. should pursue “energy independence” by eliminating oil imports. This has been a rallying cry of every President since the 1970s when American domestic production began a steady decline that continues through today.

Is energy independence a realistic policy, or as we are a part of one globally integrated economy, do we need a more relevant global energy strategy that captures the inherent economic and financial vulnerabilities associated with our age of irreversible interdependence?

Powering Civilization to 2050

Global marketed primary energy production 1970-2050. Expressed in thermal equivalent of millions of barrels/oil day (ie electricity streams such as hydro or photovoltaic are treated as if they had been converted from fuel at 38% efficiency). Source: BP for fossil fuel, hydro, and nuclear data, EIA and IEA for renewable data, and author's calculations as described in the text for projections. This is a scenario not a forecast.

John Robb: Power to the People?

John Robb's piece over at Fast Company also deserves a read (hat tip: Matt Savinar):
The next decade holds mind-bending promise for American business. Globalization is prying open vast new markets. Technology is plowing ahead, fueling--and transforming--entire industries, creating services we never thought possible. Clever people worldwide are capitalizing every which way. But because globalization and technology are morally neutral forces, they can also drive change of a different sort. We saw this very clearly on September 11 and are seeing it now in Iraq and in conflicts around the world. In short, despite the aura of limitless possibility, our lives are evolving in ways we can control only if we recognize the new landscape. It's time to take an unblinking look.
Also see John's latest at his blog here.

Adam Smith on Globalization

So I went into the bookstore down in Mountain View at lunchtime in search of serendipity. The book that found me was an annotated version of Adam Smith's "The Wealth of Nations", which of course I have never read in the original. It's a fascinating read for a peak-oiler for several reasons. Firstly, it's just an engaging and well-written book. Secondly, it's still viewed as the founding text of economics, and one can see many of the thought strains that still shape that discipline already. Thirdly, it was published in 1776. The steam engine ("fire engine" to Smith) had been invented, but was very inefficient and not yet used in transportation. The spinning Jenny had been patented six years before. The industrial revolution was largely in the future. Although coal was starting to be used in bulk for heating and smelting iron, still, the fossil fuel era was only just beginning. The economy that Smith describes is largely powered by wind, water, and biomass.

I heartily recommend it to those of you who believe peak oil means a return to a pre-industrial, localized economy. Of particular interest to me was the following quote (below the fold), since I am not amongst those peak-oilers who think global trade is likely to end after peak oil (at least not soon).

(I'll resume the population analysis tomorrow when I have time).