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A listing of damaged rigs...
Posted by Prof. Goose on September 28, 2005 - 11:51am
Jack-up Rigs
GSF
HIGH ISLAND 3 Beached in West Cameron
GSF ADRIATIC 7 Beached in Eugene Island
GSF ADRIATIC 4 Sunk on location
ROWAN
LOUISIANA Beached in West Cameron
ROWAN
FORT WORTH Beached in West Cameron
ROWAN
MIDDLETOWN Missing
NOBLE
JOE ALFORD Beached in West Cameron
ROWAN
HALIFAX Beached in East Cameron
ROWAN
ODESSA Missing
Semi-Submersible Rigs
NOBLE
AMOS RUNNER Aground in Vermilion
NOBLE
MAX SMITH Aground in Eugene Island
NOBLE
PAUL ROMANO Aground in Vermilion
NOBLE
LORRIS BOUZIGARD Adrift 240 miles out
NOBLE
THERALD MARTIN Adrfit 250 miles out
FALCON 100 Aground
OCEAN
SARATOGA Aground
OCEAN
STAR Aground
TRANSOCEAN DEEPWATER NAUTILUS Aground in
South Timbalier
TRANSOCEAN MARIANAS Aground in Eugene
Island
Spars/TLPs
CHEV/TEX/BHP TYPHOON Upside
down in Eugene Island
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"
The best energy industry research firm I know is Petrie Parkman, run by oil research veteran Tom Petrie--a man I interviewed with 25 years ago when I was first looking for work on Wall Street, although he wouldn't remember me from the Sith Lord.
And from their morning research notes comes the following comment regarding Rowan Companies, a large operator of jack-up drilling rigs in the Gulf of Mexico:
Rowan has its own planes and were thus one of the first on the scene to witness the impact. They say that the rig devastation is quite significant and the pilots reported that in an area where they previously would see about 15 jack-ups there were none visible."
It'll be nice in a week or so when we can get hard numbers for the total impact.
Speaking of hard data, the latest DOE/EIA numbers (http://www.eia.doe.gov/pub/oil_gas/petroleum/data_publications/weekly_petroleum_status_report/curren t/txt/wpsr.txt) show a drop in crude oil stocks of 2.4MB over the prior week, and an increase of 4.4MB in gasoline stocks.
Gasoline stocks increased 4.4% in a week?
None of these factors are long term... demand will bottom out - can't actually reverse without the ultimate peak oil aid, a recession or depression, occuring.
Rigs/Platforms:
There are reports that as many as 18 GOM rigs and 40 platforms may be missing, damaged and/or detached from their moorings. We will attempt to gain further clarity in the next situation report.
Refineries:
100% (1.7m bbl/day) out in Port Arthur/Lake Charles Almost 1M (50% approx) out in Houston area.
Entergy reports that all transmission lines to the major industrial loads (7 refineries) in the Lake Charles - Port Arthur area have extensive damage. Restoration of electricity to these refineries is a priority for the company. [but no estimates]
Gas:
read the report - significant outages persist.
Total shut down including Katrina related: 3.575m bbl/day.
PDF: http://www.electricity.doe.gov/documents/gulfcoast_report_092805.pdf
From the latest Office of Energy Reliability report:
- According to MMS s review of the evacuations, 35 platforms are destroyed while 16 platforms have extensive damage. Thirteen rigs went adrift, of which six are now grounded, and nine others have reported problems. The remainder are being re-manned, re-powered, or repaired. Approximately 2,900 platforms were in the path of Katrina and Rita. Eighteen deepwater facilities report no significant damage.
- According to BP, the company expects gas production will begin at NaKika and Marlin platforms within the next few days. Three BP single-well caissons on the shelf were reported to be leaning. However, these wells were temporarily abandoned prior to the approach of the hurricanes, and hence have no production impact.
Last statement sounds odd.- ANR gas pipeline: 20 percent of capacity with reduced supply. Still on Force Majeure; approximately 1.3 Bcf shut-in.
- Sabine: Force Majeure continues in effect at all points on the Sabine system. Power remains out in most areas of the system. Efforts are underway to remove standing water from Sabine's Henry facilities.
There is quite a bit more detail on the NG situation in today's report.http://electricity.doe.gov/documents/gulfcoast_report_092905.pdf
http://www.mms.gov/ooc/press/2005/press0928.htm
100/80% up from yesterday...
Their web site is down as I'm typing this, don't know if they have any more information posted about why so slow to recover. We saw improvement 3 days after Katrina / Ivan.
Financial markets - the big picture folks not focussed on energy - so far have not clued in that there may be a much more serious outage than 'normal' facing us.
I understand they need to report stats, and somebody compiles them, I was wondering (aloud) if the data was accurate given that they have so many things going on. I think you are right, that there are pipeline problems (or similar) that either need to be checked or repaired before they can start production. They don't seem to be in a very big hurry to get their $67 / barrel...
If true this would support pipeline, distribution problems. Even the non damaged wells can't move their production.
Hurricanes Turn Rigs Into Wrecking Balls
Bill Provine, with Houston-based Rowan Companies, a major drilling contractor in the Gulf, said that the company lost four of eight jackup rigs that were in Rita's path, and another rig in Katrina. Provine said the company had not lost a rig in the Gulf for over 30 years, until the year before last. Since then, Rowan has lost five jackups, he said.
"One of them was found on the bank in Louisiana. The other rigs, they are gone. They are either floating around in the Gulf or sank. We probably won't know until tomorrow," Provine said Monday. "These were good big rigs, capable of drilling to 30,000 feet ... They weigh about 30 million pounds each. That's a lot of steel, some of them are as big as a football field."
http://www.rigzone.com/news/article.asp?a_id=25680&rss=true
Jack-Up Rigs
GSF HIGH ISLAND 3 Beached in West Cameron
GSF ADRIATIC 7 Beached in Eugene Island
GSF ADRIATIC 4 Sunk on location
ROWAN LOUISIANA Beached in West Cameron
ROWAN FORT WORTH Beached in West Cameron
ROWAN MIDDLETOWN Missing
NOBLE JOE ALFORD Beached in West Cameron
ROWAN HALIFAX Beached in East Cameron
ROWAN ODESSA Missing
Semi-Submersible Rigs
NOBLE AMOS RUNNER Aground in Vermilion
NOBLE MAX SMITH Aground in Eugene Island
NOBLE PAUL ROMANO Aground in Vermilion
NOBLE LORRIS BOUZIGARD Adrift 240 miles out
NOBLE THERALD MARTIN Adrfit 250 miles out
FALCON 100 Aground
OCEAN SARATOGA Aground
OCEAN STAR Aground
TRANSOCEAN DEEPWATER NAUTILUS Aground in South Timbalier
TRANSOCEAN MARIANAS Aground in Eugene Island
Spars/TLPs
CHEV/TEX/BHP TYPHOON Upside down in Eugene Island
Or used to use to, anyway...
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Oil_platform
HO
I don't see Typhoon on their list, but Yahoo's Market Pulse is reporting on the damage.
If the rig market is so tight worldwide, shouldn't we be looking at what happens in the Pacific as well? I mean, Vietnam just got hammered - did they lose any rigs?
Madoilman bascially said that most of the rigs are being built by Hyundai and others overseas. Demand is a world issue, so if we lose rigs anywhere in the world, they put additional pricing pressure on, right?
"2005 - (september 27th) About 15% of USA refinery capacity remains out of action, and is likely to remain out of action until at least mid november, now removing about 1.7 million barrels a day of refined product (petroleum, diesil, jet fuel, heating oils) from the market. Stocks on hand are 6%-7% higher than the same period the previous year, when stocks were sharply lowered by hurricane Ivan. An increase off an historically low base, in other words."
http://tinyurl.com/72myz
Note USA refineries generally slow down over october to rejig for winter oil and do maintainaence - not possible now in other parts of USA (President's instructions) taking up the (non-existant) slack,increasing the risk of accidents and thus further reduction in USA refinery capacity!
linky link
http://www.salon.com/wire/ap/archive.html?wire=D8CU1C384.html
This was dated on July 8, 2005.