OK, that's enough. After reading this happy CERA drivel (hat tip, Leanan)

CERA estimated that oil production capacity -- including crude oil, condensate, natural gas liquids, oil sands, gas-to-liquids - could rise to 108 million barrels per day in 2015, up from 87 million barrels per day currently.

it seemed apparent that fantasy was the order of the day. So, given the legacy of the 20th century (the Armenian genocide, World War I, the 1929 stock crash, the Great Depression, Mao Tse Tung's "Great Cultural Revolution", Stalin's purges, Romania's Ceausescu, World War II & the Holocaust, the Korean War, the Cold War, the Vietnam War, Russia's war in Afghanistan, Imelda Marcos' shoes collection, the Rwandan genocide, the Balkans fiasco and Bosnian genocide, etc.) and a conviction that humankind has gotten no wiser in the 21st century, a more pessimistic fantasy regarding oil depletion and supply shocks seemed to be called for. So, here we go.