Stories tagged with "ukraine"
Ukrainian Natural Gas Crisis Drags On
Posted by Gail the Actuary on January 14, 2009 - 2:05pm
Topic: Policy/Politics
Tags: natural gas, original, russia, ukraine [list all tags]
How can this be good for gas supplies for the rest of Europe?
Gas crisis: Is Gazprom really expecting Europe to take its side against Ukraine?
Posted by Jerome a Paris on January 14, 2009 - 1:00am in The Oil Drum: Europe
Topic: Policy/Politics
Tags: gas, original, russia, ukraine [list all tags]
Gazprom says Ukraine blocking resumed gas flows
MOSCOW, Jan 13 (Reuters) - Russian gas monopoly Gazprom (GAZP.MM) said Ukraine was blocking gas flows to Europe across Ukrainian territory on Tuesday. "We believed yesterday that the door for Russian gas was open but again it's been blocked by the Ukrainians," Gazprom export chief Alexander Medvedev [said]
The Russian Bear?
Posted by Euan Mearns on January 8, 2009 - 10:54am in The Oil Drum: Europe
Topic: Supply/Production
Tags: eu, europe, gas, gas spat, gazprom, original, peak gas, russia, ukraine [list all tags]
With news breaking that Russia has just suspended all exports of gas to and through Ukraine, what will the impact be on Europe and why has Russia chosen once again to take such drastic action?
Exports of gas from Russia fell 6% between 2006 and 2007 according to the BP statistical review of world energy. Production fell from 612.1 to 607.4 billion cubic meters (bcm) per annum and domestic consumption rose from 432.1 to 438.8 bcm per annum leading to a fall in exported gas.
Is Russia withholding gas supplies leading to higher prices and manipulation of its market position? Or is the Russian gas supply system unable to meet demand?

Is Europe Running Low on Natural Gas?
Posted by Euan Mearns on January 4, 2009 - 11:08am in The Oil Drum: Europe
Topic: Supply/Production
Tags: baltic pipeline, natural gas, russian natural gas production, ukraine, united kingdom [list all tags]
Recently, Rune Likvern wrote a post talking about the possibility of a natural gas shortage in the United Kingdom, possibly as soon as February or March 2009. Rune isn't the only one worried about the supply of gas in Europe and the UK. A little over a year ago, Euan Mearns wrote two posts about the European natural gas supply, the first called European Natural Gas and a follow-up addendum called Daddy, will the lights be on at Christmas? In this post, we combine the two posts and re-run them. Besides being relevant to the gas shortage issue, the posts also provide some additional background related to current Russian/Ukrainian dispute.
OECD European gas production looks set to peak in 2008. After that, falling production combined with rising demand will see OECD European gas imports wanting to rise from current 197 BCM per annum to 442 BCM per annum by 2020. Where will this gas come from and how will rising European imports affect N America and the rest of the world?

Figure 1 OECD Europe gas production and conceptual forecast. Click all charts to enlarge
Ukraine-Russia gas spat: some background and context
Posted by Jerome a Paris on January 3, 2009 - 10:40am in The Oil Drum: Europe
Topic: Policy/Politics
Tags: natural gas, original, pipelines, russia, ukraine [list all tags]
As we enter yet another episode of worried or sanctimonious articles about the gas conflict between Russia and Ukraine, it's worth remembering a few simple facts:
1) The conflict started in 1992, not in 2006;
2) Russia cannot win a gas war against Ukraine and knows it;
3) the real underlying stakes are not about Russia or Ukraine.
Of pipelines and the future
Posted by Heading Out on September 19, 2008 - 10:10am
Topic: Supply/Production
Tags: azerbaijan, china, gazprom, georgia, natural gas, russia, turkmenistan, ukraine [list all tags]
Gail’s recent post on the fragility of the US distribution system and the shortages that will be imposed by refinery outages, is a reminder of our dependence on pipelines for supply. The dependence is not just in the US, though the debate over the reality of a new gas pipeline from Alaska to the lower 48 rumbles along as a part of the election debate.
Most of Europe also depends on pipelines, particularly natural gas ones, and it is because of that that I am going to take a somewhat nervous stance and disagree with a recent article by Jerome. Some considerable time ago we swopped comments about the likelihood of different pipelines being laid to exploit the natural gas in Turkmenistan, and so from that point, this post is an admission that his opinion at the time (that many of these pipes wouldn't happen) was correct. However part of the reason for this is the less than benevolent role that I see Russia is playing, and this is my disagreement with him.
My concern is emphasized by the difference in objectives of two recent trips around the periphery of Russia. First there was the trip by the Russian President, who, with Gazprom CEO Alexei Miller, toured oil and gas supplying countries such as Turkmenistan, Azerbaijan and Kazahkstan in July. Out of that came both an agreement for Russia to buy Turkmen gas but also for Gazprom to invest in the Turkmen gas infrastructure. (Quotes under fold)
Andris Piebalgs on European Energy Security
Posted by Euan Mearns on March 9, 2008 - 11:30pm in The Oil Drum: Europe
Topic: Policy/Politics
Tags: energy security, fossil fuels, gas supplies, running out, russia, solar panel, ukraine, wind mill [list all tags]
In his second blog entry, Andris Piebalgs moves the focus to European energy security. A few choice excerpts for those who want to have a more spontaneous debate:
Europe is currently importing half of their energy needs, and according to most of the studies, our dependency may grow to 70%. We are running out of fossil fuels and our energy needs grow. This makes Europe terribly vulnerable. As Commissioner responsible for security of supply I often wondered, where are we going to get all that energy from? (my emphasis)
The EU is already a leader in renewable energy sources and we have taken a commitment to go further with a mandatory target of 20% of our final consumption by 2020......
ODAC Newsletter, Monday 08 October
Posted by Doug Low on October 9, 2007 - 8:00pm in The Oil Drum: Europe
Topic: Miscellaneous
Tags: corn to ethanol, electricity research, lng, russia, saudi arabia, turkmenistan, uk economy, ukraine, world energy council [list all tags]
This is the first posting of the ODAC (Oil Depletion Analysis Centre) bi-weekly newsletter. If TOD readers find it useful, it will be posted regularly. Keep in mind that the 'Comments' are aimed at regular subscribers for whom the newsletter may be their only source of information. The newsletter regularly covers oil and gas depletion, and related issues.
Coal Mining Reserves - a cautious note
Posted by Heading Out on June 4, 2007 - 6:30pm
Topic: Supply/Production
Tags: coal, donbass, glenrothes, scotland, ukraine, washington state [list all tags]
Times are changing in the coal trade, and while April marked the end of one era (the last pit pony in the UK died), on the other had we have the renewed interest, and debate over, the use of coal as a source of liquid fuels for a variety of vehicles, including aircraft. So I thought it worth trotting out some more facts that might help put the current (and future) situations in context. (Plus we haven't had a Techie talk in a bit).
The late Bob Stefanko has written that the Great Dismal Swamp is probably the best current place that represents the type of conditions under which, back in Carboniferous times (about 355 to 290 million years ago) the various vegetative fragments fall into the water, and are slowly compressing to form a layer of peat. The peat layer in the swamp is about 7 ft thick, which would convert to about 20 inches of coal. The swamp is slowly sinking, allowing the vegetative mat to continue to deepen and slowly built to a greater thickness. Back in the Carboniferous he noted that the speed at which the layers formed was likely about twice that at which the current Swamp is growing, and that, due to the different levels of pressure required to form them, it would have taken about 160 years to lay down what is now a 1 ft thick layer of lignite; 260 years for a foot of bituminous, and about 490 years for a foot of anthracite. Since it is more worthwhile to mine thicker coal, and eight-feet is a nice working height, this would have required about 2,100 years of steady growth to lay down the layer of vegetation that formed the Pittsburgh seam in Pennsylvania. The original areas over which these forests and swamps grew were vast, and the cycles of deposition grew as the land distorted, with multiple seams being deposited in some cases, and a single thick seam in others. But how has it survived? How much is really there, and how much can we actually produce?
More on the Azerbaijan, Belarus, Russia oil and gas confrontations
Posted by Heading Out on January 11, 2007 - 10:49am
Topic: Supply/Production
Tags: azerbaijan, belarus, gas pipelines, georgia, oil pipeline, russia, shakh deniz, turkey, ukraine [list all tags]
Well the situation East of Georgia continues to evolve. I thought to begin there since, as mentioned in an earlier post, there are a number of small countries in the strip that runs south of Russia and over into China where oil and gas issues will make the nations a bit more internationally prominent. Consider, for example, Azerbaijan. It was only a couple of days ago that, in the face of Russia doubling the gas price that Azerbaijan cut off its oil flow to Russia. It shut down its oil exports in order to fuel some of the power stations that would no longer be supplied with the Russian gas. The original plan was to do this until the gas from the Shakh Deniz field becomes available in April (though that may now have slipped to June).
Interestingly gas from Shakh Deniz was also scheduled to be supplied to Georgia at a price of $120 per thousand cubic meters (tcm). This is just over half the price that the Russians have been asking. However, since Georgia needs about 2 billion cu m per year it will still need to buy 1.1 bcm from Russia at the higher price. Azerbaijan has been supplying around 80,000 bd of oil to Russia through the Baku-Novorossiysk oil pipeline which belongs to the Russian pipeline company Transneft. Part of the intent of the increase in price to Azerbaijan was, apparently, to reduce their ability to supply Georgia. Azerbaijan bought 4.5 bcm of natural gas from Russia last year at a cost of $500 million. Apparently the thought was that, at the higher price, Azerbaijan would have to cut back on imports, and thus have less to make available to Georgia. However, by switching their power stations to oil-burning, they appear to have thwarted this idea.
Natural gas from Shakh Deniz will be fed into the Baku-Tbilisi-Erzerum pipeline, which is almost ready to receive and deliver the gas. Note that this is a different pipeline to the recently completed Baku-Tbilisi-Ceyhan pipeline, which carries oil and which, between January and October carried some 4.8 million (though it does not say if this is tonnes or barrels).


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