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News Deposit/Open Thread
Posted by Prof. Goose on September 3, 2005 - 9:31am
Topic: Miscellaneous
Enjoy.
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GAIA Host Collective
Later, a supposedly homeless guy showed up at the office saying that he got off the train at the wrong stop, and needed money to get to Rockville. Well, we're at the end of the line.
On the way to PA, I saw a large cloud of black smoke over I-70. A large pickup truck was on fire, completely engulfed in flames, on the southbound on-ramp. My first thought was all these people topping off their tanks and filling up gas cans to beat the rising prices.
We had bought a coal/wood stove at a yard sale, but my wife talked me into a pellet stove instead. The local dealer said he had already sold seventy of them this month and was running ragged. He was expecting higher prices and fuel surcharges on his next delivery. Now my brother-in-law wants one.
I've got to put more insulation in the basement.
MSNBC is heading in the same direction, but not quite as strong.
FOX? Not sure.
Here in California they seem to have stabilized at $3.05-$3.15 per gallon for unleaded regular, for the last couple of days.
Atlanta Journal and Constitution (GA)
Copyright 2005 The Atlanta Journal-Constitution
September 3, 2005
Section: Business
KATRINA AFTERMATH: Spotty gas supply to continue Governor orders relief from taxes to cut prices
[quote]Matt Simmons, a Houston-based investment banker in energy, worries that the good news is superficial, and will drive Americans back into complacency as energy resources dwindle.
After more than two years of research for his recent book, "Twilight in the Desert: Pending Oil Shock," Simmons concludes that the world's oil production has reached its highest point.
His tri-fold message is: open restricted oil fields, including the Alaskan wildlife refuge; conserve existing supplies; and look for energy alternatives, including nuclear, wind and solar. He said he hopes Americans don't sleep through Katrina's wake-up call.
"We're going to have to get used to paying realistic prices for our energy," Simmons said. "I think the quicker people start to realize that we've ended a very long era of inexpensive energy, the better off we'll be."[/quote]
Sorry, no link.
We got a wood-stove installed just a week or so ago.
I've bought some wood,
$155/cord for cut & split oak, delivered
$120/cord for cut (not-split) maple, delivered.
Check this one out, for example:
http://www.treehugger.com/files/2005/02/superefficient_1.php
and this post about an EPA wood stove replacement campaign:
http://www.treehugger.com/files/2005/06/epa_wood_stove.php
Sides, direct air
High efficiency wood-fired stove 3-8kW of £2,850.00
ceramic and porcelain
Wooden crate with integral Euro pallet, ship
weight 415kg
£2,850.00
not bad for only $5,000[!], plus VAT plus shipping from europe.
I guess it ain't easy being green.
I resisted the idea of a pellet stove because I'm still not sure that pellets will be readily available next winter, but I am partially comforted by the idea that you can burn other biomass in them. I am also troubled that they require electrical power. But I figure I can rig a battery backup to a bicycle generator down the road.
the hermit
http://www.worldchanging.com/archives/003425.html
I come back into town and top off the tank for 3.25/gallon.
Later that day, my partner goes out to by grain for the animals and get a can of kerosene for our old fridge. He says gas in town is now 3.69.
I am not going to rest assured for the winter until we have our three tons of coal in the bin. This year it's 226 a ton. Last year's coal was nasty, with lots of "finings" in it. Our dealer says his supplier in PA was selling off coal to China for $20/ton over the going rate. When our dealer asked the supplier what his customers in the north were supposed to do, the supplier said, "Freeze."
We're building an extra bin this year so we'll have three more tons on hand.
This will be the winter of our discontent.
Michael Parenti's How the Free Market Killed New Orleans
Pierre Chomat's Oil Addiction: The World in Peril - 16
The lack of coordination is stunning!
In any event, we now know how well Homeland Security has planned for a city killing terrorist strike. I live about 25 miles from the port of LA and about 25 miles from San Onofre nuclear plant. I can now rest assured that if either of these is ever hit by a loose nuke, I am on my own.
Interesting to see how even the people who shop at Whole Paycheck (Foods) and eat out several times a week are willing to wait to save .30/gallon.
http://ngs.woc.noaa.gov/katrina/090E29M_KATRINA.HTM
Also, the Green Party tried to bring in food and water directly to the Superdome and were turned away for lack of enough food for everyone!
And, finally, Haliburton is getting the contract to rebuild NO.
I'm crying.
Link? Source?
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2005/09/03/AR2005090300571.html
What I found interesting was this paragraph:
These relatively small numbers from all over the place don't prove, but do lend support to, the notion that supply capacity is very close to peak at least at current.
Takeaway annual depletion and where are we next year...
Obviously, things are looking bad right now.
http://www.mms.gov/ooc/press/2005/press0903.htm
These evacuations are equivalent to 30.03% of 819 manned platforms and 29.10% of 137 rigs currently operating in the Gulf of Mexico (GOM). The number of manned platforms that are evacuated declined 25 percent from yesterday.
Today's shut-in oil production is 1,184,747 BOPD. This shut-in oil production is equivalent to 78.98% of the daily oil production in the GOM, which is currently approximately 1.5 million BOPD. This represents a 10 percent improvement from yesterday's figures.
Today's shut-in gas production is 5.779 BCFPD. This shut-in gas production is equivalent to 57.80% of the daily gas production in the GOM, which is currently approximately 10 BCFPD. This represents a 21 percent improvement from yesterday's figures.
The cumulative shut-in oil production for the period 8/26/05-9/3/05 is 9,872,662 bbls, which is equivalent to 1.803% of the yearly production of oil in the GOM (approximately 547.5 million barrels).
The cumulative shut-in gas production 8/26/05-9/3/05 is 53.232 BCF, which is equivalent to 1.458% of the yearly production of gas in the GOM (approximately 3.65 TCF).
BAGHDAD, Sept 3 (Reuters) All exports of Iraq's Kirkuk crude oil through a major pipeline to Ceyhan on Turkey's Mediterranean coast were stopped today after a bomb blast set the pipeline on fire, an oil ministry source said.
''The blast halted all exports, it stopped them completely,'' the source told Reuters.
The bomb set the pipeline ablaze this morning, but a few hours later an official at the fire department of the North Oil Company said the fire had been contained.
http://www.deepikaglobal.com/ENG4_sub.asp?ccode=ENG4&newscode=116173
http://www.ocregister.com/ocr/2005/09/03/sections/news/news/article_660962.php
http://www.cnn.com/2004/US/12/28/tsunami.diver/index.html
Katrina seems a clear indicator that without policy change and deep changes to the US government's thinking, any global peak oil scenario will be meet in the US with the same lack of preparation.
Unacceptable from any point of view.
I don't know if these are related to the reported oil spill, but these photos from NOAA show oil slicks in the Port Fourchon area. The site has some fascinating shots of the damage.
Clearly oil on water:
http://ngs.woc.noaa.gov/storms/katrina/24414295.jpg
http://ngs.woc.noaa.gov/storms/katrina/24414291.jpg
Boats helter-skelter, in oil slicks: Also WHAT the hell is that hulking THING stuck in the road in the TOP CENTER of this pic?:
http://ngs.woc.noaa.gov/storms/katrina/24414291.jpg
Object in the ocean off Port Fourchon and plume of oil:
http://ngs.woc.noaa.gov/storms/katrina/24413865.jpg
Oil slick:
http://ngs.woc.noaa.gov/storms/katrina/24413922.jpg
Damaged marina, center:
http://ngs.woc.noaa.gov/storms/katrina/24416460.jpg
Zoom in on cleanup operation, lower right:
http://ngs.woc.noaa.gov/storms/katrina/24414295.jpg
If anyone has knowledgable comments about these images, PLEASE comment.
NOTE: the orientation in these photos is uncertain and changes throughtout.
The thing in the road was a camp built on a barge.
what looks like a clean up is the shrimp boat dock in fourchon.
The last pic' is in the Halliburton slip. the large building that is damaged is C-port 3, owned by edison chouest offshore. it is a large cargo loading facility.
I work in this port on a daily basis and from reports from my vessel (I'm off right now) The overall damage in port fourchon is not great.the facilities are coming on line (w/o power) and the waterways are clear for marine trafic.
On another note, The drilling rig Hercules 22 working in the bay marchand field just outside fourchon sustained a good bit of damage. legs are bent and is leaning 10 degrees. stormmoved rig 40 yds. and rotated it 45 degrees. will prob. need to go to shipyard for major repairs. herc 22 is on long term lease to chevron to workover wells in the bay marchand field.
http://scotlandonsunday.scotsman.com/index.cfm?id=1886932005
Is the Scotsman a rag? I can't imagine such a thing being true.
http://www.nola.com/newslogs/tporleans/index.ssf?/mtlogs/nola_tporleans/archives/2005_09.html#076771
RIYADH (Reuters) - Two suspected militants and a policeman were killed in clashes in the eastern oil city of Dammam on Sunday, security sources said.
http://today.reuters.co.uk/news/newsArticle.aspx?type=worldNews&storyID=2005-09-04T205438Z_01_BA U460274_RTRUKOC_0_UK-SECURITY-SAUDI-MILITANT.xml
Venezuela donates 1 million barrels of oil to the United States of America
Speaking on his Sunday radio show, Venezuelan President Hugo Chavez Frias has announced that Venezuela will send 1 million barrels of oil to the USA to attend the emergency caused by Hurricane Katrina.
The donation came after a telephone conversation with Petroleos de Venezuela (PDVSA) US subsidiary, Citgo, president Felix Rodriguez.
According to Rodriguez, Citgo has escaped Katrina's ravages and is at the peak of its productive capacity.
Citgo's refinery in Lake Charles (Louisiana) is currently refining 398,000 bpd compared to 230,000 bpd that was its average in Q1.
http://www.vheadline.com/readnews.asp?id=45807
Opec likely to raise output
Tehran - The Organisation of Petroleum Exporting Countries will likely raise its output ceiling by 500 000 to 1 million barrels a day at a meeting in Vienna this month, Iran's Opec governor said on Sunday.
http://www.finance24.com/articles/economy/display_article.asp?Nav=ns&lvl2=econ&ArticleID=151 8-1785_1764928
OPEC president Sheikh Ahmad Fahd al-Sabah has reaffirmed the cartel is producing 30.4 million barrels per day (bpd) - 1 million bpd over market needs - in a bid to curb soaring oil prices.
"OPEC is currently producing 30.4 million bpd ... This production is more than the market needs to allow the building of strategic and commercial stocks in order to stabilise prices," Sheikh Ahmad said.
He adds there is 1 million bpd of overproduction in the market.
http://www.abc.net.au/news/newsitems/200509/s1452895.htm
OPEC exerts efforts to stabilize oil price: president
KUWAIT CITY, Sept. 4 (Xinhuanet) -- The Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) is exerting all efforts to stabilize oilprice, OPEC President Sheikh Ahmad Al-Fahad Al-Ahmad Al-Sabah said on Sunday.
Sheikh Ahmad, also the Kuwaiti energy minister, said the OPEC isproducing 30.4 million barrels of crude oil a day and production levels exceed market demands to increase the market's strategic andcommercial oil reserves, Kuwait's official KUNA news agency reported.
The hike of oil price is related to some psychological factors in addition to other factors, he said, affirming that OPEC was doing its best to resolve the crisis and meet US demands for oil by-products.
He linked the hike of oil price to geopolitical and climatic changes, fluctuations on the international oil market and shortage in crude refining process across the globe.
"These factors have substantially contributed to pushing the prices high," he said.
The climatic catastrophe now taking place in the United States, the globe's top oil consumer and high demands for oil products, such as kerosene and diesel, affirmed the fact that there is a major shortage, he said, adding oil refineries have also been affected.
http://news.xinhuanet.com/english/2005-09/05/content_3443400.htm
I love the Kuwaiti Energy Minister and President of OPEC!
Some call it Lake George
"When Sadad al-Husseini says that we can't keep offsetting depletion (we need to add a Saudi Arabia every couple of years), why doesn't Peter Maass ask him why we can't? We have obviously been doing it throughout the history of the oil industry. And Maass mentions James Schlesinger as a respected figure (true) but doesn't point ou that in 1979, Schlesinger said that world oil production had nearly peaked , that it was geologically impossible to expand it."
Michael C. Lynch, President,
Strategic Energy and Economic Research
Amherst, Mass.
By the way, that's offsetting depletion + demand growth.
Saudi Arabia production is currently 9.5/mbd. Every two years would be 4.75/mbd every year. Let's say world production/consumption this year is 84.5/mbd. Then next year, if we're on Lynch's schedule, we'd have 89.25/mbd available. In 2007, we'd have available supply of 94/mbd. Etc.
Does anyone anywhere in the whole wide world believe this kind of yearly supply (or capacity) growth is possible? Anyone?
We still need to come up with goods (about 6/mbd/year) to stay even with demand. That Lynch sees that as not a problem is not realistic in my view.
<Industry analysts continue to debate over how and when global oil production will peak. But there is probably a consensus that the easy oil has been found and that we can expect a fall from worldwide peak levels at the very latest by 2050. Production in non-OPEC areas, and by Major operators, may fall even earlier, perhaps by 2025.>
I'm not totally sure which planet they are on as their forecasts seem even more optimistic than USGS. I'm curious enough to go ahead and register for a ticket to attend; if I do manage to sit in on the conference I'll report back later in the week.
Here is the link for conference agenda: http://www.offshore-europe.co.uk/conference%2Dmeetings/programme.aspx
Chris
The three states with the highest prices for regular grade are:
(1) New York $3.24
(2) Rhode Island $3.24
(3) Delaware $3.23
The three states with the lowest prices for regular grade are:
(1) Alaska $2.74
(2) Louisiana $2.74
(3) Mississippi $2.77
http://www.fuelgaugereport.com/sbsavg.asp