The Oil Drum | Stories tagged with "total liquids"

Stories tagged with "total liquids"

World Oil Production Forecast - Update May 2009

Posted by ace on May 19, 2009 - 9:59am
Topic: Supply/Production
Tags: colin campbell, iea, jean laherrère, non-opec, oil production forecast, opec, original, peak oil, total liquids [list all tags]

World oil production peaked in July 2008 at 74.82 million barrels/day (mbd) and now has fallen to about 71 mbd. It is expected that oil production will decline slowly to about December 2010 as OPEC production increases while non-OPEC production decreases. After 2010 the resulting annual production decline rate increases to 3.4% as OPEC production is unable to offset cumulative non-OPEC declines. The forecast from the IEA WEO 2008 is also shown for comparison.

The US Energy Information Administration (EIA) and the International Energy Agency (IEA) should make official statements about declining world oil production now to renew the focus on oil conservation and alternative renewable energy sources.

Fig 1 - World Oil Production to 2012 - click to enlarge (oil includes crude oil, lease condensate and oil sands)

World Oil Production Peaked in 2008

Posted by ace on March 17, 2009 - 9:15am
Topic: Supply/Production
Tags: aspo, cera, colin campbell, exxonmobil, fredrik robelius, iea, jean laherrère, non-opec, oil production forecast, opec, original, peak oil, total liquids, usgs [list all tags]

As everyone knows, there is never a post on The Oil Drum that the entire staff agrees on. Nonetheless, Tony bases his findings on solid research, and a staff survey shows that most agree with a 2008 peak. A post discussing whether an alternate scenario with a second later peak might be feasible is planned for later.

World oil production peaked in 2008 at 81.73 million barrels/day (mbd) shown in the chart below. This oil definition includes crude oil, lease condensate, oil sands and natural gas plant liquids. If natural gas plant liquids are excluded, then the production peak remains in 2008 but at 73.79 mbd. However, if oil sands are also excluded then crude oil and lease condensate production peaked in 2005 at 72.75 mbd.

The US Energy Information Administration (EIA) and the International Energy Agency (IEA) should make official statements about declining world oil production to renew the focus on oil conservation and alternative energy sources.

World Oil Production to 2012 - click to enlarge

Sources for historical data: world crude and condensate (EIA) but with oil sands excluded, oil sands (CAPP), and world natural gas liquids (EIA).

Oilwatch Monthly - August 2008

Posted by Rembrandt on August 18, 2008 - 11:18am in The Oil Drum: Europe
Topic: Supply/Production
Tags: eia, iea, non-opec, oilwatch, opec, original, supply, total liquids, world production [list all tags]

The August 2008 edition of Oilwatch Monthly can be downloaded at this weblink (PDF, 1.34 MB, 26 pp). In this edition I have added more demand, oil stock and production revision data.