Stories tagged with "investing"
Down the Rabbit Hole
Posted by Jason Bradford on February 13, 2009 - 10:24am
Topic: Sociology/Psychology
Tags: behavioral economics, investing, paradigm change, sharon astyk [list all tags]
This is guest post by Sharon Astyk. In the CNBC interview mentioned, Taleb says that our money system can't be based on debt, which is very different from what most are thinking.
“It was much pleasanter at home, when one wasn’t always growing larger and smaller, and being ordered about by mice and rabbits.” - Alice in Wonderland
Rod Dreher has a fascinating observation over at his blog. He talks about watching an interview on CNBC with Taleb and Roubini:
Both men are notorious bears, and called the current crash long in advance. Both, CNBC tells us, were the hottest tickets at the recent Davos gathering. CNBC called them in to discuss the crisis. Roubini and Taleb were both trying to make their case for why what’s wrong with the economy is radical, is fundamental, goes to the very base of all our economic assumptions.
The CNBC twits just wanted stock tips and investing advice.
Updated Corn Ethanol Economics
Posted by Robert Rapier on June 25, 2008 - 10:00am
Topic: Alternative energy
Tags: corn prices, economics, ethanol, ethanol prices, investing, natural gas, original [list all tags]
| Executive Summary: The current cost to produce a gallon of ethanol is approximately $3/gal. The current price of ethanol is $2.86/gal, which explains why ethanol producers are shutting down. If corn and natural gas prices remain high, I think ethanol has to rise to something like $3.40-$3.60/gal to make it worthwhile to ethanol producers. So, if I was a commmodities investor, I would probably go long ethanol right now. The only risk factors I can see - given that there is a mandated (and rising) demand for ethanol - is if corn or natural gas prices collapse. The other remote possibility is that that mandate is repealed, but I don't see that happening. |
Book Review: Profit from the Peak
Posted by Robert Rapier on June 11, 2008 - 10:30am
Topic: Economics/Finance
Tags: book review, investing, peak oil [list all tags]

One of the threats from peak oil is the potential for financial ruin as oil prices run up. If you were invested in airline or automotive stocks through the recent run up in oil prices, you have probably seen those investments lose a lot of value. If, on the other hand, you were invested in oil futures, oil companies, or oil field service companies - you have probably done well even as the overall stock market slumped. The idea of profiting from the peak - an event that is likely to cause misery for those who are least prepared - may seem an odd combination. It almost feels like "Profit from Homelessness." But the reality is that unless you understand how energy prices affect the prospects of various sectors, you are placing yourself at a financial disadvantage.
Thus Profit from the Peak - the new book co-authored by my friend Chris Nelder - was destined to spark a lot of interest. Chris and I agree on most things energy-related, but we do also have some areas of sharp disagreement. In this review, I will explain what I liked about the book, but I will also detail my differences. Consider this a partial review, and a partial commentary on some of the particular topics in the book. However, my comments, and anything posted here at The Oil Drum, should never be construed as investment advice.
Australia's Peak Oil Billionaire
Posted by Big Gav on June 10, 2008 - 5:01pm in The Oil Drum: Australia/New Zealand
Topic: Economics/Finance
Tags: australia, investing, peak oil [list all tags]
Alan Kohler of the Business Spectator's "KGB Report" has an interesting column on an Australian fund manager, Phil Matthews, who has apparently become a billionaire after betting big on peak oil. The KGB boys seem to have become peak oil believers, with Robert Gottliebson also writing a column on peak oil - "Peak Oil Gathers Steam".
Phil Mathews, the Sydney-based fund manager nominated by Barron’s as the best performing manager in the world, seems to have made a billion dollars in May alone from oil futures. It looks like he is now personally worth as much as $2 billion as a result of his incredible oil bet.
U.S. Oil and Gasoline Import Statistics
Posted by Robert Rapier on April 25, 2008 - 10:01am
Topic: Supply/Production
Tags: eia, gasoline imports, investing, oil exports, oil imports, oil production [list all tags]
I actually started on this post about a year ago, and forgot about it until recently. Here I provide 2007 numbers on the sources for oil and gasoline imports into the U.S., courtesy of the Energy Information Administration.
For 2007, the Top 10 exporters of finished gasoline to the U.S. in million barrels were:
The Bet
Posted by Robert Rapier on January 2, 2008 - 12:32pm
Topic: Demand/Consumption
Tags: investing, oil prices, saudi arabia [list all tags]
While I won my $1,000 bet on oil prices by a whisker, I know a lot were rooting against me. They should be happy to know that my bad karma is not going to allow me to keep the money. So, the lesson I learned years ago is reinforced: Don't bet.
(*Ed. note: Robert really did miss by a whisker - one trading day - front month crude touched $100 today)


k Nation (Jim Kunstler)






GAIA Host Collective