This is an update on my series about U.K. natural gas. In the second part of this series, I presented the results from several simulations of the U.K. natural gas supplies situation for this winter which had identified the potential that U.K. might run short of natural gas in storage before the end of this winter.

In this post, I will present status as of now and an update of the simulations of the U.K. natural gas supply and demand for the remainder of this heating season. The present status and the results from the simulations are quite troubling: it appears that there is a significant chance that the U.K. will run short of natural gas in storage before the end of winter.